Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Preston vs Swansea

Preston vs Swansea prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Championship 2025-11-05 19:45
Preston
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
29%
Confidence
High
Score
1-0
Swansea
Away

Prediction Summary

1
40%
X
32%
2
29%
Under 2.5
71%
BTTS No
63%
Confidence
High

Market Evidence

Preston (Home)

Goals scored / match1.22
Goals conceded / match1.3
Over 2.5 rate13%
BTTS rate57%

Swansea (Away)

Goals scored / match1
Goals conceded / match1.39
Over 2.5 rate4%
BTTS rate48%

Team Form last 5 matches

Preston
LWLLW
Swansea
WDWLW

Goals Comparison rate per team

74% +0.5 65%
35% +1.5 30%
13% +2.5 4%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
57% BTTS 48%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 29%. Model confidence is High.

Preston averages 1.22 goals scored at home, while Swansea averages 1 goals scored away.

Model Strength
71%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
40%
Draw
32%
Away Win
29%
Over 2.5
29%
BTTS Yes
37%

Head-to-Head last 5

Feb 2026 Preston(A) 1 - 1 Swansea Draw
Nov 2025 Preston 2 - 1 Swansea Home
Mar 2025 Preston 0 - 0 Swansea Draw
Aug 2024 Preston(A) 0 - 3 Swansea Away
Dec 2023 Preston(A) 1 - 2 Swansea Away

In the last 5 meetings, Preston won 1, drew 2 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Preston — unbeaten run (home)0
Preston — scoring streak (home)1
Swansea — winless run (away)1
Swansea — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Preston Win (1)40%
Draw (X)32%
Swansea Win (2)29%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

74% +0.5 65%
35% +1.5 30%
13% +2.5 4%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

26% -0.5 35%
65% -1.5 70%
87% -2.5 96%
100% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Preston vs Swansea — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Preston — scored (home)1.22
Preston — conceded (home)1.3
Swansea — scored (away)1
Swansea — conceded (away)1.39
Model expected combined goals1.89

Both Teams To Score

Yes37%
No63%

Rate per Team

Preston — BTTS matches (home)57%
Swansea — BTTS matches (away)48%
Combined (simple average)52.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.598%
Under 4.52%
Over 5.598%
Under 5.52%
Over 6.590%
Under 6.510%
Over 7.581%
Under 7.519%
Over 8.570%
Under 8.530%
Over 9.559%
Under 9.541%
Over 10.544%
Under 10.556%
Expected total corners (blended average)10.50

Per-Team Corners own matches

Preston (home)

Corners for5.3
Corners against6.2

Swansea (away)

Corners for4.0
Corners against5.6

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Preston
11 14 6 15 15
Swansea
14 16 9 7 14

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.596%
Under 0.54%
Over 1.589%
Under 1.511%
Over 2.561%
Under 2.539%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.8

Yellow Cards per Team

Preston (home)

For2.1

Swansea (away)

For2.1

Shots per Game

Preston — total shots (home)11.3
Swansea — total shots (away)11.0

Shots on Target

Preston — on target (home)3.4
Swansea — on target (away)4.0

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Preston

Inside the box7.43
Outside the box3.5

Swansea

Inside the box7.11
Outside the box5.2

Player Shots Preston

M. Osmajić
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target18%
L. Dobbin
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target49%
+1.5 On Target10%
B. Potts
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target6%
A. Devine
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target11%
T. Small
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target34%
+1.5 On Target10%

Player Shots Swansea

Z. Vipotnik
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target55%
+1.5 On Target23%
A. Idah
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target32%
+1.5 On Target12%
L. Cullen
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target35%
+1.5 On Target8%
L. Walta
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target20%
+1.5 On Target20%
Ronald
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target29%
+1.5 On Target7%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Preston xG (home)1.19
Swansea xG (away)1.12

Average Possession

45.59% Possession 54.57%

Team Comparison Preston vs Swansea

72.15% Pass accuracy 79.43%
344.41 Passes per match 461.63
0.03 Goals prevented -0.11
10.39 Fouls committed 9.7
3 Goalkeeper saves 3.2
1.7 Offsides 2.11
16.07 Tackles per match 15.37

League average xG this season is 1.29 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Preston vs Swansea prediction analysis

Review Preston vs Swansea with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Championship.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Championship
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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