What markets are included in the Pisa vs Fiorentina prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Pisa vs Fiorentina prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Pisa vs Fiorentina

Pisa vs Fiorentina prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Serie A 2025-09-28 13:00

Pisa

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

38%

Confidence

Medium

Score

0-1

Fiorentina

Away

Prediction Summary

30%

29%

41%

Under 2.5

62%

BTTS No

56%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Pisa (Home)

Goals scored / match0.47

Goals conceded / match1.37

Over 2.5 rate5%

BTTS rate32%

Fiorentina (Away)

Goals scored / match1.05

Goals conceded / match1.53

Over 2.5 rate5%

BTTS rate53%

Team Form last 5 matches

Pisa

LLLLL

Fiorentina

DWDLD

Goals Comparison rate per team

37% +0.5 63%

5% +1.5 32%

5% +2.5 5%

0% +3.5 5%

0% +4.5 0%

32% BTTS 53%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 38%. Model confidence is Medium.

Pisa averages 0.47 goals scored at home, while Fiorentina averages 1.05 goals scored away.

Model Strength

62%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

30%

Draw

29%

Away Win

41%

Over 2.5

38%

BTTS Yes

44%

Head-to-Head last 2

Feb 2026 Pisa(A) 0 - 1 Fiorentina Away

Sep 2025 Pisa 0 - 0 Fiorentina Draw

In the last 2 meetings, Pisa won 0, drew 1 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Pisa — unbeaten run (home)0

Pisa — scoring streak (home)0

Fiorentina — winless run (away)0

Fiorentina — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Pisa Win (1)30%

Draw (X)29%

Fiorentina Win (2)41%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

37% +0.5 63%

5% +1.5 32%

5% +2.5 5%

0% +3.5 5%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

63% -0.5 37%

95% -1.5 68%

95% -2.5 95%

100% -3.5 95%

100% -4.5 100%

Pisa vs Fiorentina — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Pisa — scored (home)0.47

Pisa — conceded (home)1.37

Fiorentina — scored (away)1.05

Fiorentina — conceded (away)1.53

Model expected combined goals2.21

Both Teams To Score

Yes44%

No56%

Rate per Team

Pisa — BTTS matches (home)32%

Fiorentina — BTTS matches (away)53%

Combined (simple average)42.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.590%

Under 4.510%

Over 5.587%

Under 5.513%

Over 6.576%

Under 6.524%

Over 7.564%

Under 7.536%

Over 8.550%

Under 8.550%

Over 9.542%

Under 9.558%

Over 10.516%

Under 10.584%

Expected total corners (blended average)8.40

Per-Team Corners own matches

Pisa (home)

Corners for3.8

Corners against4.3

Fiorentina (away)

Corners for3.4

Corners against5.2

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Pisa

11 7 8 7 6

Fiorentina

11 9 7 8 6

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%

Under 0.50%

Over 1.589%

Under 1.511%

Over 2.584%

Under 2.516%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.1

Yellow Cards per Team

Pisa (home)

For2.1

Fiorentina (away)

For2.3

Shots per Game

Pisa — total shots (home)10.2

Fiorentina — total shots (away)10.1

Shots on Target

Pisa — on target (home)3.1

Fiorentina — on target (away)2.8

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Pisa

Inside the box7.11

Outside the box2.47

Fiorentina

Inside the box8.05

Outside the box4.82

Player Shots Pisa

S. Moreo

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target41%

+1.5 On Target14%

M'Bala Nzola

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target38%

+1.5 On Target6%

R. Durosinmi

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target33%

+1.5 On Target8%

M. Tramoni

Shots on Target/Game0.3

+0.5 On Target26%

+1.5 On Target7%

F. Stojilković

Shots on Target/Game0.3

+0.5 On Target31%

+1.5 On Target0%

Player Shots Fiorentina

M. Kean

Shots on Target/Game1

+0.5 On Target65%

+1.5 On Target27%

R. Mandragora

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target3%

R. Piccoli

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target38%

+1.5 On Target9%

A. Guðmundsson

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target33%

+1.5 On Target9%

F. Parisi

Shots on Target/Game0.3

+0.5 On Target22%

+1.5 On Target9%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Pisa xG (home)1.05

Fiorentina xG (away)1.4

Average Possession

40.21% Possession 50.97%

Team Comparison Pisa vs Fiorentina

76.16% Pass accuracy 83.89%

326.92 Passes per match 423.61

0.06 Goals prevented 0.06

13.18 Fouls committed 12.5

2.84 Goalkeeper saves 3.34

1.7 Offsides 1.94

16.42 Tackles per match 12.26

League average xG this season is 1.26 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Pisa vs Fiorentina prediction analysis

Review Pisa vs Fiorentina with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie A

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights