Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Preston vs Coventry

Preston vs Coventry prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Championship 2025-12-09 19:45
Preston
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
61%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Coventry
Away

Prediction Summary

1
31%
X
23%
2
46%
Over 2.5
61%
BTTS Yes
62%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Preston (Home)

Goals scored / match1.22
Goals conceded / match1.3
Over 2.5 rate13%
BTTS rate57%

Coventry (Away)

Goals scored / match2
Goals conceded / match1.13
Over 2.5 rate26%
BTTS rate57%

Team Form last 5 matches

Preston
LWLLW
Coventry
WWWDD

Goals Comparison rate per team

74% +0.5 87%
35% +1.5 57%
13% +2.5 26%
0% +3.5 22%
0% +4.5 9%
57% BTTS 57%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 61%. Model confidence is Medium.

Preston averages 1.22 goals scored at home, while Coventry averages 2 goals scored away.

Model Strength
62%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
31%
Draw
23%
Away Win
46%
Over 2.5
61%
BTTS Yes
62%

Head-to-Head last 5

Mar 2026 Preston(A) 0 - 3 Coventry Away
Dec 2025 Preston 1 - 1 Coventry Draw
Feb 2025 Preston(A) 1 - 2 Coventry Away
Oct 2024 Preston 1 - 0 Coventry Home
Feb 2024 Preston(A) 3 - 0 Coventry Home

In the last 5 meetings, Preston won 2, drew 1 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Preston — unbeaten run (home)0
Preston — scoring streak (home)1
Coventry — winless run (away)0
Coventry — clean sheets (away, last 5)4 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Preston Win (1)31%
Draw (X)23%
Coventry Win (2)46%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

74% +0.5 87%
35% +1.5 57%
13% +2.5 26%
0% +3.5 22%
0% +4.5 9%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

26% -0.5 13%
65% -1.5 43%
87% -2.5 74%
100% -3.5 78%
100% -4.5 91%

Preston vs Coventry — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Preston — scored (home)1.22
Preston — conceded (home)1.3
Coventry — scored (away)2
Coventry — conceded (away)1.13
Model expected combined goals3.15

Both Teams To Score

Yes62%
No38%

Rate per Team

Preston — BTTS matches (home)57%
Coventry — BTTS matches (away)57%
Combined (simple average)57%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%
Under 4.50%
Over 5.596%
Under 5.54%
Over 6.585%
Under 6.515%
Over 7.577%
Under 7.523%
Over 8.570%
Under 8.530%
Over 9.559%
Under 9.541%
Over 10.546%
Under 10.554%
Expected total corners (blended average)10.50

Per-Team Corners own matches

Preston (home)

Corners for5.3
Corners against6.2

Coventry (away)

Corners for4.7
Corners against4.9

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Preston
11 14 6 15 15
Coventry
9 6 3 9 6

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.596%
Under 0.54%
Over 1.589%
Under 1.511%
Over 2.566%
Under 2.534%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.7

Yellow Cards per Team

Preston (home)

For2.1

Coventry (away)

For1.7

Shots per Game

Preston — total shots (home)11.3
Coventry — total shots (away)14.6

Shots on Target

Preston — on target (home)3.4
Coventry — on target (away)5.3

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Preston

Inside the box7.43
Outside the box3.5

Coventry

Inside the box11.46
Outside the box4.85

Player Shots Preston

M. Osmajić
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target18%
L. Dobbin
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target49%
+1.5 On Target10%
B. Potts
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target6%
A. Devine
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target11%
T. Small
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target34%
+1.5 On Target10%

Player Shots Coventry

H. Wright
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target58%
+1.5 On Target25%
B. Thomas-Asante
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target53%
+1.5 On Target16%
E. Simms
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target23%
E. Mason-Clark
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target52%
+1.5 On Target21%
T. Sakamoto
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target11%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Preston xG (home)1.19
Coventry xG (away)1.86

Average Possession

45.59% Possession 55.26%

Team Comparison Preston vs Coventry

72.15% Pass accuracy 80.43%
344.41 Passes per match 438.33
0.03 Goals prevented -0.05
10.39 Fouls committed 9.41
3 Goalkeeper saves 2.7
1.7 Offsides 2.37
16.07 Tackles per match 13.76

League average xG this season is 1.29 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Preston vs Coventry prediction analysis

Review Preston vs Coventry with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Championship.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Championship
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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