Prediction Analysis: Portland Timbers vs Seattle Sounders
Portland Timbers vs Seattle Sounders prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.
Major League Soccer
2026-08-02
02:30
Portland Timbers
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
57%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Seattle Sounders
Away
Prediction Summary
1
45%
X
24%
2
31%
Over 2.5
57%
BTTS Yes
59%
Confidence
Medium
Market Evidence
Portland Timbers (Home)
Goals scored / match1.62
Goals conceded / match1.52
Over 2.5 rate14%
BTTS rate81%
Seattle Sounders (Away)
Goals scored / match1.14
Goals conceded / match1.67
Over 2.5 rate19%
BTTS rate52%
Team Form last 5 matches
Portland Timbers
WDWLD
Seattle Sounders
LLLDW
Goals Comparison rate per team
90%
+0.5
62%
57%
+1.5
29%
14%
+2.5
19%
0%
+3.5
5%
0%
+4.5
0%
81%
BTTS
52%
Model Insight
The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 57%. Model confidence is Medium.
Portland Timbers averages 1.62 goals scored at home, while Seattle Sounders averages 1.14 goals scored away.
Model Strength
59%
Other Top Markets for This Match
Home Win
45%
Draw
24%
Away Win
31%
Over 2.5
57%
BTTS Yes
59%
Head-to-Head last 5
Jul 2026
Portland Timbers(A)
5 - 1
Seattle Sounders
Home
Oct 2025
Portland Timbers(A)
0 - 1
Seattle Sounders
Away
May 2025
Portland Timbers
1 - 1
Seattle Sounders
Draw
Oct 2024
Portland Timbers(A)
1 - 1
Seattle Sounders
Draw
Sep 2024
Portland Timbers
1 - 0
Seattle Sounders
Home
In the last 5 meetings, Portland Timbers won 2, drew 2 and lost 1.
Current Streaks
Portland Timbers — unbeaten run (home)4
Portland Timbers — scoring streak (home)4
Seattle Sounders — winless run (away)4
Seattle Sounders — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5
1X2 Probability model
Portland Timbers Win (1)45%
Draw (X)24%
Seattle Sounders Win (2)31%
Goals Over rate per team, own matches
90%
+0.5
62%
57%
+1.5
29%
14%
+2.5
19%
0%
+3.5
5%
0%
+4.5
0%
Goals Under rate per team, own matches
10%
-0.5
38%
43%
-1.5
71%
86%
-2.5
81%
100%
-3.5
95%
100%
-4.5
100%
Portland Timbers vs Seattle Sounders — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.
Goal Averages per Team
Portland Timbers — scored (home)1.62
Portland Timbers — conceded (home)1.52
Seattle Sounders — scored (away)1.14
Seattle Sounders — conceded (away)1.67
Model expected combined goals2.98
Both Teams To Score
Yes59%
No41%
Rate per Team
Portland Timbers — BTTS matches (home)81%
Seattle Sounders — BTTS matches (away)52%
Combined (simple average)66.5%
Corners Line model prediction
Over 8.560%
Under 8.540%
Over 9.549%
Under 9.551%
Over 10.538%
Under 10.562%
Expected total corners (model prediction)9.70
Per-Team Corners own matches
Portland Timbers (home)
Corners for5.5
Corners against5.4
Seattle Sounders (away)
Corners for5.6
Corners against4.5
Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners
Portland Timbers
10
12
10
8
18
Seattle Sounders
5
9
10
8
6
Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate
Over 0.593%
Under 0.57%
Over 1.591%
Under 1.59%
Over 2.588%
Under 2.512%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4
Yellow Cards per Team
Portland Timbers (home)
For2.2
Seattle Sounders (away)
For1.8
Shots Forecast model prediction
Match Total
Over 19.579%
Under 19.521%
Over 22.566%
Under 22.534%
Over 25.551%
Under 25.549%
Expected total shots26.36
Portland Timbers
Shots Over 9.582%
Shots Over 11.567%
Shots Over 13.551%
Expected shots14.13
On Target Over 3.571%
On Target Over 4.554%
On Target Over 5.538%
Expected on target4.98
Seattle Sounders
Shots Over 9.570%
Shots Over 11.553%
Shots Over 13.536%
Expected shots12.23
On Target Over 3.559%
On Target Over 4.541%
On Target Over 5.526%
Expected on target4.23
Shots per Game
Portland Timbers — total shots (home)13.5
Seattle Sounders — total shots (away)14.0
Shots on Target
Portland Timbers — on target (home)4.6
Seattle Sounders — on target (away)4.6
Shot Location Split avg per match, season
Portland Timbers
Inside the box7.89
Outside the box4.18
Seattle Sounders
Inside the box9.41
Outside the box4.76
Player Shots Portland Timbers
Antony
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target52%
+1.5 On Target27%
K. Kelsy
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target29%
+1.5 On Target13%
M. Rojas
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target13%
S. Moreno
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target55%
+1.5 On Target27%
Ian Smith
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target9%
+1.5 On Target4%
Player Shots Seattle Sounders
A. Rusnák
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target52%
+1.5 On Target33%
D. Musovski
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target51%
+1.5 On Target29%
J. Ferreira
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target14%
O. Vargas
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target28%
+1.5 On Target10%
J. Morris
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target52%
+1.5 On Target24%
Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.
Expected Goals (xG)
Portland Timbers xG (home)1.24
Seattle Sounders xG (away)1.76
Average Possession
48.79%
Possession
54.16%
Team Comparison Portland Timbers vs Seattle Sounders
83.44%
Pass accuracy
86.23%
463.47
Passes per match
520.08
0.07
Goals prevented
-0.32
11.58
Fouls committed
11.16
3.71
Goalkeeper saves
3.03
1.92
Offsides
2.14
14.72
Tackles per match
15.34
League average xG this season is 1.48 per team per match, for context.
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS
Portland Timbers vs Seattle Sounders prediction analysis
Review Portland Timbers vs Seattle Sounders with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Major League Soccer.
1X2
Over 2.5
BTTS
Recent form
Team performance
Major League Soccer
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights