Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Portsmouth vs Sheffield Wednesday

Portsmouth vs Sheffield Wednesday prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

Back to Predictions
Championship 2025-09-20 14:00
Portsmouth
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
42%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-0
Sheffield Wednesday
Away

Prediction Summary

1
54%
X
26%
2
20%
Under 2.5
58%
BTTS No
56%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Portsmouth (Home)

Goals scored / match1.09
Goals conceded / match1
Over 2.5 rate9%
BTTS rate48%

Sheffield Wednesday (Away)

Goals scored / match0.65
Goals conceded / match1.96
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate48%

Team Form last 5 matches

Portsmouth
DWLWW
Sheffield Wednesday
WLLDD

Goals Comparison rate per team

70% +0.5 52%
30% +1.5 13%
9% +2.5 0%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
48% BTTS 48%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 42%. Model confidence is Medium.

Portsmouth averages 1.09 goals scored at home, while Sheffield Wednesday averages 0.65 goals scored away.

Model Strength
58%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
54%
Draw
26%
Away Win
20%
Over 2.5
42%
BTTS Yes
44%

Head-to-Head last 4

Jan 2026 Portsmouth(A) 1 - 0 Sheffield Wednesday Home
Sep 2025 Portsmouth 0 - 2 Sheffield Wednesday Away
Apr 2025 Portsmouth(A) 1 - 1 Sheffield Wednesday Draw
Oct 2024 Portsmouth 1 - 2 Sheffield Wednesday Away

In the last 4 meetings, Portsmouth won 1, drew 1 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Portsmouth — unbeaten run (home)4
Portsmouth — scoring streak (home)4
Sheffield Wednesday — winless run (away)20
Sheffield Wednesday — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Portsmouth Win (1)54%
Draw (X)26%
Sheffield Wednesday Win (2)20%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

70% +0.5 52%
30% +1.5 13%
9% +2.5 0%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

30% -0.5 48%
70% -1.5 87%
91% -2.5 100%
100% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Portsmouth vs Sheffield Wednesday — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Portsmouth — scored (home)1.09
Portsmouth — conceded (home)1
Sheffield Wednesday — scored (away)0.65
Sheffield Wednesday — conceded (away)1.96
Model expected combined goals2.35

Both Teams To Score

Yes44%
No56%

Rate per Team

Portsmouth — BTTS matches (home)48%
Sheffield Wednesday — BTTS matches (away)48%
Combined (simple average)48%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%
Under 4.50%
Over 5.5100%
Under 5.50%
Over 6.590%
Under 6.510%
Over 7.583%
Under 7.517%
Over 8.568%
Under 8.532%
Over 9.559%
Under 9.541%
Over 10.546%
Under 10.554%
Expected total corners (blended average)10.50

Per-Team Corners own matches

Portsmouth (home)

Corners for6.3
Corners against4.3

Sheffield Wednesday (away)

Corners for3.9
Corners against6.5

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Portsmouth
10 12 3 9 12
Sheffield Wednesday
9 9 10 8 7

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.592%
Under 0.58%
Over 1.589%
Under 1.511%
Over 2.572%
Under 2.528%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.6

Yellow Cards per Team

Portsmouth (home)

For1.7

Sheffield Wednesday (away)

For2.0

Shots per Game

Portsmouth — total shots (home)15.4
Sheffield Wednesday — total shots (away)8.0

Shots on Target

Portsmouth — on target (home)4.3
Sheffield Wednesday — on target (away)2.5

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Portsmouth

Inside the box7.93
Outside the box4.26

Sheffield Wednesday

Inside the box5.93
Outside the box2.74

Player Shots Portsmouth

J. Murphy
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target6%
C. Lang
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target25%
M. Kirk
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target14%
F. Bianchini
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target30%
+1.5 On Target20%
M. Alli
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target10%

Player Shots Sheffield Wednesday

B. Cadamarteri
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target45%
+1.5 On Target3%
G. Brown
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target29%
+1.5 On Target14%
B. Bannan
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target29%
+1.5 On Target11%
J. Lowe
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target31%
+1.5 On Target4%
J. Yates
Shots on Target/Game0.3
+0.5 On Target28%
+1.5 On Target6%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Portsmouth xG (home)1.11
Sheffield Wednesday xG (away)0.85

Average Possession

50.43% Possession 44.85%

Team Comparison Portsmouth vs Sheffield Wednesday

73.96% Pass accuracy 72.83%
370.83 Passes per match 360.35
-0.09 Goals prevented 0.08
10.15 Fouls committed 11.8
2.6 Goalkeeper saves 3.91
1.77 Offsides 1.3
13.7 Tackles per match 16.37

League average xG this season is 1.29 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Portsmouth vs Sheffield Wednesday prediction analysis

Review Portsmouth vs Sheffield Wednesday with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Championship.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Championship
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
Scroll to Top