Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Parma vs Udinese

Parma vs Udinese prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Serie A 2025-11-29 14:00
Parma
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
46%
Confidence
Low
Score
1-1
Udinese
Away

Prediction Summary

1
41%
X
27%
2
33%
Under 2.5
54%
BTTS Yes
51%
Confidence
Low

Market Evidence

Parma (Home)

Goals scored / match0.84
Goals conceded / match1.32
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate47%

Udinese (Away)

Goals scored / match1.42
Goals conceded / match1.42
Over 2.5 rate16%
BTTS rate53%

Team Form last 5 matches

Parma
WLLLW
Udinese
LLWWD

Goals Comparison rate per team

63% +0.5 79%
21% +1.5 47%
0% +2.5 16%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
47% BTTS 53%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 46%. Model confidence is Low.

Parma averages 0.84 goals scored at home, while Udinese averages 1.42 goals scored away.

Model Strength
54%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
41%
Draw
27%
Away Win
33%
Over 2.5
46%
BTTS Yes
51%

Head-to-Head last 5

Apr 2026 Parma(A) 1 - 0 Udinese Home
Nov 2025 Parma 0 - 2 Udinese Away
Mar 2025 Parma(A) 0 - 1 Udinese Away
Sep 2024 Parma 2 - 3 Udinese Away
Feb 2021 Parma 2 - 2 Udinese Draw

In the last 5 meetings, Parma won 1, drew 1 and lost 3.

Current Streaks

Parma — unbeaten run (home)1
Parma — scoring streak (home)4
Udinese — winless run (away)1
Udinese — clean sheets (away, last 5)3 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Parma Win (1)41%
Draw (X)27%
Udinese Win (2)33%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

63% +0.5 79%
21% +1.5 47%
0% +2.5 16%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

37% -0.5 21%
79% -1.5 53%
100% -2.5 84%
100% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Parma vs Udinese — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Parma — scored (home)0.84
Parma — conceded (home)1.32
Udinese — scored (away)1.42
Udinese — conceded (away)1.42
Model expected combined goals2.5

Both Teams To Score

Yes51%
No49%

Rate per Team

Parma — BTTS matches (home)47%
Udinese — BTTS matches (away)53%
Combined (simple average)50%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.590%
Under 4.510%
Over 5.584%
Under 5.516%
Over 6.574%
Under 6.526%
Over 7.561%
Under 7.539%
Over 8.553%
Under 8.547%
Over 9.540%
Under 9.560%
Over 10.534%
Under 10.566%
Expected total corners (blended average)8.90

Per-Team Corners own matches

Parma (home)

Corners for4.2
Corners against4.0

Udinese (away)

Corners for4.2
Corners against5.3

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Parma
11 11 9 17 2
Udinese
9 7 12 10 6

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.595%
Under 1.55%
Over 2.582%
Under 2.518%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.6

Yellow Cards per Team

Parma (home)

For1.8

Udinese (away)

For2.0

Shots per Game

Parma — total shots (home)12.4
Udinese — total shots (away)10.3

Shots on Target

Parma — on target (home)2.9
Udinese — on target (away)3.8

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Parma

Inside the box5.97
Outside the box4.74

Udinese

Inside the box6.97
Outside the box4.58

Player Shots Parma

Mateo Pellegrino
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target14%
Gabriel Strefezza
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target7%
P. Cutrone
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target27%
+1.5 On Target13%
J. Ondrejka
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target31%
+1.5 On Target6%
Adrián Bernabé
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target34%
+1.5 On Target3%

Player Shots Udinese

K. Davis
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target53%
+1.5 On Target27%
N. Zaniolo
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target16%
A. Atta
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target13%
J. Ekkelenkamp
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target32%
+1.5 On Target13%
Rui Modesto
Shots on Target/Game0.3
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target0%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Parma xG (home)0.84
Udinese xG (away)1.1

Average Possession

44% Possession 45.63%

Team Comparison Parma vs Udinese

79.66% Pass accuracy 80.47%
361.58 Passes per match 369.95
0.07 Goals prevented -0.02
10.87 Fouls committed 13.58
3.03 Goalkeeper saves 2.58
1.35 Offsides 1.59
13.92 Tackles per match 15.18

League average xG this season is 1.26 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Parma vs Udinese prediction analysis

Review Parma vs Udinese with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie A
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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