Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Pisa vs Padova

Pisa vs Padova prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Serie B 2026-08-22 13:00
Pisa
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
45%
Confidence
Low
Score
1-0
Padova
Away

Prediction Summary

1
48%
X
26%
2
26%
Under 2.5
55%
BTTS No
51%
Confidence
Low

Market Evidence

Pisa (Home)

Goals scored / match0
Goals conceded / match0
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate0%

Padova (Away)

Goals scored / match0.95
Goals conceded / match1.42
Over 2.5 rate11%
BTTS rate42%

Team Form last 5 matches

Padova
WWLWW

Goals Comparison rate per team

0% +0.5 58%
0% +1.5 21%
0% +2.5 11%
0% +3.5 5%
0% +4.5 0%
0% BTTS 42%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 45%. Model confidence is Low.

Pisa averages 0 goals scored at home, while Padova averages 0.95 goals scored away.

Model Strength
55%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
48%
Draw
26%
Away Win
26%
Over 2.5
45%
BTTS Yes
49%

Head-to-Head last 0

No head-to-head historyThese two teams have no finished match on record against each other.

Current Streaks

Padova — winless run (away)0
Padova — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Pisa Win (1)48%
Draw (X)26%
Padova Win (2)26%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

0% +0.5 58%
0% +1.5 21%
0% +2.5 11%
0% +3.5 5%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

100% -0.5 42%
100% -1.5 79%
100% -2.5 89%
100% -3.5 95%
100% -4.5 100%

Pisa vs Padova — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Pisa — scored (home)0
Pisa — conceded (home)0
Padova — scored (away)0.95
Padova — conceded (away)1.42
Model expected combined goals2.48

Both Teams To Score

Yes49%
No51%

Rate per Team

Pisa — BTTS matches (home)0%
Padova — BTTS matches (away)42%
Combined (simple average)21%

Corners Line model prediction

Over 8.556%
Under 8.544%
Over 9.545%
Under 9.555%
Over 10.535%
Under 10.565%
Expected total corners (model prediction)9.40

Per-Team Corners own matches

Pisa (home)

Corners for—
Corners against—

Padova (away)

Corners for3.6
Corners against6.3

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Padova
8 7 8 9 14

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.550%
Under 0.550%
Over 1.550%
Under 1.550%
Over 2.548%
Under 2.552%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.7

Yellow Cards per Team

Pisa (home)

For—

Padova (away)

For2.9

Shots Forecast model prediction

Match Total

Over 19.576%
Under 19.524%
Over 22.563%
Under 22.537%
Over 25.548%
Under 25.552%
Expected total shots25.92

Pisa

Shots Over 9.586%
Shots Over 11.574%
Shots Over 13.560%
Expected shots15.38
On Target Over 3.569%
On Target Over 4.553%
On Target Over 5.537%
Expected on target4.92

Padova

Shots Over 9.556%
Shots Over 11.538%
Shots Over 13.523%
Expected shots10.54
On Target Over 3.547%
On Target Over 4.529%
On Target Over 5.517%
Expected on target3.57

Shots per Game

Pisa — total shots (home)—
Padova — total shots (away)9.6

Shots on Target

Pisa — on target (home)—
Padova — on target (away)3.6

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Pisa

Inside the box-
Outside the box-

Padova

Inside the box6.76
Outside the box4.24

Player Shots Pisa

Not enough dataNot enough player match statistics for this squad.

Player Shots Padova

F. Di Mariano
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target13%
+1.5 On Target13%
G. Favale
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target5%
+1.5 On Target5%
P. Gómez
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target33%
M. Bortolussi
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target47%
+1.5 On Target16%
Jonathan Silva
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target12%
+1.5 On Target6%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Pisa xG (home)-
Padova xG (away)1.01

Average Possession

-% Possession 47.66%

Team Comparison Pisa vs Padova

0% Pass accuracy 77.76%
- Passes per match 392.95
- Goals prevented 0.03
- Fouls committed 14.32
- Goalkeeper saves 3.55
- Offsides 1.86
- Tackles per match 17.47

League average xG this season is 1.36 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Pisa vs Padova prediction and preview

Preview Pisa vs Padova with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, recent form and key team performance data.

1X2 Over/Under 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie B
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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