Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Preußen Münster vs Fortuna Düsseldorf

Preußen Münster vs Fortuna Düsseldorf prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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2. Bundesliga 2025-09-14 11:30
Preußen Münster
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
46%
Confidence
Low
Score
1-1
Fortuna Düsseldorf
Away

Prediction Summary

1
45%
X
26%
2
29%
Under 2.5
54%
BTTS Yes
51%
Confidence
Low

Market Evidence

Preußen Münster (Home)

Goals scored / match1.29
Goals conceded / match1.53
Over 2.5 rate6%
BTTS rate82%

Fortuna Düsseldorf (Away)

Goals scored / match0.65
Goals conceded / match1.59
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate41%

Team Form last 5 matches

Preußen Münster
LDDLL
Fortuna Düsseldorf
LWLWL

Goals Comparison rate per team

82% +0.5 53%
41% +1.5 12%
6% +2.5 0%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
82% BTTS 41%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 46%. Model confidence is Low.

Preußen Münster averages 1.29 goals scored at home, while Fortuna Düsseldorf averages 0.65 goals scored away.

Model Strength
54%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
45%
Draw
26%
Away Win
29%
Over 2.5
46%
BTTS Yes
51%

Head-to-Head last 4

Feb 2026 Preußen Münster(A) 0 - 0 Fortuna Düsseldorf Draw
Sep 2025 Preußen Münster 1 - 2 Fortuna Düsseldorf Away
Apr 2025 Preußen Münster(A) 0 - 1 Fortuna Düsseldorf Away
Nov 2024 Preußen Münster 1 - 0 Fortuna Düsseldorf Home

In the last 4 meetings, Preußen Münster won 1, drew 1 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Preußen Münster — unbeaten run (home)1
Preußen Münster — scoring streak (home)2
Fortuna Düsseldorf — winless run (away)5
Fortuna Düsseldorf — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Preußen Münster Win (1)45%
Draw (X)26%
Fortuna Düsseldorf Win (2)29%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

82% +0.5 53%
41% +1.5 12%
6% +2.5 0%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

18% -0.5 47%
59% -1.5 88%
94% -2.5 100%
100% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Preußen Münster vs Fortuna Düsseldorf — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Preußen Münster — scored (home)1.29
Preußen Münster — conceded (home)1.53
Fortuna Düsseldorf — scored (away)0.65
Fortuna Düsseldorf — conceded (away)1.59
Model expected combined goals2.53

Both Teams To Score

Yes51%
No49%

Rate per Team

Preußen Münster — BTTS matches (home)82%
Fortuna Düsseldorf — BTTS matches (away)41%
Combined (simple average)61.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.597%
Under 4.53%
Over 5.591%
Under 5.59%
Over 6.588%
Under 6.512%
Over 7.577%
Under 7.523%
Over 8.565%
Under 8.535%
Over 9.556%
Under 9.544%
Over 10.541%
Under 10.559%
Expected total corners (blended average)10.00

Per-Team Corners own matches

Preußen Münster (home)

Corners for4.9
Corners against5.3

Fortuna Düsseldorf (away)

Corners for4.4
Corners against5.4

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Preußen Münster
9 8 16 12 8
Fortuna Düsseldorf
13 9 5 7 5

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.591%
Under 0.59%
Over 1.591%
Under 1.59%
Over 2.591%
Under 2.59%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.7

Yellow Cards per Team

Preußen Münster (home)

For2.5

Fortuna Düsseldorf (away)

For2.7

Shots per Game

Preußen Münster — total shots (home)13.4
Fortuna Düsseldorf — total shots (away)12.6

Shots on Target

Preußen Münster — on target (home)4.5
Fortuna Düsseldorf — on target (away)3.7

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Preußen Münster

Inside the box7.35
Outside the box4.38

Fortuna Düsseldorf

Inside the box8.24
Outside the box4.35

Player Shots Preußen Münster

J. Hendrix
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target35%
+1.5 On Target19%
S. Yamada
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target10%
I. Rondić
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target36%
+1.5 On Target14%
M. Batmaz
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target17%
O. Batista Meier
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target53%
+1.5 On Target13%

Player Shots Fortuna Düsseldorf

J. Daland
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target4%
+1.5 On Target4%
C. Itten
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target70%
+1.5 On Target40%
C. Rasmussen
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target39%
+1.5 On Target17%
F. Muslija
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target7%
D. Schmidt
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target27%
+1.5 On Target9%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Preußen Münster xG (home)1.14
Fortuna Düsseldorf xG (away)1.2

Average Possession

51.5% Possession 49.26%

Team Comparison Preußen Münster vs Fortuna Düsseldorf

80.59% Pass accuracy 79.71%
461.03 Passes per match 414.65
-0.31 Goals prevented 0.01
13.71 Fouls committed 12.32
3 Goalkeeper saves 3.35
1.23 Offsides 1.85
16.59 Tackles per match 17.24

League average xG this season is 1.49 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Preußen Münster vs Fortuna Düsseldorf prediction analysis

Review Preußen Münster vs Fortuna Düsseldorf with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from 2. Bundesliga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance 2. Bundesliga
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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