What markets are included in the Ponte Preta vs Athletic Club prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Ponte Preta vs Athletic Club prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Ponte Preta vs Athletic Club

Ponte Preta vs Athletic Club prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Serie B 2026-07-28 22:30

Ponte Preta

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Away Win

Pick

Athletic Club

Probability

38%

Confidence

High

Score

0-0

Athletic Club

Away

Prediction Summary

29%

32%

38%

Under 2.5

72%

BTTS No

64%

Confidence

High

Market Evidence

Ponte Preta (Home)

Goals scored / match1

Goals conceded / match2

Over 2.5 rate0%

BTTS rate100%

Athletic Club (Away)

Goals scored / match0

Goals conceded / match0.67

Over 2.5 rate0%

BTTS rate0%

Team Form last 5 matches

Ponte Preta

LLLLL

Athletic Club

WDDLW

Goals Comparison rate per team

100% +0.5 0%

0% +1.5 0%

0% +2.5 0%

0% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

100% BTTS 0%

Model Insight

The selected market is Away Win with a probability of 38%. Model confidence is High.

Ponte Preta averages 1 goals scored at home, while Athletic Club averages 0 goals scored away.

Model Strength

72%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

29%

Draw

32%

Away Win

38%

Over 2.5

28%

BTTS Yes

36%

Head-to-Head last 0

No head-to-head historyThese two teams have no finished match on record against each other.

Current Streaks

Ponte Preta — unbeaten run (home)0

Ponte Preta — scoring streak (home)2

Athletic Club — winless run (away)3

Athletic Club — clean sheets (away, last 3)2 of 3

1X2 Probability model

Ponte Preta Win (1)29%

Draw (X)32%

Athletic Club Win (2)38%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

100% +0.5 0%

0% +1.5 0%

0% +2.5 0%

0% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

0% -0.5 100%

100% -1.5 100%

100% -2.5 100%

100% -3.5 100%

100% -4.5 100%

Ponte Preta vs Athletic Club — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Ponte Preta — scored (home)1

Ponte Preta — conceded (home)2

Athletic Club — scored (away)0

Athletic Club — conceded (away)0.67

Model expected combined goals1.83

Both Teams To Score

Yes36%

No64%

Rate per Team

Ponte Preta — BTTS matches (home)100%

Athletic Club — BTTS matches (away)0%

Combined (simple average)50%

Corners Line model prediction

Over 8.563%

Under 8.537%

Over 9.553%

Under 9.547%

Over 10.543%

Under 10.557%

Expected total corners (model prediction)10.10

Per-Team Corners own matches

Ponte Preta (home)

Corners for4.0

Corners against2.0

Athletic Club (away)

Corners for4.7

Corners against4.7

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Ponte Preta

8 11 6 12

Athletic Club

10 11 9 9 7

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%

Under 0.50%

Over 1.5100%

Under 1.50%

Over 2.584%

Under 2.516%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.5

Yellow Cards per Team

Ponte Preta (home)

For1.0

Athletic Club (away)

For2.7

Shots Forecast model prediction

Match Total

Over 19.574%

Under 19.526%

Over 22.559%

Under 22.541%

Over 25.544%

Under 25.556%

Expected total shots24.88

Ponte Preta

Shots Over 9.581%

Shots Over 11.567%

Shots Over 13.551%

Expected shots14.13

On Target Over 3.563%

On Target Over 4.544%

On Target Over 5.528%

Expected on target4.39

Athletic Club

Shots Over 9.558%

Shots Over 11.540%

Shots Over 13.524%

Expected shots10.76

On Target Over 3.539%

On Target Over 4.522%

On Target Over 5.511%

Expected on target3.17

Shots per Game

Ponte Preta — total shots (home)12.0

Athletic Club — total shots (away)9.7

Shots on Target

Ponte Preta — on target (home)3.0

Athletic Club — on target (away)1.0

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Ponte Preta

Inside the box5.5

Outside the box5.25

Athletic Club

Inside the box6.4

Outside the box7

Player Shots Ponte Preta

Élvis

Shots on Target/Game2

+0.5 On Target100%

+1.5 On Target67%

Brandão

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target25%

Danilo Barcelos

Shots on Target/Game1

+0.5 On Target25%

+1.5 On Target0%

Kevyson

Shots on Target/Game0

+0.5 On Target0%

+1.5 On Target0%

Lucas Cunha

Shots on Target/Game0

+0.5 On Target0%

+1.5 On Target0%

Player Shots Athletic Club

Jota

Shots on Target/Game2

+0.5 On Target33%

+1.5 On Target33%

Luiz Fernando

Shots on Target/Game2

+0.5 On Target33%

+1.5 On Target33%

Ian Luccas

Shots on Target/Game1

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target0%

Kauan

Shots on Target/Game1

+0.5 On Target40%

+1.5 On Target0%

Dixon Vera

Shots on Target/Game1

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target0%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Ponte Preta xG (home)0.97

Athletic Club xG (away)0.66

Average Possession

41% Possession 45.4%

Team Comparison Ponte Preta vs Athletic Club

74.75% Pass accuracy 80.5%

264.25 Passes per match 317.4

-0.13 Goals prevented -0.15

18 Fouls committed 12.6

3 Goalkeeper saves 2.8

0.75 Offsides 2.33

17.25 Tackles per match 16.8

League average xG this season is 1.13 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Ponte Preta vs Athletic Club prediction analysis

Review Ponte Preta vs Athletic Club with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie B.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie B

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights