Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Pendikspor vs Esenler Erokspor

Pendikspor vs Esenler Erokspor prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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1. Lig 2025-12-27 16:00
Pendikspor
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
53%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-0
Esenler Erokspor
Away

Prediction Summary

1
59%
X
22%
2
18%
Over 2.5
53%
BTTS Yes
52%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Pendikspor (Home)

Goals scored / match1.74
Goals conceded / match0.63
Over 2.5 rate26%
BTTS rate42%

Esenler Erokspor (Away)

Goals scored / match2.21
Goals conceded / match0.95
Over 2.5 rate47%
BTTS rate53%

Team Form last 5 matches

Pendikspor
LDWDD
Esenler Erokspor
LDLWW

Goals Comparison rate per team

79% +0.5 79%
53% +1.5 58%
26% +2.5 47%
16% +3.5 26%
0% +4.5 11%
42% BTTS 53%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 53%. Model confidence is Medium.

Pendikspor averages 1.74 goals scored at home, while Esenler Erokspor averages 2.21 goals scored away.

Model Strength
59%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
59%
Draw
22%
Away Win
18%
Over 2.5
53%
BTTS Yes
52%

Head-to-Head last 4

May 2026 Pendikspor(A) 1 - 1 Esenler Erokspor Draw
Dec 2025 Pendikspor 0 - 0 Esenler Erokspor Draw
Feb 2025 Pendikspor 2 - 2 Esenler Erokspor Draw
Sep 2024 Pendikspor(A) 0 - 4 Esenler Erokspor Away

In the last 4 meetings, Pendikspor won 0, drew 3 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Pendikspor — unbeaten run (home)5
Pendikspor — scoring streak (home)5
Esenler Erokspor — winless run (away)1
Esenler Erokspor — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Pendikspor Win (1)59%
Draw (X)22%
Esenler Erokspor Win (2)18%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

79% +0.5 79%
53% +1.5 58%
26% +2.5 47%
16% +3.5 26%
0% +4.5 11%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

21% -0.5 21%
47% -1.5 42%
74% -2.5 53%
84% -3.5 74%
100% -4.5 89%

Pendikspor vs Esenler Erokspor — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Pendikspor — scored (home)1.74
Pendikspor — conceded (home)0.63
Esenler Erokspor — scored (away)2.21
Esenler Erokspor — conceded (away)0.95
Model expected combined goals2.81

Both Teams To Score

Yes52%
No48%

Rate per Team

Pendikspor — BTTS matches (home)42%
Esenler Erokspor — BTTS matches (away)53%
Combined (simple average)47.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.595%
Under 4.55%
Over 5.592%
Under 5.58%
Over 6.582%
Under 6.518%
Over 7.561%
Under 7.539%
Over 8.540%
Under 8.560%
Over 9.526%
Under 9.574%
Over 10.516%
Under 10.584%
Expected total corners (blended average)8.20

Per-Team Corners own matches

Pendikspor (home)

Corners for5.3
Corners against2.8

Esenler Erokspor (away)

Corners for4.8
Corners against3.4

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Pendikspor
9 11 11 7 7
Esenler Erokspor
8 10 11 7 10

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.595%
Under 0.55%
Over 1.595%
Under 1.55%
Over 2.587%
Under 2.513%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.3

Yellow Cards per Team

Pendikspor (home)

For2.7

Esenler Erokspor (away)

For2.4

Shots per Game

Pendikspor — total shots (home)13.8
Esenler Erokspor — total shots (away)12.5

Shots on Target

Pendikspor — on target (home)5.3
Esenler Erokspor — on target (away)4.9

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Pendikspor

Inside the box7.95
Outside the box5.15

Esenler Erokspor

Inside the box8.54
Outside the box4.15

Player Shots Pendikspor

Đ. Denić
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target11%
Thuram
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target19%
M. Wilks
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target31%
J. Clarke-Harris
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target56%
+1.5 On Target19%
V. Soldo
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target8%
+1.5 On Target3%

Player Shots Esenler Erokspor

O. Kayode
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target54%
+1.5 On Target26%
Ö. Beyaz
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target26%
+1.5 On Target11%
R. Jack
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target7%
+1.5 On Target4%
E. Gedik
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target22%
+1.5 On Target11%
G. Kanga
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target34%
+1.5 On Target10%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Pendikspor xG (home)1.62
Esenler Erokspor xG (away)1.6

Average Possession

52.28% Possession 57.9%

Team Comparison Pendikspor vs Esenler Erokspor

81.28% Pass accuracy 83.72%
393.87 Passes per match 464.79
0 Goals prevented 0
14.72 Fouls committed 10.67
2.26 Goalkeeper saves 1.64
1.61 Offsides 1.95
15.36 Tackles per match 13.03

League average xG this season is 1.42 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Pendikspor vs Esenler Erokspor prediction analysis

Review Pendikspor vs Esenler Erokspor with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from 1. Lig.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance 1. Lig
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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