Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Plzen vs Real Sociedad

Plzen vs Real Sociedad prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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UEFA Europa League 2024-11-07 20:00
Plzen
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
32%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-0
Real Sociedad
Away

Prediction Summary

1
53%
X
29%
2
19%
Under 2.5
68%
BTTS No
64%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Plzen (Home)

Goals scored / match1.38
Goals conceded / match0.63
Over 2.5 rate13%
BTTS rate38%

Real Sociedad (Away)

Goals scored / match1.33
Goals conceded / match2
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate100%

Team Form last 5 matches

Plzen
DLWLL
Real Sociedad
LDWWW

Goals Comparison rate per team

88% +0.5 100%
38% +1.5 33%
13% +2.5 0%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
38% BTTS 100%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 32%. Model confidence is Medium.

Plzen averages 1.38 goals scored at home, while Real Sociedad averages 1.33 goals scored away.

Model Strength
68%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
53%
Draw
29%
Away Win
19%
Over 2.5
32%
BTTS Yes
36%

Head-to-Head last 1

Nov 2024 Plzen 2 - 1 Real Sociedad Home

In the last 1 meetings, Plzen won 1, drew 0 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

Plzen — unbeaten run (home)0
Plzen — scoring streak (home)5
Real Sociedad — winless run (away)1
Real Sociedad — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Plzen Win (1)53%
Draw (X)29%
Real Sociedad Win (2)19%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

88% +0.5 100%
38% +1.5 33%
13% +2.5 0%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

12% -0.5 0%
62% -1.5 67%
87% -2.5 100%
100% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Plzen vs Real Sociedad — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Plzen — scored (home)1.38
Plzen — conceded (home)0.63
Real Sociedad — scored (away)1.33
Real Sociedad — conceded (away)2
Model expected combined goals2

Both Teams To Score

Yes36%
No64%

Rate per Team

Plzen — BTTS matches (home)38%
Real Sociedad — BTTS matches (away)100%
Combined (simple average)69%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.575%
Under 4.525%
Over 5.575%
Under 5.525%
Over 6.561%
Under 6.539%
Over 7.561%
Under 7.539%
Over 8.553%
Under 8.547%
Over 9.517%
Under 9.583%
Over 10.59%
Under 10.591%
Expected total corners (blended average)6.90

Per-Team Corners own matches

Plzen (home)

Corners for4.3
Corners against2.2

Real Sociedad (away)

Corners for4.0
Corners against4.8

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Plzen
8 16 9 9 16
Real Sociedad
8 11 13 8 10

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.594%
Under 0.56%
Over 1.594%
Under 1.56%
Over 2.594%
Under 2.56%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.6

Yellow Cards per Team

Plzen (home)

For1.7

Real Sociedad (away)

For4.0

Shots per Game

Plzen — total shots (home)12.7
Real Sociedad — total shots (away)10.3

Shots on Target

Plzen — on target (home)4.7
Real Sociedad — on target (away)3.8

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Plzen

Inside the box7.42
Outside the box5.17

Real Sociedad

Inside the box9.75
Outside the box4.58

Player Shots Plzen

P. Adu
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target45%
+1.5 On Target27%
E. Jirka
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target20%
R. Durosinmi
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target25%
M. Vydra
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target45%
+1.5 On Target9%
P. Šulc
Shots on Target/Game1.1
+0.5 On Target58%
+1.5 On Target8%

Player Shots Real Sociedad

Jon Ander Olasagasti
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target17%
+1.5 On Target17%
Mikel Oyarzabal
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target25%
L. Sučić
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target17%
+1.5 On Target17%
U. Sadiq
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target33%
S. Becker
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target20%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Plzen xG (home)1.25
Real Sociedad xG (away)1.86

Average Possession

40.83% Possession 51%

Team Comparison Plzen vs Real Sociedad

71.83% Pass accuracy 80.58%
347.08 Passes per match 440.17
-0.01 Goals prevented -0.1
12 Fouls committed 13.42
3.46 Goalkeeper saves 2.58
2.31 Offsides 1.27
19.92 Tackles per match 17.58

League average xG this season is 1.47 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Plzen vs Real Sociedad prediction analysis

Review Plzen vs Real Sociedad with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from UEFA Europa League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance UEFA Europa League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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