Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Pisa vs AS Roma

Pisa vs AS Roma prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Serie A 2025-08-30 18:45
Pisa
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
37%
Confidence
Medium
Score
0-1
AS Roma
Away

Prediction Summary

1
22%
X
28%
2
51%
Under 2.5
63%
BTTS No
59%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Pisa (Home)

Goals scored / match0.47
Goals conceded / match1.37
Over 2.5 rate5%
BTTS rate32%

AS Roma (Away)

Goals scored / match1.37
Goals conceded / match1.11
Over 2.5 rate11%
BTTS rate42%

Team Form last 5 matches

Pisa
LLLLL
AS Roma
WWWWW

Goals Comparison rate per team

37% +0.5 79%
5% +1.5 47%
5% +2.5 11%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
32% BTTS 42%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 37%. Model confidence is Medium.

Pisa averages 0.47 goals scored at home, while AS Roma averages 1.37 goals scored away.

Model Strength
63%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
22%
Draw
28%
Away Win
51%
Over 2.5
37%
BTTS Yes
41%

Head-to-Head last 2

Apr 2026 Pisa(A) 0 - 3 AS Roma Away
Aug 2025 Pisa 0 - 1 AS Roma Away

In the last 2 meetings, Pisa won 0, drew 0 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Pisa — unbeaten run (home)0
Pisa — scoring streak (home)0
AS Roma — winless run (away)0
AS Roma — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Pisa Win (1)22%
Draw (X)28%
AS Roma Win (2)51%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

37% +0.5 79%
5% +1.5 47%
5% +2.5 11%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

63% -0.5 21%
95% -1.5 53%
95% -2.5 89%
100% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Pisa vs AS Roma — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Pisa — scored (home)0.47
Pisa — conceded (home)1.37
AS Roma — scored (away)1.37
AS Roma — conceded (away)1.11
Model expected combined goals2.16

Both Teams To Score

Yes41%
No59%

Rate per Team

Pisa — BTTS matches (home)32%
AS Roma — BTTS matches (away)42%
Combined (simple average)37%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.584%
Under 4.516%
Over 5.582%
Under 5.518%
Over 6.571%
Under 6.529%
Over 7.561%
Under 7.539%
Over 8.550%
Under 8.550%
Over 9.540%
Under 9.560%
Over 10.529%
Under 10.571%
Expected total corners (blended average)8.40

Per-Team Corners own matches

Pisa (home)

Corners for3.8
Corners against4.3

AS Roma (away)

Corners for4.6
Corners against4.2

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Pisa
11 7 8 7 6
AS Roma
14 9 9 11 12

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.592%
Under 1.58%
Over 2.584%
Under 2.516%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.9

Yellow Cards per Team

Pisa (home)

For2.1

AS Roma (away)

For2.0

Shots per Game

Pisa — total shots (home)10.2
AS Roma — total shots (away)11.2

Shots on Target

Pisa — on target (home)3.1
AS Roma — on target (away)4.2

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Pisa

Inside the box7.11
Outside the box2.47

AS Roma

Inside the box9.74
Outside the box3.5

Player Shots Pisa

S. Moreo
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target41%
+1.5 On Target14%
M'Bala Nzola
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target6%
R. Durosinmi
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target8%
M. Tramoni
Shots on Target/Game0.3
+0.5 On Target26%
+1.5 On Target7%
F. Stojilković
Shots on Target/Game0.3
+0.5 On Target31%
+1.5 On Target0%

Player Shots AS Roma

D. Malen
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target89%
+1.5 On Target56%
E. Ferguson
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target38%
P. Dybala
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target59%
+1.5 On Target23%
M. Soulé
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target42%
+1.5 On Target9%
L. Pellegrini
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target42%
+1.5 On Target8%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Pisa xG (home)1.05
AS Roma xG (away)1.45

Average Possession

40.21% Possession 56.29%

Team Comparison Pisa vs AS Roma

76.16% Pass accuracy 83.32%
326.92 Passes per match 487.97
0.06 Goals prevented -0.02
13.18 Fouls committed 13.76
2.84 Goalkeeper saves 2.82
1.7 Offsides 1.68
16.42 Tackles per match 15.11

League average xG this season is 1.26 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Pisa vs AS Roma prediction analysis

Review Pisa vs AS Roma with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie A
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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