Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Preußen Münster vs SC Paderborn 07

Preußen Münster vs SC Paderborn 07 prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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2. Bundesliga 2025-08-08 16:30
Preußen Münster
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
49%
Confidence
Low
Score
1-1
SC Paderborn 07
Away

Prediction Summary

1
30%
X
26%
2
44%
Under 2.5
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
Confidence
Low

Market Evidence

Preußen Münster (Home)

Goals scored / match1.29
Goals conceded / match1.53
Over 2.5 rate6%
BTTS rate82%

SC Paderborn 07 (Away)

Goals scored / match1.41
Goals conceded / match1.06
Over 2.5 rate6%
BTTS rate53%

Team Form last 5 matches

Preußen Münster
LDDLL
SC Paderborn 07
WDLLD

Goals Comparison rate per team

82% +0.5 82%
41% +1.5 47%
6% +2.5 6%
0% +3.5 6%
0% +4.5 0%
82% BTTS 53%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 49%. Model confidence is Low.

Preußen Münster averages 1.29 goals scored at home, while SC Paderborn 07 averages 1.41 goals scored away.

Model Strength
53%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
30%
Draw
26%
Away Win
44%
Over 2.5
49%
BTTS Yes
53%

Head-to-Head last 4

Jan 2026 Preußen Münster(A) 1 - 2 SC Paderborn 07 Away
Aug 2025 Preußen Münster 1 - 1 SC Paderborn 07 Draw
Feb 2025 Preußen Münster(A) 0 - 2 SC Paderborn 07 Away
Sep 2024 Preußen Münster 3 - 3 SC Paderborn 07 Draw

In the last 4 meetings, Preußen Münster won 0, drew 2 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Preußen Münster — unbeaten run (home)1
Preußen Münster — scoring streak (home)2
SC Paderborn 07 — winless run (away)0
SC Paderborn 07 — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Preußen Münster Win (1)30%
Draw (X)26%
SC Paderborn 07 Win (2)44%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

82% +0.5 82%
41% +1.5 47%
6% +2.5 6%
0% +3.5 6%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

18% -0.5 18%
59% -1.5 53%
94% -2.5 94%
100% -3.5 94%
100% -4.5 100%

Preußen Münster vs SC Paderborn 07 — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Preußen Münster — scored (home)1.29
Preußen Münster — conceded (home)1.53
SC Paderborn 07 — scored (away)1.41
SC Paderborn 07 — conceded (away)1.06
Model expected combined goals2.65

Both Teams To Score

Yes53%
No47%

Rate per Team

Preußen Münster — BTTS matches (home)82%
SC Paderborn 07 — BTTS matches (away)53%
Combined (simple average)67.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%
Under 4.50%
Over 5.594%
Under 5.56%
Over 6.591%
Under 6.59%
Over 7.577%
Under 7.523%
Over 8.556%
Under 8.544%
Over 9.550%
Under 9.550%
Over 10.533%
Under 10.567%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.40

Per-Team Corners own matches

Preußen Münster (home)

Corners for4.9
Corners against5.3

SC Paderborn 07 (away)

Corners for4.2
Corners against4.4

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Preußen Münster
9 8 16 12 8
SC Paderborn 07
8 9 8 5 7

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.591%
Under 0.59%
Over 1.591%
Under 1.59%
Over 2.591%
Under 2.59%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5

Yellow Cards per Team

Preußen Münster (home)

For2.5

SC Paderborn 07 (away)

For2.8

Shots per Game

Preußen Münster — total shots (home)13.4
SC Paderborn 07 — total shots (away)13.5

Shots on Target

Preußen Münster — on target (home)4.5
SC Paderborn 07 — on target (away)5.0

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Preußen Münster

Inside the box7.35
Outside the box4.38

SC Paderborn 07

Inside the box10.44
Outside the box4.85

Player Shots Preußen Münster

J. Hendrix
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target35%
+1.5 On Target19%
S. Yamada
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target10%
I. Rondić
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target36%
+1.5 On Target14%
M. Batmaz
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target17%
O. Batista Meier
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target53%
+1.5 On Target13%

Player Shots SC Paderborn 07

S. Tigges
Shots on Target/Game1.9
+0.5 On Target23%
+1.5 On Target16%
L. Engelns
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target18%
+1.5 On Target12%
L. Curda
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target41%
+1.5 On Target13%
R. Obermair
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target18%
+1.5 On Target11%
F. Bilbija
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target66%
+1.5 On Target17%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Preußen Münster xG (home)1.14
SC Paderborn 07 xG (away)1.82

Average Possession

51.5% Possession 53.26%

Team Comparison Preußen Münster vs SC Paderborn 07

80.59% Pass accuracy 80.65%
461.03 Passes per match 452.62
-0.31 Goals prevented -0.01
13.71 Fouls committed 12.82
3 Goalkeeper saves 3.03
1.23 Offsides 2.06
16.59 Tackles per match 17.26

League average xG this season is 1.49 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Preußen Münster vs SC Paderborn 07 prediction analysis

Review Preußen Münster vs SC Paderborn 07 with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from 2. Bundesliga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance 2. Bundesliga
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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