What markets are included in the Parma vs Lazio prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Parma vs Lazio prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Parma vs Lazio

Parma vs Lazio prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Serie A 2025-12-13 17:00

Parma

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

27%

Confidence

High

Score

0-0

Lazio

Away

Prediction Summary

32%

33%

35%

Under 2.5

73%

BTTS No

65%

Confidence

High

Market Evidence

Parma (Home)

Goals scored / match0.84

Goals conceded / match1.32

Over 2.5 rate0%

BTTS rate47%

Lazio (Away)

Goals scored / match0.74

Goals conceded / match0.79

Over 2.5 rate5%

BTTS rate16%

Team Form last 5 matches

Parma

WLLLW

Lazio

WLLWD

Goals Comparison rate per team

63% +0.5 42%

21% +1.5 26%

0% +2.5 5%

0% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

47% BTTS 16%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 27%. Model confidence is High.

Parma averages 0.84 goals scored at home, while Lazio averages 0.74 goals scored away.

Model Strength

73%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

32%

Draw

33%

Away Win

35%

Over 2.5

27%

BTTS Yes

35%

Head-to-Head last 5

Apr 2026 Parma(A) 1 - 1 Lazio Draw

Dec 2025 Parma 0 - 1 Lazio Away

Apr 2025 Parma(A) 2 - 2 Lazio Draw

Dec 2024 Parma 3 - 1 Lazio Home

May 2021 Parma(A) 0 - 1 Lazio Away

In the last 5 meetings, Parma won 1, drew 2 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Parma — unbeaten run (home)1

Parma — scoring streak (home)4

Lazio — winless run (away)1

Lazio — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Parma Win (1)32%

Draw (X)33%

Lazio Win (2)35%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

63% +0.5 42%

21% +1.5 26%

0% +2.5 5%

0% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

37% -0.5 58%

79% -1.5 74%

100% -2.5 95%

100% -3.5 100%

100% -4.5 100%

Parma vs Lazio — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Parma — scored (home)0.84

Parma — conceded (home)1.32

Lazio — scored (away)0.74

Lazio — conceded (away)0.79

Model expected combined goals1.79

Both Teams To Score

Yes35%

No65%

Rate per Team

Parma — BTTS matches (home)47%

Lazio — BTTS matches (away)16%

Combined (simple average)31.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.579%

Under 4.521%

Over 5.574%

Under 5.526%

Over 6.561%

Under 6.539%

Over 7.556%

Under 7.544%

Over 8.545%

Under 8.555%

Over 9.535%

Under 9.565%

Over 10.526%

Under 10.574%

Expected total corners (blended average)8.00

Per-Team Corners own matches

Parma (home)

Corners for4.2

Corners against4.0

Lazio (away)

Corners for2.9

Corners against4.8

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Parma

11 11 9 17 2

Lazio

9 6 6 11 6

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%

Under 0.50%

Over 1.595%

Under 1.55%

Over 2.587%

Under 2.513%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.1

Yellow Cards per Team

Parma (home)

For1.8

Lazio (away)

For1.9

Shots per Game

Parma — total shots (home)12.4

Lazio — total shots (away)9.8

Shots on Target

Parma — on target (home)2.9

Lazio — on target (away)3.5

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Parma

Inside the box5.97

Outside the box4.74

Lazio

Inside the box6.68

Outside the box4.29

Player Shots Parma

Mateo Pellegrino

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target43%

+1.5 On Target14%

Gabriel Strefezza

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target43%

+1.5 On Target7%

P. Cutrone

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target27%

+1.5 On Target13%

J. Ondrejka

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target31%

+1.5 On Target6%

Adrián Bernabé

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target34%

+1.5 On Target3%

Player Shots Lazio

V. Castellanos

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target64%

+1.5 On Target9%

G. Isaksen

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target10%

M. Cancellieri

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target33%

+1.5 On Target20%

M. Zaccagni

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target42%

+1.5 On Target12%

T. Bašić

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target39%

+1.5 On Target13%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Parma xG (home)0.84

Lazio xG (away)1.12

Average Possession

44% Possession 50.34%

Team Comparison Parma vs Lazio

79.66% Pass accuracy 85.92%

361.58 Passes per match 491.95

0.07 Goals prevented 0.21

10.87 Fouls committed 10.58

3.03 Goalkeeper saves 3.16

1.35 Offsides 1.06

13.92 Tackles per match 12.66

League average xG this season is 1.26 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Parma vs Lazio prediction analysis

Review Parma vs Lazio with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie A

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights