Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Preston vs Bristol City

Preston vs Bristol City prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Championship 2025-09-27 14:00
Preston
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
58%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Bristol City
Away

Prediction Summary

1
24%
X
23%
2
53%
Over 2.5
58%
BTTS Yes
58%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Preston (Home)

Goals scored / match1.22
Goals conceded / match1.3
Over 2.5 rate13%
BTTS rate57%

Bristol City (Away)

Goals scored / match1.13
Goals conceded / match1.22
Over 2.5 rate13%
BTTS rate52%

Team Form last 5 matches

Preston
LWLLW
Bristol City
WLDLD

Goals Comparison rate per team

74% +0.5 65%
35% +1.5 30%
13% +2.5 13%
0% +3.5 4%
0% +4.5 0%
57% BTTS 52%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 58%. Model confidence is Medium.

Preston averages 1.22 goals scored at home, while Bristol City averages 1.13 goals scored away.

Model Strength
58%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
24%
Draw
23%
Away Win
53%
Over 2.5
58%
BTTS Yes
58%

Head-to-Head last 5

Jan 2026 Preston(A) 2 - 0 Bristol City Home
Sep 2025 Preston 0 - 0 Bristol City Draw
May 2025 Preston(A) 2 - 2 Bristol City Draw
Nov 2024 Preston 1 - 3 Bristol City Away
Jan 2024 Preston 2 - 0 Bristol City Home

In the last 5 meetings, Preston won 2, drew 2 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Preston — unbeaten run (home)0
Preston — scoring streak (home)1
Bristol City — winless run (away)3
Bristol City — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Preston Win (1)24%
Draw (X)23%
Bristol City Win (2)53%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

74% +0.5 65%
35% +1.5 30%
13% +2.5 13%
0% +3.5 4%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

26% -0.5 35%
65% -1.5 70%
87% -2.5 87%
100% -3.5 96%
100% -4.5 100%

Preston vs Bristol City — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Preston — scored (home)1.22
Preston — conceded (home)1.3
Bristol City — scored (away)1.13
Bristol City — conceded (away)1.22
Model expected combined goals3

Both Teams To Score

Yes58%
No42%

Rate per Team

Preston — BTTS matches (home)57%
Bristol City — BTTS matches (away)52%
Combined (simple average)54.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%
Under 4.50%
Over 5.598%
Under 5.52%
Over 6.592%
Under 6.58%
Over 7.585%
Under 7.515%
Over 8.576%
Under 8.524%
Over 9.566%
Under 9.534%
Over 10.546%
Under 10.554%
Expected total corners (blended average)10.80

Per-Team Corners own matches

Preston (home)

Corners for5.3
Corners against6.2

Bristol City (away)

Corners for5.0
Corners against5.2

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Preston
11 14 6 15 15
Bristol City
9 12 10 11 17

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.596%
Under 0.54%
Over 1.592%
Under 1.58%
Over 2.574%
Under 2.526%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.9

Yellow Cards per Team

Preston (home)

For2.1

Bristol City (away)

For2.0

Shots per Game

Preston — total shots (home)11.3
Bristol City — total shots (away)11.6

Shots on Target

Preston — on target (home)3.4
Bristol City — on target (away)4.2

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Preston

Inside the box7.43
Outside the box3.5

Bristol City

Inside the box7.39
Outside the box4.78

Player Shots Preston

M. Osmajić
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target18%
L. Dobbin
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target49%
+1.5 On Target10%
B. Potts
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target6%
A. Devine
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target11%
T. Small
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target34%
+1.5 On Target10%

Player Shots Bristol City

A. Mehmeti
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target61%
+1.5 On Target32%
S. Twine
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target47%
+1.5 On Target18%
E. Riis
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target39%
+1.5 On Target14%
S. Bell
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target8%
T. Horvat
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target7%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Preston xG (home)1.19
Bristol City xG (away)1.21

Average Possession

45.59% Possession 49.28%

Team Comparison Preston vs Bristol City

72.15% Pass accuracy 77.85%
344.41 Passes per match 424.78
0.03 Goals prevented -0.04
10.39 Fouls committed 9.54
3 Goalkeeper saves 3.23
1.7 Offsides 2.02
16.07 Tackles per match 14.8

League average xG this season is 1.29 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Preston vs Bristol City prediction analysis

Review Preston vs Bristol City with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Championship.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Championship
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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