Prediction Analysis: Portsmouth vs QPR
Portsmouth vs QPR prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.
Championship
2026-08-15
14:00
Portsmouth
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
BTTS Yes
Pick
Yes
Probability
45%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-0
QPR
Away
Prediction Summary
1
45%
X
28%
2
27%
Under 2.5
60%
BTTS No
55%
Confidence
Medium
Market Evidence
Portsmouth (Home)
Goals scored / match1.09
Goals conceded / match1
Over 2.5 rate9%
BTTS rate48%
QPR (Away)
Goals scored / match0.91
Goals conceded / match1.57
Over 2.5 rate13%
BTTS rate52%
Team Form last 5 matches
Portsmouth
DWLWW
QPR
LLLLD
Goals Comparison rate per team
70%
+0.5
61%
30%
+1.5
17%
9%
+2.5
13%
0%
+3.5
0%
0%
+4.5
0%
48%
BTTS
52%
Model Insight
The selected market is BTTS Yes with a probability of 45%. Model confidence is Medium.
Portsmouth averages 1.09 goals scored at home, while QPR averages 0.91 goals scored away.
Model Strength
60%
Other Top Markets for This Match
Home Win
45%
Draw
28%
Away Win
27%
Over 2.5
40%
BTTS Yes
45%
Head-to-Head last 5
Mar 2026
Portsmouth(A)
1 - 6
QPR
Away
Dec 2025
Portsmouth
1 - 1
QPR
Draw
Feb 2025
Portsmouth
2 - 1
QPR
Home
Oct 2024
Portsmouth(A)
2 - 1
QPR
Home
Aug 2019
Portsmouth(A)
2 - 0
QPR
Home
In the last 5 meetings, Portsmouth won 3, drew 1 and lost 1.
Current Streaks
Portsmouth — unbeaten run (home)4
Portsmouth — scoring streak (home)4
QPR — winless run (away)3
QPR — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5
1X2 Probability model
Portsmouth Win (1)45%
Draw (X)28%
QPR Win (2)27%
Goals Over rate per team, own matches
70%
+0.5
61%
30%
+1.5
17%
9%
+2.5
13%
0%
+3.5
0%
0%
+4.5
0%
Goals Under rate per team, own matches
30%
-0.5
39%
70%
-1.5
83%
91%
-2.5
87%
100%
-3.5
100%
100%
-4.5
100%
Portsmouth vs QPR — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.
Goal Averages per Team
Portsmouth — scored (home)1.09
Portsmouth — conceded (home)1
QPR — scored (away)0.91
QPR — conceded (away)1.57
Model expected combined goals2.28
Both Teams To Score
Yes45%
No55%
Rate per Team
Portsmouth — BTTS matches (home)48%
QPR — BTTS matches (away)52%
Combined (simple average)50%
Corners Line model prediction
Over 8.565%
Under 8.535%
Over 9.554%
Under 9.546%
Over 10.544%
Under 10.556%
Expected total corners (model prediction)10.30
Per-Team Corners own matches
Portsmouth (home)
Corners for6.3
Corners against4.3
QPR (away)
Corners for4.3
Corners against6.6
Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners
Portsmouth
10
12
3
9
12
QPR
9
16
9
16
6
Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate
Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.594%
Under 1.56%
Over 2.585%
Under 2.515%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.9
Yellow Cards per Team
Portsmouth (home)
For1.7
QPR (away)
For1.7
Shots Forecast model prediction
Match Total
Over 19.570%
Under 19.530%
Over 22.555%
Under 22.545%
Over 25.541%
Under 25.559%
Expected total shots24.29
Portsmouth
Shots Over 9.579%
Shots Over 11.564%
Shots Over 13.549%
Expected shots13.81
On Target Over 3.561%
On Target Over 4.544%
On Target Over 5.529%
Expected on target4.39
QPR
Shots Over 9.555%
Shots Over 11.537%
Shots Over 13.522%
Expected shots10.48
On Target Over 3.542%
On Target Over 4.526%
On Target Over 5.514%
Expected on target3.35
Shots per Game
Portsmouth — total shots (home)15.4
QPR — total shots (away)11.1
Shots on Target
Portsmouth — on target (home)4.3
QPR — on target (away)3.2
Shot Location Split avg per match, season
Portsmouth
Inside the box7.93
Outside the box4.26
QPR
Inside the box8
Outside the box4.72
Player Shots Portsmouth
J. Murphy
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target6%
C. Lang
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target25%
M. Kirk
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target14%
F. Bianchini
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target30%
+1.5 On Target20%
M. Alli
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target10%
Player Shots QPR
R. Kone
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target49%
+1.5 On Target21%
I. Chair
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target60%
+1.5 On Target13%
R. Burrell
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target20%
P. Smyth
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target36%
+1.5 On Target14%
D. Bennie
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target29%
+1.5 On Target12%
Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.
Expected Goals (xG)
Portsmouth xG (home)1.11
QPR xG (away)1.19
Average Possession
50.43%
Possession
45.98%
Team Comparison Portsmouth vs QPR
73.96%
Pass accuracy
75.46%
370.83
Passes per match
368.37
-0.09
Goals prevented
-0.19
10.15
Fouls committed
11.22
2.6
Goalkeeper saves
2.58
1.77
Offsides
1.93
13.7
Tackles per match
14.52
League average xG this season is 1.29 per team per match, for context.
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS
Portsmouth vs QPR prediction analysis
Review Portsmouth vs QPR with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Championship.
1X2
Over 2.5
BTTS
Recent form
Team performance
Championship
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights