Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Preston vs Norwich

Preston vs Norwich prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

Back to Predictions
Championship 2025-12-20 12:30
Preston
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
48%
Confidence
Low
Score
1-1
Norwich
Away

Prediction Summary

1
47%
X
26%
2
28%
Under 2.5
52%
BTTS Yes
52%
Confidence
Low

Market Evidence

Preston (Home)

Goals scored / match1.22
Goals conceded / match1.3
Over 2.5 rate13%
BTTS rate57%

Norwich (Away)

Goals scored / match1.57
Goals conceded / match1.22
Over 2.5 rate13%
BTTS rate65%

Team Form last 5 matches

Preston
LWLLW
Norwich
LDWWL

Goals Comparison rate per team

74% +0.5 87%
35% +1.5 43%
13% +2.5 13%
0% +3.5 9%
0% +4.5 4%
57% BTTS 65%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 48%. Model confidence is Low.

Preston averages 1.22 goals scored at home, while Norwich averages 1.57 goals scored away.

Model Strength
52%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
47%
Draw
26%
Away Win
28%
Over 2.5
48%
BTTS Yes
52%

Head-to-Head last 5

Mar 2026 Preston(A) 0 - 2 Norwich Away
Dec 2025 Preston 1 - 1 Norwich Draw
Feb 2025 Preston(A) 1 - 0 Norwich Home
Oct 2024 Preston 2 - 2 Norwich Draw
Apr 2024 Preston 0 - 1 Norwich Away

In the last 5 meetings, Preston won 1, drew 2 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Preston — unbeaten run (home)0
Preston — scoring streak (home)1
Norwich — winless run (away)1
Norwich — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Preston Win (1)47%
Draw (X)26%
Norwich Win (2)28%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

74% +0.5 87%
35% +1.5 43%
13% +2.5 13%
0% +3.5 9%
0% +4.5 4%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

26% -0.5 13%
65% -1.5 57%
87% -2.5 87%
100% -3.5 91%
100% -4.5 96%

Preston vs Norwich — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Preston — scored (home)1.22
Preston — conceded (home)1.3
Norwich — scored (away)1.57
Norwich — conceded (away)1.22
Model expected combined goals2.59

Both Teams To Score

Yes52%
No48%

Rate per Team

Preston — BTTS matches (home)57%
Norwich — BTTS matches (away)65%
Combined (simple average)61%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%
Under 4.50%
Over 5.598%
Under 5.52%
Over 6.594%
Under 6.56%
Over 7.583%
Under 7.517%
Over 8.570%
Under 8.530%
Over 9.566%
Under 9.534%
Over 10.555%
Under 10.545%
Expected total corners (blended average)11.00

Per-Team Corners own matches

Preston (home)

Corners for5.3
Corners against6.2

Norwich (away)

Corners for5.0
Corners against5.6

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Preston
11 14 6 15 15
Norwich
14 12 7 7 8

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.598%
Under 0.52%
Over 1.592%
Under 1.58%
Over 2.572%
Under 2.528%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.8

Yellow Cards per Team

Preston (home)

For2.1

Norwich (away)

For2.3

Shots per Game

Preston — total shots (home)11.3
Norwich — total shots (away)11.5

Shots on Target

Preston — on target (home)3.4
Norwich — on target (away)4.4

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Preston

Inside the box7.43
Outside the box3.5

Norwich

Inside the box8
Outside the box4.57

Player Shots Preston

M. Osmajić
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target18%
L. Dobbin
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target49%
+1.5 On Target10%
B. Potts
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target6%
A. Devine
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target11%
T. Small
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target34%
+1.5 On Target10%

Player Shots Norwich

M. Touré
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target64%
+1.5 On Target36%
A. Ben Slimane
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target27%
J. Sargent
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target57%
+1.5 On Target22%
J. Makama
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target54%
+1.5 On Target14%
P. Maghoma
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target21%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Preston xG (home)1.19
Norwich xG (away)1.32

Average Possession

45.59% Possession 53.63%

Team Comparison Preston vs Norwich

72.15% Pass accuracy 79.24%
344.41 Passes per match 435.28
0.03 Goals prevented 0.13
10.39 Fouls committed 10.2
3 Goalkeeper saves 2.61
1.7 Offsides 1.93
16.07 Tackles per match 16.72

League average xG this season is 1.29 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Preston vs Norwich prediction analysis

Review Preston vs Norwich with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Championship.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Championship
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
Scroll to Top