What markets are included in the Preston vs Middlesbrough prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Preston vs Middlesbrough prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Preston vs Middlesbrough

Preston vs Middlesbrough prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Championship 2025-09-13 11:30

Preston

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

50%

Confidence

Low

Score

1-1

Middlesbrough

Away

Prediction Summary

33%

26%

41%

O/U 2.5 · No edge

50%

BTTS Yes

54%

Confidence

Low

Market Evidence

Preston (Home)

Goals scored / match1.22

Goals conceded / match1.3

Over 2.5 rate13%

BTTS rate57%

Middlesbrough (Away)

Goals scored / match1.56

Goals conceded / match1.28

Over 2.5 rate20%

BTTS rate64%

Team Form last 5 matches

Preston

LWLLW

Middlesbrough

LLDDW

Goals Comparison rate per team

74% +0.5 76%

35% +1.5 52%

13% +2.5 20%

0% +3.5 8%

0% +4.5 0%

57% BTTS 64%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 50%. Model confidence is Low.

Preston averages 1.22 goals scored at home, while Middlesbrough averages 1.56 goals scored away.

Model Strength

54%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

33%

Draw

26%

Away Win

41%

Over 2.5

50%

BTTS Yes

54%

Head-to-Head last 5

Jan 2026 Preston(A) 0 - 4 Middlesbrough Away

Sep 2025 Preston 2 - 2 Middlesbrough Draw

Jan 2025 Preston 2 - 1 Middlesbrough Home

Sep 2024 Preston(A) 1 - 1 Middlesbrough Draw

Feb 2024 Preston 2 - 1 Middlesbrough Home

In the last 5 meetings, Preston won 2, drew 2 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Preston — unbeaten run (home)0

Preston — scoring streak (home)1

Middlesbrough — winless run (away)6

Middlesbrough — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Preston Win (1)33%

Draw (X)26%

Middlesbrough Win (2)41%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

74% +0.5 76%

35% +1.5 52%

13% +2.5 20%

0% +3.5 8%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

26% -0.5 24%

65% -1.5 48%

87% -2.5 80%

100% -3.5 92%

100% -4.5 100%

Preston vs Middlesbrough — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Preston — scored (home)1.22

Preston — conceded (home)1.3

Middlesbrough — scored (away)1.56

Middlesbrough — conceded (away)1.28

Model expected combined goals2.68

Both Teams To Score

Yes54%

No46%

Rate per Team

Preston — BTTS matches (home)57%

Middlesbrough — BTTS matches (away)64%

Combined (simple average)60.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.598%

Under 4.52%

Over 5.594%

Under 5.56%

Over 6.592%

Under 6.58%

Over 7.582%

Under 7.518%

Over 8.571%

Under 8.529%

Over 9.557%

Under 9.543%

Over 10.544%

Under 10.556%

Expected total corners (blended average)10.70

Per-Team Corners own matches

Preston (home)

Corners for5.3

Corners against6.2

Middlesbrough (away)

Corners for5.8

Corners against4.2

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Preston

11 14 6 15 15

Middlesbrough

9 9 12 16 4

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.594%

Under 0.56%

Over 1.586%

Under 1.514%

Over 2.569%

Under 2.531%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4

Yellow Cards per Team

Preston (home)

For2.1

Middlesbrough (away)

For2.2

Shots per Game

Preston — total shots (home)11.3

Middlesbrough — total shots (away)15.2

Shots on Target

Preston — on target (home)3.4

Middlesbrough — on target (away)4.5

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Preston

Inside the box7.43

Outside the box3.5

Middlesbrough

Inside the box10.41

Outside the box5.82

Player Shots Preston

M. Osmajić

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target18%

L. Dobbin

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target49%

+1.5 On Target10%

B. Potts

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target44%

+1.5 On Target6%

A. Devine

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target38%

+1.5 On Target11%

T. Small

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target34%

+1.5 On Target10%

Player Shots Middlesbrough

M. Whittaker

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target56%

+1.5 On Target21%

Leo Castledine

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target55%

+1.5 On Target18%

T. Conway

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target17%

D. Strelec

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target49%

+1.5 On Target11%

H. Hackney

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target46%

+1.5 On Target13%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Preston xG (home)1.19

Middlesbrough xG (away)1.5

Average Possession

45.59% Possession 59.43%

Team Comparison Preston vs Middlesbrough

72.15% Pass accuracy 84.08%

344.41 Passes per match 516.84

0.03 Goals prevented -0.17

10.39 Fouls committed 9.33

3 Goalkeeper saves 2.22

1.7 Offsides 1.89

16.07 Tackles per match 15.45

League average xG this season is 1.29 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Preston vs Middlesbrough prediction analysis

Review Preston vs Middlesbrough with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Championship.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Championship

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights