Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Preston vs Wrexham

Preston vs Wrexham prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

Back to Predictions
Championship 2025-12-06 15:00
Preston
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
37%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-0
Wrexham
Away

Prediction Summary

1
39%
X
29%
2
31%
Under 2.5
63%
BTTS No
57%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Preston (Home)

Goals scored / match1.22
Goals conceded / match1.3
Over 2.5 rate13%
BTTS rate57%

Wrexham (Away)

Goals scored / match1.22
Goals conceded / match1.22
Over 2.5 rate9%
BTTS rate57%

Team Form last 5 matches

Preston
LWLLW
Wrexham
DLWWL

Goals Comparison rate per team

74% +0.5 78%
35% +1.5 35%
13% +2.5 9%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
57% BTTS 57%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 37%. Model confidence is Medium.

Preston averages 1.22 goals scored at home, while Wrexham averages 1.22 goals scored away.

Model Strength
63%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
39%
Draw
29%
Away Win
31%
Over 2.5
37%
BTTS Yes
43%

Head-to-Head last 3

Dec 2025 Preston(A) 1 - 2 Wrexham Away
Dec 2025 Preston 1 - 1 Wrexham Draw
Aug 2025 Preston 2 - 3 Wrexham Away

In the last 3 meetings, Preston won 0, drew 1 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Preston — unbeaten run (home)0
Preston — scoring streak (home)1
Wrexham — winless run (away)1
Wrexham — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Preston Win (1)39%
Draw (X)29%
Wrexham Win (2)31%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

74% +0.5 78%
35% +1.5 35%
13% +2.5 9%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

26% -0.5 22%
65% -1.5 65%
87% -2.5 91%
100% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Preston vs Wrexham — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Preston — scored (home)1.22
Preston — conceded (home)1.3
Wrexham — scored (away)1.22
Wrexham — conceded (away)1.22
Model expected combined goals2.16

Both Teams To Score

Yes43%
No57%

Rate per Team

Preston — BTTS matches (home)57%
Wrexham — BTTS matches (away)57%
Combined (simple average)57%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%
Under 4.50%
Over 5.596%
Under 5.54%
Over 6.592%
Under 6.58%
Over 7.581%
Under 7.519%
Over 8.570%
Under 8.530%
Over 9.564%
Under 9.536%
Over 10.544%
Under 10.556%
Expected total corners (blended average)10.70

Per-Team Corners own matches

Preston (home)

Corners for5.3
Corners against6.2

Wrexham (away)

Corners for3.7
Corners against6.2

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Preston
11 14 6 15 15
Wrexham
9 8 14 9 9

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.596%
Under 0.54%
Over 1.589%
Under 1.511%
Over 2.568%
Under 2.532%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.7

Yellow Cards per Team

Preston (home)

For2.1

Wrexham (away)

For2.0

Shots per Game

Preston — total shots (home)11.3
Wrexham — total shots (away)8.5

Shots on Target

Preston — on target (home)3.4
Wrexham — on target (away)2.7

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Preston

Inside the box7.43
Outside the box3.5

Wrexham

Inside the box7.5
Outside the box3.8

Player Shots Preston

M. Osmajić
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target18%
L. Dobbin
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target49%
+1.5 On Target10%
B. Potts
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target6%
A. Devine
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target11%
T. Small
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target34%
+1.5 On Target10%

Player Shots Wrexham

K. Moore
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target49%
+1.5 On Target18%
J. Windass
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target46%
+1.5 On Target22%
O. Rathbone
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target46%
+1.5 On Target4%
R. Hardie
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target17%
S. Smith
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target35%
+1.5 On Target10%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Preston xG (home)1.19
Wrexham xG (away)1.2

Average Possession

45.59% Possession 48.2%

Team Comparison Preston vs Wrexham

72.15% Pass accuracy 77.48%
344.41 Passes per match 412.91
0.03 Goals prevented -0.12
10.39 Fouls committed 9.93
3 Goalkeeper saves 3.04
1.7 Offsides 2.14
16.07 Tackles per match 15.37

League average xG this season is 1.29 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Preston vs Wrexham prediction analysis

Review Preston vs Wrexham with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Championship.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Championship
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
Scroll to Top