Prediction Analysis: Portland Timbers vs Real Salt Lake
Portland Timbers vs Real Salt Lake prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.
Major League Soccer
2026-07-26
02:30
Portland Timbers
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
56%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Real Salt Lake
Away
Prediction Summary
1
48%
X
24%
2
28%
Over 2.5
56%
BTTS Yes
58%
Confidence
Medium
Market Evidence
Portland Timbers (Home)
Goals scored / match1.6
Goals conceded / match1.55
Over 2.5 rate15%
BTTS rate80%
Real Salt Lake (Away)
Goals scored / match0.89
Goals conceded / match1.79
Over 2.5 rate5%
BTTS rate63%
Team Form last 5 matches
Portland Timbers
DWLDL
Real Salt Lake
LLDLW
Goals Comparison rate per team
90%
+0.5
68%
55%
+1.5
16%
15%
+2.5
5%
0%
+3.5
0%
0%
+4.5
0%
80%
BTTS
63%
Model Insight
The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 56%. Model confidence is Medium.
Portland Timbers averages 1.6 goals scored at home, while Real Salt Lake averages 0.89 goals scored away.
Model Strength
58%
Other Top Markets for This Match
Home Win
48%
Draw
24%
Away Win
28%
Over 2.5
56%
BTTS Yes
58%
Head-to-Head last 5
Oct 2025
Portland Timbers
3 - 1
Real Salt Lake
Home
Jul 2025
Portland Timbers
0 - 1
Real Salt Lake
Away
May 2025
Portland Timbers(A)
0 - 0
Real Salt Lake
Draw
Sep 2024
Portland Timbers(A)
3 - 3
Real Salt Lake
Draw
Jul 2024
Portland Timbers
3 - 0
Real Salt Lake
Home
In the last 5 meetings, Portland Timbers won 2, drew 2 and lost 1.
Current Streaks
Portland Timbers — unbeaten run (home)3
Portland Timbers — scoring streak (home)3
Real Salt Lake — winless run (away)7
Real Salt Lake — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5
1X2 Probability model
Portland Timbers Win (1)48%
Draw (X)24%
Real Salt Lake Win (2)28%
Goals Over rate per team, own matches
90%
+0.5
68%
55%
+1.5
16%
15%
+2.5
5%
0%
+3.5
0%
0%
+4.5
0%
Goals Under rate per team, own matches
10%
-0.5
32%
45%
-1.5
84%
85%
-2.5
95%
100%
-3.5
100%
100%
-4.5
100%
Portland Timbers vs Real Salt Lake — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.
Goal Averages per Team
Portland Timbers — scored (home)1.6
Portland Timbers — conceded (home)1.55
Real Salt Lake — scored (away)0.89
Real Salt Lake — conceded (away)1.79
Model expected combined goals2.92
Both Teams To Score
Yes58%
No42%
Rate per Team
Portland Timbers — BTTS matches (home)80%
Real Salt Lake — BTTS matches (away)63%
Combined (simple average)71.5%
Corners Line model prediction
Over 8.560%
Under 8.540%
Over 9.549%
Under 9.551%
Over 10.539%
Under 10.561%
Expected total corners (model prediction)9.70
Per-Team Corners own matches
Portland Timbers (home)
Corners for5.5
Corners against5.4
Real Salt Lake (away)
Corners for3.8
Corners against5.6
Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners
Portland Timbers
7
10
12
10
8
Real Salt Lake
15
8
10
13
19
Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate
Over 0.595%
Under 0.55%
Over 1.595%
Under 1.55%
Over 2.592%
Under 2.58%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.6
Yellow Cards per Team
Portland Timbers (home)
For2.2
Real Salt Lake (away)
For2.9
Shots Forecast model prediction
Match Total
Over 19.583%
Under 19.517%
Over 22.571%
Under 22.529%
Over 25.557%
Under 25.543%
Expected total shots27.79
Portland Timbers
Shots Over 9.584%
Shots Over 11.571%
Shots Over 13.556%
Expected shots14.75
On Target Over 3.573%
On Target Over 4.557%
On Target Over 5.541%
Expected on target5.16
Real Salt Lake
Shots Over 9.576%
Shots Over 11.559%
Shots Over 13.543%
Expected shots13.04
On Target Over 3.564%
On Target Over 4.546%
On Target Over 5.531%
Expected on target4.52
Shots per Game
Portland Timbers — total shots (home)13.5
Real Salt Lake — total shots (away)14.0
Shots on Target
Portland Timbers — on target (home)4.6
Real Salt Lake — on target (away)4.6
Shot Location Split avg per match, season
Portland Timbers
Inside the box7.89
Outside the box4.18
Real Salt Lake
Inside the box7.83
Outside the box6.71
Player Shots Portland Timbers
Antony
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target52%
+1.5 On Target27%
K. Kelsy
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target29%
+1.5 On Target13%
M. Rojas
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target13%
S. Moreno
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target55%
+1.5 On Target27%
Ian Smith
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target9%
+1.5 On Target4%
Player Shots Real Salt Lake
V. Olatunji
Shots on Target/Game2.3
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target56%
Jesús Rafael Barea Barroso
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target17%
Z. Gozo
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target19%
F. Ajago
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target17%
Diogo Gonçalves
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target53%
+1.5 On Target17%
Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.
Expected Goals (xG)
Portland Timbers xG (home)1.24
Real Salt Lake xG (away)1.25
Average Possession
48.79%
Possession
52.11%
Team Comparison Portland Timbers vs Real Salt Lake
83.44%
Pass accuracy
85.29%
463.47
Passes per match
474.06
0.07
Goals prevented
0.07
11.58
Fouls committed
13.29
3.71
Goalkeeper saves
2.97
1.92
Offsides
2
14.72
Tackles per match
14.23
League average xG this season is 1.48 per team per match, for context.
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS
Portland Timbers vs Real Salt Lake prediction analysis
Review Portland Timbers vs Real Salt Lake with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Major League Soccer.
1X2
Over 2.5
BTTS
Recent form
Team performance
Major League Soccer
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights