Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Parma vs Udinese

Parma vs Udinese prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Serie A 2024-09-16 16:30
Parma
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
50%
Confidence
Low
Score
1-1
Udinese
Away

Prediction Summary

1
41%
X
26%
2
33%
O/U 2.5 · No edge
50%
BTTS Yes
54%
Confidence
Low

Market Evidence

Parma (Home)

Goals scored / match1.32
Goals conceded / match1.47
Over 2.5 rate5%
BTTS rate68%

Udinese (Away)

Goals scored / match1
Goals conceded / match1.53
Over 2.5 rate5%
BTTS rate63%

Team Form last 5 matches

Parma
WDLLD
Udinese
LLLWD

Goals Comparison rate per team

79% +0.5 68%
47% +1.5 26%
5% +2.5 5%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
68% BTTS 63%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 50%. Model confidence is Low.

Parma averages 1.32 goals scored at home, while Udinese averages 1 goals scored away.

Model Strength
54%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
41%
Draw
26%
Away Win
33%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS Yes
54%

Head-to-Head last 5

Apr 2026 Parma(A) 1 - 0 Udinese Home
Nov 2025 Parma 0 - 2 Udinese Away
Mar 2025 Parma(A) 0 - 1 Udinese Away
Sep 2024 Parma 2 - 3 Udinese Away
Feb 2021 Parma 2 - 2 Udinese Draw

In the last 5 meetings, Parma won 1, drew 1 and lost 3.

Current Streaks

Parma — unbeaten run (home)1
Parma — scoring streak (home)0
Udinese — winless run (away)1
Udinese — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Parma Win (1)41%
Draw (X)26%
Udinese Win (2)33%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

79% +0.5 68%
47% +1.5 26%
5% +2.5 5%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

21% -0.5 32%
53% -1.5 74%
95% -2.5 95%
100% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Parma vs Udinese — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Parma — scored (home)1.32
Parma — conceded (home)1.47
Udinese — scored (away)1
Udinese — conceded (away)1.53
Model expected combined goals2.66

Both Teams To Score

Yes54%
No46%

Rate per Team

Parma — BTTS matches (home)68%
Udinese — BTTS matches (away)63%
Combined (simple average)65.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.592%
Under 4.58%
Over 5.584%
Under 5.516%
Over 6.579%
Under 6.521%
Over 7.574%
Under 7.526%
Over 8.569%
Under 8.531%
Over 9.561%
Under 9.539%
Over 10.548%
Under 10.552%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.90

Per-Team Corners own matches

Parma (home)

Corners for4.1
Corners against5.4

Udinese (away)

Corners for4.5
Corners against5.8

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Parma
6 10 4 5 11
Udinese
11 9 7 15 10

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.598%
Under 1.52%
Over 2.587%
Under 2.513%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.6

Yellow Cards per Team

Parma (home)

For2.1

Udinese (away)

For2.6

Shots per Game

Parma — total shots (home)11.6
Udinese — total shots (away)10.9

Shots on Target

Parma — on target (home)4.1
Udinese — on target (away)3.7

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Parma

Inside the box6.61
Outside the box4.58

Udinese

Inside the box7.11
Outside the box4.32

Player Shots Parma

M. Keita
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target7%
+1.5 On Target7%
J. Ondrejka
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target17%
D. Camara
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target14%
+1.5 On Target5%
S. Sohm
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target22%
+1.5 On Target8%
Mateo Pellegrino
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target46%
+1.5 On Target23%

Player Shots Udinese

F. Thauvin
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target64%
+1.5 On Target24%
K. Davis
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target30%
+1.5 On Target13%
L. Lucca
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target58%
+1.5 On Target21%
C. Kabasele
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target19%
+1.5 On Target6%
J. Ekkelenkamp
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target21%
+1.5 On Target6%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Parma xG (home)1.18
Udinese xG (away)1.05

Average Possession

44.13% Possession 47.24%

Team Comparison Parma vs Udinese

79.68% Pass accuracy 80.89%
383 Passes per match 388.42
-0.14 Goals prevented -0.07
10.66 Fouls committed 14.21
2.74 Goalkeeper saves 3
0.82 Offsides 1.32
13.76 Tackles per match 14.82

League average xG this season is 1.22 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Parma vs Udinese prediction analysis

Review Parma vs Udinese with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie A
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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