Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: PEC Zwolle vs GO Ahead Eagles

PEC Zwolle vs GO Ahead Eagles prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Eredivisie 2025-09-21 10:15
PEC Zwolle
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
50%
Confidence
Low
Score
1-1
GO Ahead Eagles
Away

Prediction Summary

1
43%
X
26%
2
31%
O/U 2.5 · No edge
50%
BTTS Yes
54%
Confidence
Low

Market Evidence

PEC Zwolle (Home)

Goals scored / match1.24
Goals conceded / match1.24
Over 2.5 rate12%
BTTS rate47%

GO Ahead Eagles (Away)

Goals scored / match1.18
Goals conceded / match1.71
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate59%

Team Form last 5 matches

PEC Zwolle
LLWLD
GO Ahead Eagles
LLDDD

Goals Comparison rate per team

71% +0.5 71%
35% +1.5 47%
12% +2.5 0%
6% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
47% BTTS 59%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 50%. Model confidence is Low.

PEC Zwolle averages 1.24 goals scored at home, while GO Ahead Eagles averages 1.18 goals scored away.

Model Strength
54%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
43%
Draw
26%
Away Win
31%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS Yes
54%

Head-to-Head last 5

Apr 2026 PEC Zwolle(A) 0 - 5 GO Ahead Eagles Away
Sep 2025 PEC Zwolle 0 - 2 GO Ahead Eagles Away
May 2025 PEC Zwolle 1 - 1 GO Ahead Eagles Draw
Nov 2024 PEC Zwolle(A) 2 - 2 GO Ahead Eagles Draw
Feb 2024 PEC Zwolle(A) 1 - 1 GO Ahead Eagles Draw

In the last 5 meetings, PEC Zwolle won 0, drew 3 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

PEC Zwolle — unbeaten run (home)0
PEC Zwolle — scoring streak (home)0
GO Ahead Eagles — winless run (away)4
GO Ahead Eagles — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

PEC Zwolle Win (1)43%
Draw (X)26%
GO Ahead Eagles Win (2)31%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

71% +0.5 71%
35% +1.5 47%
12% +2.5 0%
6% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

29% -0.5 29%
65% -1.5 53%
88% -2.5 100%
94% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

PEC Zwolle vs GO Ahead Eagles — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

PEC Zwolle — scored (home)1.24
PEC Zwolle — conceded (home)1.24
GO Ahead Eagles — scored (away)1.18
GO Ahead Eagles — conceded (away)1.71
Model expected combined goals2.68

Both Teams To Score

Yes54%
No46%

Rate per Team

PEC Zwolle — BTTS matches (home)47%
GO Ahead Eagles — BTTS matches (away)59%
Combined (simple average)53%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.597%
Under 4.53%
Over 5.594%
Under 5.56%
Over 6.585%
Under 6.515%
Over 7.571%
Under 7.529%
Over 8.571%
Under 8.529%
Over 9.559%
Under 9.541%
Over 10.547%
Under 10.553%
Expected total corners (blended average)10.60

Per-Team Corners own matches

PEC Zwolle (home)

Corners for4.1
Corners against6.1

GO Ahead Eagles (away)

Corners for4.4
Corners against6.5

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

PEC Zwolle
7 8 6 11 14
GO Ahead Eagles
13 15 14 12 17

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.591%
Under 0.59%
Over 1.585%
Under 1.515%
Over 2.576%
Under 2.524%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.6

Yellow Cards per Team

PEC Zwolle (home)

For1.7

GO Ahead Eagles (away)

For2.3

Shots per Game

PEC Zwolle — total shots (home)9.9
GO Ahead Eagles — total shots (away)9.4

Shots on Target

PEC Zwolle — on target (home)3.5
GO Ahead Eagles — on target (away)3.8

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

PEC Zwolle

Inside the box6.12
Outside the box3.53

GO Ahead Eagles

Inside the box8.15
Outside the box3.41

Player Shots PEC Zwolle

K. Kostons
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target47%
+1.5 On Target26%
Y. Namli
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target54%
+1.5 On Target23%
T. Oosting
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target53%
+1.5 On Target18%
O. Velanas
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target8%
S. Shoretire
Shots on Target/Game0.3
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target4%

Player Shots GO Ahead Eagles

M. Suray
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target53%
+1.5 On Target25%
S. Sigurðarson
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target64%
+1.5 On Target14%
J. Breum
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target39%
+1.5 On Target18%
M. Smit
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target53%
+1.5 On Target16%
M. Meulensteen
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target35%
+1.5 On Target12%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

PEC Zwolle xG (home)1.19
GO Ahead Eagles xG (away)1.28

Average Possession

44.94% Possession 49.47%

Team Comparison PEC Zwolle vs GO Ahead Eagles

77.53% Pass accuracy 79.68%
379.68 Passes per match 409.38
-0.25 Goals prevented 0.23
11.53 Fouls committed 9.15
4.09 Goalkeeper saves 4.35
1.74 Offsides 1.81
17.29 Tackles per match 11.88

League average xG this season is 1.54 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

PEC Zwolle vs GO Ahead Eagles prediction analysis

Review PEC Zwolle vs GO Ahead Eagles with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Eredivisie.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Eredivisie
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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