Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Portsmouth vs Bristol City

Portsmouth vs Bristol City prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Championship 2025-11-29 12:30
Portsmouth
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
42%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Bristol City
Away

Prediction Summary

1
33%
X
28%
2
39%
Under 2.5
58%
BTTS No
52%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Portsmouth (Home)

Goals scored / match1.09
Goals conceded / match1
Over 2.5 rate9%
BTTS rate48%

Bristol City (Away)

Goals scored / match1.13
Goals conceded / match1.22
Over 2.5 rate13%
BTTS rate52%

Team Form last 5 matches

Portsmouth
DWLWW
Bristol City
WLDLD

Goals Comparison rate per team

70% +0.5 65%
30% +1.5 30%
9% +2.5 13%
0% +3.5 4%
0% +4.5 0%
48% BTTS 52%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 42%. Model confidence is Medium.

Portsmouth averages 1.09 goals scored at home, while Bristol City averages 1.13 goals scored away.

Model Strength
58%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
33%
Draw
28%
Away Win
39%
Over 2.5
42%
BTTS Yes
48%

Head-to-Head last 5

Jan 2026 Portsmouth(A) 0 - 5 Bristol City Away
Nov 2025 Portsmouth 0 - 1 Bristol City Away
Dec 2024 Portsmouth(A) 0 - 3 Bristol City Away
Dec 2024 Portsmouth 3 - 0 Bristol City Home
Jan 2021 Portsmouth(A) 1 - 2 Bristol City Away

In the last 5 meetings, Portsmouth won 1, drew 0 and lost 4.

Current Streaks

Portsmouth — unbeaten run (home)4
Portsmouth — scoring streak (home)4
Bristol City — winless run (away)3
Bristol City — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Portsmouth Win (1)33%
Draw (X)28%
Bristol City Win (2)39%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

70% +0.5 65%
30% +1.5 30%
9% +2.5 13%
0% +3.5 4%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

30% -0.5 35%
70% -1.5 70%
91% -2.5 87%
100% -3.5 96%
100% -4.5 100%

Portsmouth vs Bristol City — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Portsmouth — scored (home)1.09
Portsmouth — conceded (home)1
Bristol City — scored (away)1.13
Bristol City — conceded (away)1.22
Model expected combined goals2.37

Both Teams To Score

Yes48%
No52%

Rate per Team

Portsmouth — BTTS matches (home)48%
Bristol City — BTTS matches (away)52%
Combined (simple average)50%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%
Under 4.50%
Over 5.598%
Under 5.52%
Over 6.585%
Under 6.515%
Over 7.583%
Under 7.517%
Over 8.574%
Under 8.526%
Over 9.563%
Under 9.537%
Over 10.546%
Under 10.554%
Expected total corners (blended average)10.40

Per-Team Corners own matches

Portsmouth (home)

Corners for6.3
Corners against4.3

Bristol City (away)

Corners for5.0
Corners against5.2

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Portsmouth
10 12 3 9 12
Bristol City
9 12 10 11 17

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.598%
Under 0.52%
Over 1.598%
Under 1.52%
Over 2.589%
Under 2.511%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.2

Yellow Cards per Team

Portsmouth (home)

For1.7

Bristol City (away)

For2.0

Shots per Game

Portsmouth — total shots (home)15.4
Bristol City — total shots (away)11.6

Shots on Target

Portsmouth — on target (home)4.3
Bristol City — on target (away)4.2

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Portsmouth

Inside the box7.93
Outside the box4.26

Bristol City

Inside the box7.39
Outside the box4.78

Player Shots Portsmouth

J. Murphy
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target6%
C. Lang
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target25%
M. Kirk
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target14%
F. Bianchini
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target30%
+1.5 On Target20%
M. Alli
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target10%

Player Shots Bristol City

A. Mehmeti
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target61%
+1.5 On Target32%
S. Twine
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target47%
+1.5 On Target18%
E. Riis
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target39%
+1.5 On Target14%
S. Bell
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target8%
T. Horvat
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target7%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Portsmouth xG (home)1.11
Bristol City xG (away)1.21

Average Possession

50.43% Possession 49.28%

Team Comparison Portsmouth vs Bristol City

73.96% Pass accuracy 77.85%
370.83 Passes per match 424.78
-0.09 Goals prevented -0.04
10.15 Fouls committed 9.54
2.6 Goalkeeper saves 3.23
1.77 Offsides 2.02
13.7 Tackles per match 14.8

League average xG this season is 1.29 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Portsmouth vs Bristol City prediction analysis

Review Portsmouth vs Bristol City with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Championship.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Championship
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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