What markets are included in the Parma vs Napoli prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Parma vs Napoli prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Parma vs Napoli

Parma vs Napoli prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Serie A 2025-05-18 18:45

Parma

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

48%

Confidence

Low

Score

1-1

Napoli

Away

Prediction Summary

27%

26%

48%

Under 2.5

52%

BTTS Yes

52%

Confidence

Low

Market Evidence

Parma (Home)

Goals scored / match1.32

Goals conceded / match1.47

Over 2.5 rate5%

BTTS rate68%

Napoli (Away)

Goals scored / match1.42

Goals conceded / match0.74

Over 2.5 rate21%

BTTS rate42%

Team Form last 5 matches

Parma

WDLLD

Napoli

WDDWW

Goals Comparison rate per team

79% +0.5 79%

47% +1.5 37%

5% +2.5 21%

0% +3.5 5%

0% +4.5 0%

68% BTTS 42%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 48%. Model confidence is Low.

Parma averages 1.32 goals scored at home, while Napoli averages 1.42 goals scored away.

Model Strength

52%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

27%

Draw

26%

Away Win

48%

Over 2.5

48%

BTTS Yes

52%

Head-to-Head last 5

Apr 2026 Parma 1 - 1 Napoli Draw

Jan 2026 Parma(A) 0 - 0 Napoli Draw

May 2025 Parma 0 - 0 Napoli Draw

Aug 2024 Parma(A) 1 - 2 Napoli Away

Jan 2021 Parma(A) 0 - 2 Napoli Away

In the last 5 meetings, Parma won 0, drew 3 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Parma — unbeaten run (home)1

Parma — scoring streak (home)0

Napoli — winless run (away)1

Napoli — clean sheets (away, last 5)4 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Parma Win (1)27%

Draw (X)26%

Napoli Win (2)48%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

79% +0.5 79%

47% +1.5 37%

5% +2.5 21%

0% +3.5 5%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

21% -0.5 21%

53% -1.5 63%

95% -2.5 79%

100% -3.5 95%

100% -4.5 100%

Parma vs Napoli — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Parma — scored (home)1.32

Parma — conceded (home)1.47

Napoli — scored (away)1.42

Napoli — conceded (away)0.74

Model expected combined goals2.61

Both Teams To Score

Yes52%

No48%

Rate per Team

Parma — BTTS matches (home)68%

Napoli — BTTS matches (away)42%

Combined (simple average)55%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.595%

Under 4.55%

Over 5.584%

Under 5.516%

Over 6.571%

Under 6.529%

Over 7.561%

Under 7.539%

Over 8.555%

Under 8.545%

Over 9.555%

Under 9.545%

Over 10.542%

Under 10.558%

Expected total corners (blended average)9.00

Per-Team Corners own matches

Parma (home)

Corners for4.1

Corners against5.4

Napoli (away)

Corners for4.2

Corners against4.5

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Parma

6 10 4 5 11

Napoli

7 7 8 5 11

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%

Under 0.50%

Over 1.590%

Under 1.510%

Over 2.579%

Under 2.521%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.2

Yellow Cards per Team

Parma (home)

For2.1

Napoli (away)

For1.4

Shots per Game

Parma — total shots (home)11.6

Napoli — total shots (away)10.2

Shots on Target

Parma — on target (home)4.1

Napoli — on target (away)3.3

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Parma

Inside the box6.61

Outside the box4.58

Napoli

Inside the box9.26

Outside the box4

Player Shots Parma

M. Keita

Shots on Target/Game2

+0.5 On Target7%

+1.5 On Target7%

J. Ondrejka

Shots on Target/Game1.7

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target17%

D. Camara

Shots on Target/Game1.7

+0.5 On Target14%

+1.5 On Target5%

S. Sohm

Shots on Target/Game1.6

+0.5 On Target22%

+1.5 On Target8%

Mateo Pellegrino

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target46%

+1.5 On Target23%

Player Shots Napoli

C. Ngonge

Shots on Target/Game2

+0.5 On Target17%

+1.5 On Target11%

G. Raspadori

Shots on Target/Game1.6

+0.5 On Target35%

+1.5 On Target8%

P. Billing

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target20%

+1.5 On Target10%

S. McTominay

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target68%

+1.5 On Target24%

K. Kvaratskhelia

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target71%

+1.5 On Target12%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Parma xG (home)1.18

Napoli xG (away)1.43

Average Possession

44.13% Possession 54.55%

Team Comparison Parma vs Napoli

79.68% Pass accuracy 86.08%

383 Passes per match 485.32

-0.14 Goals prevented 0.04

10.66 Fouls committed 10.92

2.74 Goalkeeper saves 1.92

0.82 Offsides 1.49

13.76 Tackles per match 14.08

League average xG this season is 1.22 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Parma vs Napoli prediction analysis

Review Parma vs Napoli with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie A

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights