What markets are included in the Philadelphia Union vs Atlanta United FC prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Philadelphia Union vs Atlanta United FC

Q: How is the Philadelphia Union vs Atlanta United FC prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Philadelphia Union vs Atlanta United FC prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Major League Soccer 2026-08-01 23:30

Philadelphia Union

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

52%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-0

Atlanta United FC

Away

Prediction Summary

66%

20%

13%

Over 2.5

52%

BTTS No

54%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Philadelphia Union (Home)

Goals scored / match2.05

Goals conceded / match0.95

Over 2.5 rate40%

BTTS rate55%

Atlanta United FC (Away)

Goals scored / match0.58

Goals conceded / match1.95

Over 2.5 rate0%

BTTS rate42%

Team Form last 5 matches

Philadelphia Union

WLWDL

Atlanta United FC

DLDLL

Goals Comparison rate per team

90% +0.5 47%

65% +1.5 11%

40% +2.5 0%

10% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

55% BTTS 42%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 52%. Model confidence is Medium.

Philadelphia Union averages 2.05 goals scored at home, while Atlanta United FC averages 0.58 goals scored away.

Model Strength

66%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

66%

Draw

20%

Away Win

13%

Over 2.5

52%

BTTS Yes

46%

Head-to-Head last 5

May 2025 Philadelphia Union(A) 1 - 0 Atlanta United FC Home

Apr 2025 Philadelphia Union 3 - 0 Atlanta United FC Home

Sep 2024 Philadelphia Union 1 - 1 Atlanta United FC Draw

Apr 2024 Philadelphia Union(A) 2 - 2 Atlanta United FC Draw

Oct 2023 Philadelphia Union 3 - 2 Atlanta United FC Home

In the last 5 meetings, Philadelphia Union won 3, drew 2 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

Philadelphia Union — unbeaten run (home)1

Philadelphia Union — scoring streak (home)1

Atlanta United FC — winless run (away)5

Atlanta United FC — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Philadelphia Union Win (1)66%

Draw (X)20%

Atlanta United FC Win (2)13%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

90% +0.5 47%

65% +1.5 11%

40% +2.5 0%

10% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

10% -0.5 53%

35% -1.5 89%

60% -2.5 100%

90% -3.5 100%

100% -4.5 100%

Philadelphia Union vs Atlanta United FC — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Philadelphia Union — scored (home)2.05

Philadelphia Union — conceded (home)0.95

Atlanta United FC — scored (away)0.58

Atlanta United FC — conceded (away)1.95

Model expected combined goals2.76

Both Teams To Score

Yes46%

No54%

Rate per Team

Philadelphia Union — BTTS matches (home)55%

Atlanta United FC — BTTS matches (away)42%

Combined (simple average)48.5%

Corners Line model prediction

Over 8.560%

Under 8.540%

Over 9.549%

Under 9.551%

Over 10.539%

Under 10.561%

Expected total corners (model prediction)9.70

Per-Team Corners own matches

Philadelphia Union (home)

Corners for7.1

Corners against3.9

Atlanta United FC (away)

Corners for3.5

Corners against5.4

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Philadelphia Union

16 12 11 11 14

Atlanta United FC

10 8 13 6 9

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.595%

Under 0.55%

Over 1.587%

Under 1.513%

Over 2.582%

Under 2.518%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.4

Yellow Cards per Team

Philadelphia Union (home)

For2.3

Atlanta United FC (away)

For2.4

Shots Forecast model prediction

Match Total

Over 19.579%

Under 19.521%

Over 22.565%

Under 22.535%

Over 25.550%

Under 25.550%

Expected total shots26.25

Philadelphia Union

Shots Over 9.587%

Shots Over 11.576%

Shots Over 13.561%

Expected shots15.50

On Target Over 3.578%

On Target Over 4.563%

On Target Over 5.548%

Expected on target5.61

Atlanta United FC

Shots Over 9.558%

Shots Over 11.539%

Shots Over 13.524%

Expected shots10.75

On Target Over 3.550%

On Target Over 4.532%

On Target Over 5.518%

Expected on target3.71

Shots per Game

Philadelphia Union — total shots (home)17.0

Atlanta United FC — total shots (away)10.6

Shots on Target

Philadelphia Union — on target (home)6.1

Atlanta United FC — on target (away)2.9

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Philadelphia Union

Inside the box9.38

Outside the box6.03

Atlanta United FC

Inside the box7.68

Outside the box3.91

Player Shots Philadelphia Union

M. Iloski

Shots on Target/Game2.1

+0.5 On Target54%

+1.5 On Target31%

T. Baribo

Shots on Target/Game1.7

+0.5 On Target47%

+1.5 On Target22%

Cavan Sullivan

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target14%

+1.5 On Target7%

B. Damiani

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target70%

+1.5 On Target22%

D. Jean-Jacques

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target29%

+1.5 On Target9%

Player Shots Atlanta United FC

E. Latte Lath

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target39%

+1.5 On Target13%

M. Almirón

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target53%

+1.5 On Target22%

J. Thiaré

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target36%

+1.5 On Target7%

E. Mihaj

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target30%

+1.5 On Target10%

T. Muyumba

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target16%

+1.5 On Target4%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Philadelphia Union xG (home)1.72

Atlanta United FC xG (away)1.36

Average Possession

48.16% Possession 50.24%

Team Comparison Philadelphia Union vs Atlanta United FC

75.27% Pass accuracy 85.23%

390.65 Passes per match 478.76

0.17 Goals prevented -0.03

14.57 Fouls committed 10.91

2.14 Goalkeeper saves 3.55

1.59 Offsides 1.88

18.08 Tackles per match 13.37

League average xG this season is 1.48 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Philadelphia Union vs Atlanta United FC prediction analysis

Review Philadelphia Union vs Atlanta United FC with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Major League Soccer.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Major League Soccer

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights