Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Preston vs Sheffield Utd

Preston vs Sheffield Utd prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Championship 2025-10-24 19:00
Preston
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
32%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-0
Sheffield Utd
Away

Prediction Summary

1
53%
X
29%
2
19%
Under 2.5
68%
BTTS No
64%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Preston (Home)

Goals scored / match1.22
Goals conceded / match1.3
Over 2.5 rate13%
BTTS rate57%

Sheffield Utd (Away)

Goals scored / match1.22
Goals conceded / match1.43
Over 2.5 rate17%
BTTS rate43%

Team Form last 5 matches

Preston
LWLLW
Sheffield Utd
WLLWW

Goals Comparison rate per team

74% +0.5 65%
35% +1.5 39%
13% +2.5 17%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
57% BTTS 43%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 32%. Model confidence is Medium.

Preston averages 1.22 goals scored at home, while Sheffield Utd averages 1.22 goals scored away.

Model Strength
68%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
53%
Draw
29%
Away Win
19%
Over 2.5
32%
BTTS Yes
36%

Head-to-Head last 5

Apr 2026 Preston(A) 3 - 2 Sheffield Utd Home
Oct 2025 Preston 3 - 2 Sheffield Utd Home
Mar 2025 Preston(A) 0 - 1 Sheffield Utd Away
Aug 2024 Preston 0 - 2 Sheffield Utd Away
Apr 2023 Preston(A) 1 - 4 Sheffield Utd Away

In the last 5 meetings, Preston won 2, drew 0 and lost 3.

Current Streaks

Preston — unbeaten run (home)0
Preston — scoring streak (home)1
Sheffield Utd — winless run (away)0
Sheffield Utd — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Preston Win (1)53%
Draw (X)29%
Sheffield Utd Win (2)19%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

74% +0.5 65%
35% +1.5 39%
13% +2.5 17%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

26% -0.5 35%
65% -1.5 61%
87% -2.5 83%
100% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Preston vs Sheffield Utd — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Preston — scored (home)1.22
Preston — conceded (home)1.3
Sheffield Utd — scored (away)1.22
Sheffield Utd — conceded (away)1.43
Model expected combined goals2

Both Teams To Score

Yes36%
No64%

Rate per Team

Preston — BTTS matches (home)57%
Sheffield Utd — BTTS matches (away)43%
Combined (simple average)50%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%
Under 4.50%
Over 5.598%
Under 5.52%
Over 6.594%
Under 6.56%
Over 7.585%
Under 7.515%
Over 8.574%
Under 8.526%
Over 9.572%
Under 9.528%
Over 10.559%
Under 10.541%
Expected total corners (blended average)11.50

Per-Team Corners own matches

Preston (home)

Corners for5.3
Corners against6.2

Sheffield Utd (away)

Corners for5.7
Corners against5.7

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Preston
11 14 6 15 15
Sheffield Utd
19 13 6 15 10

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.598%
Under 0.52%
Over 1.589%
Under 1.511%
Over 2.570%
Under 2.530%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.7

Yellow Cards per Team

Preston (home)

For2.1

Sheffield Utd (away)

For2.0

Shots per Game

Preston — total shots (home)11.3
Sheffield Utd — total shots (away)11.4

Shots on Target

Preston — on target (home)3.4
Sheffield Utd — on target (away)3.7

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Preston

Inside the box7.43
Outside the box3.5

Sheffield Utd

Inside the box9.07
Outside the box4.33

Player Shots Preston

M. Osmajić
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target18%
L. Dobbin
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target49%
+1.5 On Target10%
B. Potts
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target6%
A. Devine
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target11%
T. Small
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target34%
+1.5 On Target10%

Player Shots Sheffield Utd

P. Bamford
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target82%
+1.5 On Target25%
G. Hamer
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target49%
+1.5 On Target11%
C. O'Hare
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target7%
T. Cannon
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target39%
+1.5 On Target6%
A. Brooks
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target36%
+1.5 On Target8%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Preston xG (home)1.19
Sheffield Utd xG (away)1.57

Average Possession

45.59% Possession 52.33%

Team Comparison Preston vs Sheffield Utd

72.15% Pass accuracy 76.57%
344.41 Passes per match 415.35
0.03 Goals prevented -0.12
10.39 Fouls committed 10.59
3 Goalkeeper saves 2.76
1.7 Offsides 2.04
16.07 Tackles per match 15.43

League average xG this season is 1.29 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Preston vs Sheffield Utd prediction analysis

Review Preston vs Sheffield Utd with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Championship.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Championship
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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