Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Portsmouth vs Preston

Portsmouth vs Preston prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

Back to Predictions
Championship 2025-08-30 14:00
Portsmouth
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
41%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Preston
Away

Prediction Summary

1
40%
X
28%
2
32%
Under 2.5
59%
BTTS No
53%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Portsmouth (Home)

Goals scored / match1.09
Goals conceded / match1
Over 2.5 rate9%
BTTS rate48%

Preston (Away)

Goals scored / match1.17
Goals conceded / match1.39
Over 2.5 rate9%
BTTS rate61%

Team Form last 5 matches

Portsmouth
DWLWW
Preston
LWLLW

Goals Comparison rate per team

70% +0.5 74%
30% +1.5 35%
9% +2.5 9%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
48% BTTS 61%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 41%. Model confidence is Medium.

Portsmouth averages 1.09 goals scored at home, while Preston averages 1.17 goals scored away.

Model Strength
59%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
40%
Draw
28%
Away Win
32%
Over 2.5
41%
BTTS Yes
47%

Head-to-Head last 4

Feb 2026 Portsmouth(A) 0 - 1 Preston Away
Aug 2025 Portsmouth 1 - 0 Preston Home
Mar 2025 Portsmouth(A) 1 - 2 Preston Away
Nov 2024 Portsmouth 3 - 1 Preston Home

In the last 4 meetings, Portsmouth won 2, drew 0 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Portsmouth — unbeaten run (home)4
Portsmouth — scoring streak (home)4
Preston — winless run (away)0
Preston — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Portsmouth Win (1)40%
Draw (X)28%
Preston Win (2)32%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

70% +0.5 74%
30% +1.5 35%
9% +2.5 9%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

30% -0.5 26%
70% -1.5 65%
91% -2.5 91%
100% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Portsmouth vs Preston — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Portsmouth — scored (home)1.09
Portsmouth — conceded (home)1
Preston — scored (away)1.17
Preston — conceded (away)1.39
Model expected combined goals2.33

Both Teams To Score

Yes47%
No53%

Rate per Team

Portsmouth — BTTS matches (home)48%
Preston — BTTS matches (away)61%
Combined (simple average)54.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%
Under 4.50%
Over 5.5100%
Under 5.50%
Over 6.585%
Under 6.515%
Over 7.581%
Under 7.519%
Over 8.568%
Under 8.532%
Over 9.557%
Under 9.543%
Over 10.546%
Under 10.554%
Expected total corners (blended average)10.40

Per-Team Corners own matches

Portsmouth (home)

Corners for6.3
Corners against4.3

Preston (away)

Corners for3.7
Corners against6.4

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Portsmouth
10 12 3 9 12
Preston
11 14 6 15 15

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.596%
Under 0.54%
Over 1.594%
Under 1.56%
Over 2.578%
Under 2.522%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.7

Yellow Cards per Team

Portsmouth (home)

For1.7

Preston (away)

For2.2

Shots per Game

Portsmouth — total shots (home)15.4
Preston — total shots (away)10.6

Shots on Target

Portsmouth — on target (home)4.3
Preston — on target (away)3.8

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Portsmouth

Inside the box7.93
Outside the box4.26

Preston

Inside the box7.43
Outside the box3.5

Player Shots Portsmouth

J. Murphy
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target6%
C. Lang
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target25%
M. Kirk
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target14%
F. Bianchini
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target30%
+1.5 On Target20%
M. Alli
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target10%

Player Shots Preston

M. Osmajić
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target18%
L. Dobbin
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target49%
+1.5 On Target10%
B. Potts
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target6%
A. Devine
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target11%
T. Small
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target34%
+1.5 On Target10%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Portsmouth xG (home)1.11
Preston xG (away)1.19

Average Possession

50.43% Possession 45.59%

Team Comparison Portsmouth vs Preston

73.96% Pass accuracy 72.15%
370.83 Passes per match 344.41
-0.09 Goals prevented 0.03
10.15 Fouls committed 10.39
2.6 Goalkeeper saves 3
1.77 Offsides 1.7
13.7 Tackles per match 16.07

League average xG this season is 1.29 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Portsmouth vs Preston prediction analysis

Review Portsmouth vs Preston with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Championship.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Championship
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
Scroll to Top