Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Plzen vs Ludogorets

Plzen vs Ludogorets prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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UEFA Europa League 2024-10-03 19:00
Plzen
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
24%
Confidence
High
Score
1-0
Ludogorets
Away

Prediction Summary

1
47%
X
33%
2
21%
Under 2.5
76%
BTTS No
70%
Confidence
High

Market Evidence

Plzen (Home)

Goals scored / match1.38
Goals conceded / match0.63
Over 2.5 rate13%
BTTS rate38%

Ludogorets (Away)

Goals scored / match0.6
Goals conceded / match0.8
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate40%

Team Form last 5 matches

Plzen
DLWLL
Ludogorets
DLDDL

Goals Comparison rate per team

88% +0.5 40%
38% +1.5 20%
13% +2.5 0%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
38% BTTS 40%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 24%. Model confidence is High.

Plzen averages 1.38 goals scored at home, while Ludogorets averages 0.6 goals scored away.

Model Strength
76%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
47%
Draw
33%
Away Win
21%
Over 2.5
24%
BTTS Yes
30%

Head-to-Head last 1

Oct 2024 Plzen 0 - 0 Ludogorets Draw

In the last 1 meetings, Plzen won 0, drew 1 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

Plzen — unbeaten run (home)0
Plzen — scoring streak (home)5
Ludogorets — winless run (away)4
Ludogorets — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Plzen Win (1)47%
Draw (X)33%
Ludogorets Win (2)21%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

88% +0.5 40%
38% +1.5 20%
13% +2.5 0%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

12% -0.5 60%
62% -1.5 80%
87% -2.5 100%
100% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Plzen vs Ludogorets — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Plzen — scored (home)1.38
Plzen — conceded (home)0.63
Ludogorets — scored (away)0.6
Ludogorets — conceded (away)0.8
Model expected combined goals1.7

Both Teams To Score

Yes30%
No70%

Rate per Team

Plzen — BTTS matches (home)38%
Ludogorets — BTTS matches (away)40%
Combined (simple average)39%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.565%
Under 4.535%
Over 5.565%
Under 5.535%
Over 6.559%
Under 6.541%
Over 7.559%
Under 7.541%
Over 8.549%
Under 8.551%
Over 9.530%
Under 9.570%
Over 10.510%
Under 10.590%
Expected total corners (blended average)7.10

Per-Team Corners own matches

Plzen (home)

Corners for4.3
Corners against2.2

Ludogorets (away)

Corners for3.6
Corners against5.6

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Plzen
8 16 9 9 16
Ludogorets
9 10 14 11 15

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.594%
Under 0.56%
Over 1.594%
Under 1.56%
Over 2.594%
Under 2.56%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.5

Yellow Cards per Team

Plzen (home)

For1.7

Ludogorets (away)

For3.0

Shots per Game

Plzen — total shots (home)12.7
Ludogorets — total shots (away)10.0

Shots on Target

Plzen — on target (home)4.7
Ludogorets — on target (away)3.6

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Plzen

Inside the box7.42
Outside the box5.17

Ludogorets

Inside the box5.75
Outside the box4.5

Player Shots Plzen

P. Adu
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target45%
+1.5 On Target27%
E. Jirka
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target20%
R. Durosinmi
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target25%
M. Vydra
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target45%
+1.5 On Target9%
P. Šulc
Shots on Target/Game1.1
+0.5 On Target58%
+1.5 On Target8%

Player Shots Ludogorets

Caio Vidal
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target20%
+1.5 On Target20%
A. Camara
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target14%
+1.5 On Target14%
K. Duah
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target17%
Rwan Cruz
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target13%
Erick Marcus
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target14%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Plzen xG (home)1.25
Ludogorets xG (away)0.96

Average Possession

40.83% Possession 46.22%

Team Comparison Plzen vs Ludogorets

71.83% Pass accuracy 78.75%
347.08 Passes per match 397.25
-0.01 Goals prevented 0.29
12 Fouls committed 11.11
3.46 Goalkeeper saves 4.89
2.31 Offsides 1.56
19.92 Tackles per match 17.13

League average xG this season is 1.47 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Plzen vs Ludogorets prediction analysis

Review Plzen vs Ludogorets with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from UEFA Europa League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance UEFA Europa League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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