Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Preußen Münster vs 1. FC Nürnberg

Preußen Münster vs 1. FC Nürnberg prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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2. Bundesliga 2025-08-22 16:30
Preußen Münster
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
54%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
1. FC Nürnberg
Away

Prediction Summary

1
40%
X
25%
2
35%
Over 2.5
54%
BTTS Yes
57%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Preußen Münster (Home)

Goals scored / match1.29
Goals conceded / match1.53
Over 2.5 rate6%
BTTS rate82%

1. FC Nürnberg (Away)

Goals scored / match1.18
Goals conceded / match1.65
Over 2.5 rate18%
BTTS rate76%

Team Form last 5 matches

Preußen Münster
LDDLL
1. FC Nürnberg
DWDWD

Goals Comparison rate per team

82% +0.5 76%
41% +1.5 24%
6% +2.5 18%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
82% BTTS 76%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 54%. Model confidence is Medium.

Preußen Münster averages 1.29 goals scored at home, while 1. FC Nürnberg averages 1.18 goals scored away.

Model Strength
57%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
40%
Draw
25%
Away Win
35%
Over 2.5
54%
BTTS Yes
57%

Head-to-Head last 4

Jan 2026 Preußen Münster(A) 1 - 1 1. FC Nürnberg Draw
Aug 2025 Preußen Münster 2 - 1 1. FC Nürnberg Home
Mar 2025 Preußen Münster 0 - 1 1. FC Nürnberg Away
Oct 2024 Preußen Münster(A) 2 - 3 1. FC Nürnberg Away

In the last 4 meetings, Preußen Münster won 1, drew 1 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Preußen Münster — unbeaten run (home)1
Preußen Münster — scoring streak (home)2
1. FC Nürnberg — winless run (away)4
1. FC Nürnberg — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Preußen Münster Win (1)40%
Draw (X)25%
1. FC Nürnberg Win (2)35%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

82% +0.5 76%
41% +1.5 24%
6% +2.5 18%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

18% -0.5 24%
59% -1.5 76%
94% -2.5 82%
100% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Preußen Münster vs 1. FC Nürnberg — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Preußen Münster — scored (home)1.29
Preußen Münster — conceded (home)1.53
1. FC Nürnberg — scored (away)1.18
1. FC Nürnberg — conceded (away)1.65
Model expected combined goals2.82

Both Teams To Score

Yes57%
No43%

Rate per Team

Preußen Münster — BTTS matches (home)82%
1. FC Nürnberg — BTTS matches (away)76%
Combined (simple average)79%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.594%
Under 4.56%
Over 5.594%
Under 5.56%
Over 6.588%
Under 6.512%
Over 7.580%
Under 7.520%
Over 8.568%
Under 8.532%
Over 9.553%
Under 9.547%
Over 10.538%
Under 10.562%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.70

Per-Team Corners own matches

Preußen Münster (home)

Corners for4.9
Corners against5.3

1. FC Nürnberg (away)

Corners for5.1
Corners against4.1

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Preußen Münster
9 8 16 12 8
1. FC Nürnberg
4 8 9 10 15

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.594%
Under 0.56%
Over 1.591%
Under 1.59%
Over 2.588%
Under 2.512%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.9

Yellow Cards per Team

Preußen Münster (home)

For2.5

1. FC Nürnberg (away)

For2.8

Shots per Game

Preußen Münster — total shots (home)13.4
1. FC Nürnberg — total shots (away)11.5

Shots on Target

Preußen Münster — on target (home)4.5
1. FC Nürnberg — on target (away)4.1

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Preußen Münster

Inside the box7.35
Outside the box4.38

1. FC Nürnberg

Inside the box8.79
Outside the box4.09

Player Shots Preußen Münster

J. Hendrix
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target35%
+1.5 On Target19%
S. Yamada
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target10%
I. Rondić
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target36%
+1.5 On Target14%
M. Batmaz
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target17%
O. Batista Meier
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target53%
+1.5 On Target13%

Player Shots 1. FC Nürnberg

P. Scobel
Shots on Target/Game3.5
+0.5 On Target10%
+1.5 On Target5%
P. Diop
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target10%
+1.5 On Target10%
M. Zoma
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target21%
H. Koudossou
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target21%
+1.5 On Target14%
L. Lochoshvili
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target34%
+1.5 On Target13%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Preußen Münster xG (home)1.14
1. FC Nürnberg xG (away)1.4

Average Possession

51.5% Possession 49.35%

Team Comparison Preußen Münster vs 1. FC Nürnberg

80.59% Pass accuracy 80.79%
461.03 Passes per match 403.09
-0.31 Goals prevented -0.2
13.71 Fouls committed 11.88
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
1.23 Offsides 1.34
16.59 Tackles per match 15.61

League average xG this season is 1.49 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Preußen Münster vs 1. FC Nürnberg prediction analysis

Review Preußen Münster vs 1. FC Nürnberg with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from 2. Bundesliga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance 2. Bundesliga
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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