Prediction Analysis: Portimonense vs Vizela
Portimonense vs Vizela prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.
Segunda Liga
2026-08-16
10:00
Portimonense
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
38%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Vizela
Away
Prediction Summary
1
38%
X
29%
2
33%
Under 2.5
62%
BTTS No
55%
Confidence
Medium
Market Evidence
Portimonense (Home)
Goals scored / match1.12
Goals conceded / match1.29
Over 2.5 rate12%
BTTS rate65%
Vizela (Away)
Goals scored / match0.82
Goals conceded / match1.18
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate41%
Team Form last 5 matches
Portimonense
WDWLW
Vizela
LWDWL
Goals Comparison rate per team
71%
+0.5
59%
29%
+1.5
24%
12%
+2.5
0%
0%
+3.5
0%
0%
+4.5
0%
65%
BTTS
41%
Model Insight
The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 38%. Model confidence is Medium.
Portimonense averages 1.12 goals scored at home, while Vizela averages 0.82 goals scored away.
Model Strength
62%
Other Top Markets for This Match
Home Win
38%
Draw
29%
Away Win
33%
Over 2.5
38%
BTTS Yes
45%
Head-to-Head last 5
Jan 2026
Portimonense(A)
1 - 1
Vizela
Draw
Aug 2025
Portimonense
1 - 1
Vizela
Draw
Mar 2025
Portimonense(A)
2 - 3
Vizela
Away
Nov 2024
Portimonense
1 - 1
Vizela
Draw
Mar 2024
Portimonense
0 - 0
Vizela
Draw
In the last 5 meetings, Portimonense won 0, drew 4 and lost 1.
Current Streaks
Portimonense — unbeaten run (home)4
Portimonense — scoring streak (home)5
Vizela — winless run (away)3
Vizela — clean sheets (away, last 5)3 of 5
1X2 Probability model
Portimonense Win (1)38%
Draw (X)29%
Vizela Win (2)33%
Goals Over rate per team, own matches
71%
+0.5
59%
29%
+1.5
24%
12%
+2.5
0%
0%
+3.5
0%
0%
+4.5
0%
Goals Under rate per team, own matches
29%
-0.5
41%
71%
-1.5
76%
88%
-2.5
100%
100%
-3.5
100%
100%
-4.5
100%
Portimonense vs Vizela — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.
Goal Averages per Team
Portimonense — scored (home)1.12
Portimonense — conceded (home)1.29
Vizela — scored (away)0.82
Vizela — conceded (away)1.18
Model expected combined goals2.21
Both Teams To Score
Yes45%
No55%
Rate per Team
Portimonense — BTTS matches (home)65%
Vizela — BTTS matches (away)41%
Combined (simple average)53%
Corners Line model prediction
Over 8.562%
Under 8.538%
Over 9.551%
Under 9.549%
Over 10.541%
Under 10.559%
Expected total corners (model prediction)9.90
Per-Team Corners own matches
Portimonense (home)
Corners for6.0
Corners against5.8
Vizela (away)
Corners for6.3
Corners against5.0
Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners
Portimonense
0
0
0
0
0
Vizela
0
9
0
0
0
Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate
Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.597%
Under 1.53%
Over 2.591%
Under 2.59%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)6.1
Yellow Cards per Team
Portimonense (home)
For2.4
Vizela (away)
For3.9
Shots Forecast model prediction
Match Total
Over 19.535%
Under 19.565%
Over 22.526%
Under 22.574%
Over 25.519%
Under 25.581%
Expected total shots17.29
Portimonense
Shots Over 9.540%
Shots Over 11.528%
Shots Over 13.519%
Expected shots9.04
On Target Over 3.543%
On Target Over 4.528%
On Target Over 5.516%
Expected on target3.43
Vizela
Shots Over 9.534%
Shots Over 11.523%
Shots Over 13.515%
Expected shots8.25
On Target Over 3.536%
On Target Over 4.521%
On Target Over 5.512%
Expected on target3.02
Shots per Game
Portimonense — total shots (home)14.8
Vizela — total shots (away)13.3
Shots on Target
Portimonense — on target (home)5.4
Vizela — on target (away)5.0
Shot Location Split avg per match, season
Portimonense
Inside the box8.22
Outside the box4.89
Vizela
Inside the box5.56
Outside the box5.22
Player Shots Portimonense
João Reis
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target33%
Sarará
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target100%
+1.5 On Target33%
W. Cagro
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target0%
Xavier
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target0%
Thauan Lara
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target0%
Player Shots Vizela
H. Mörschel
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target100%
+1.5 On Target60%
M. Lacava
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target20%
Luís Rocha
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target20%
+1.5 On Target0%
N. Thio
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target20%
+1.5 On Target0%
Y. Fortuné
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target20%
+1.5 On Target0%
Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.
Expected Goals (xG)
Portimonense xG (home)0
Vizela xG (away)0
Average Possession
48.33%
Possession
53.67%
Team Comparison Portimonense vs Vizela
76.94%
Pass accuracy
82.57%
345.11
Passes per match
395.44
0
Goals prevented
0
14.56
Fouls committed
14.78
2.78
Goalkeeper saves
2.33
1
Offsides
0.78
14
Tackles per match
13.8
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS
Portimonense vs Vizela prediction analysis
Review Portimonense vs Vizela with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Segunda Liga.
1X2
Over 2.5
BTTS
Recent form
Team performance
Segunda Liga
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights