What markets are included in the PSV Eindhoven vs Ajax prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the PSV Eindhoven vs Ajax prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: PSV Eindhoven vs Ajax

PSV Eindhoven vs Ajax prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Eredivisie 2025-09-21 12:30

PSV Eindhoven

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

77%

Confidence

High

Score

2-1

Ajax

Away

Prediction Summary

53%

20%

28%

Over 2.5

77%

BTTS Yes

74%

Confidence

High

Market Evidence

PSV Eindhoven (Home)

Goals scored / match3.41

Goals conceded / match1.53

Over 2.5 rate65%

BTTS rate82%

Ajax (Away)

Goals scored / match1.76

Goals conceded / match1.41

Over 2.5 rate29%

BTTS rate76%

Team Form last 5 matches

PSV Eindhoven

WWDWW

Ajax

DWDLD

Goals Comparison rate per team

94% +0.5 88%

94% +1.5 59%

65% +2.5 29%

47% +3.5 0%

29% +4.5 0%

82% BTTS 76%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 77%. Model confidence is High.

PSV Eindhoven averages 3.41 goals scored at home, while Ajax averages 1.76 goals scored away.

Model Strength

77%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

53%

Draw

20%

Away Win

28%

Over 2.5

77%

BTTS Yes

74%

Head-to-Head last 5

May 2026 PSV Eindhoven(A) 2 - 2 Ajax Draw

Sep 2025 PSV Eindhoven 2 - 2 Ajax Draw

Mar 2025 PSV Eindhoven 0 - 2 Ajax Away

Nov 2024 PSV Eindhoven(A) 2 - 3 Ajax Away

Feb 2024 PSV Eindhoven(A) 1 - 1 Ajax Draw

In the last 5 meetings, PSV Eindhoven won 0, drew 3 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

PSV Eindhoven — unbeaten run (home)3

PSV Eindhoven — scoring streak (home)14

Ajax — winless run (away)1

Ajax — clean sheets (away, last 5)3 of 5

1X2 Probability model

PSV Eindhoven Win (1)53%

Draw (X)20%

Ajax Win (2)28%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

94% +0.5 88%

94% +1.5 59%

65% +2.5 29%

47% +3.5 0%

29% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

6% -0.5 12%

6% -1.5 41%

35% -2.5 71%

53% -3.5 100%

71% -4.5 100%

PSV Eindhoven vs Ajax — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

PSV Eindhoven — scored (home)3.41

PSV Eindhoven — conceded (home)1.53

Ajax — scored (away)1.76

Ajax — conceded (away)1.41

Model expected combined goals4.09

Both Teams To Score

Yes74%

No26%

Rate per Team

PSV Eindhoven — BTTS matches (home)82%

Ajax — BTTS matches (away)76%

Combined (simple average)79%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%

Under 4.50%

Over 5.597%

Under 5.53%

Over 6.591%

Under 6.59%

Over 7.582%

Under 7.518%

Over 8.574%

Under 8.526%

Over 9.571%

Under 9.529%

Over 10.559%

Under 10.541%

Expected total corners (blended average)11.20

Per-Team Corners own matches

PSV Eindhoven (home)

Corners for7.6

Corners against4.2

Ajax (away)

Corners for4.4

Corners against6.2

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

PSV Eindhoven

7 8 10 12 20

Ajax

10 11 16 4 12

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.597%

Under 0.53%

Over 1.588%

Under 1.512%

Over 2.556%

Under 2.544%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.3

Yellow Cards per Team

PSV Eindhoven (home)

For1.2

Ajax (away)

For2.1

Shots per Game

PSV Eindhoven — total shots (home)19.1

Ajax — total shots (away)13.3

Shots on Target

PSV Eindhoven — on target (home)7.5

Ajax — on target (away)5.2

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

PSV Eindhoven

Inside the box12.15

Outside the box5.41

Ajax

Inside the box10.03

Outside the box4.83

Player Shots PSV Eindhoven

I. Saibari

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target70%

+1.5 On Target48%

R. Pepi

Shots on Target/Game1.2

+0.5 On Target77%

+1.5 On Target35%

R. van Bommel

Shots on Target/Game1

+0.5 On Target83%

+1.5 On Target17%

G. Til

Shots on Target/Game1

+0.5 On Target62%

+1.5 On Target21%

P. Wanner

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target14%

Player Shots Ajax

M. Godts

Shots on Target/Game1.2

+0.5 On Target71%

+1.5 On Target38%

S. Berghuis

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target43%

+1.5 On Target29%

O. Gloukh

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target62%

+1.5 On Target14%

K. Taylor

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target67%

+1.5 On Target7%

W. Weghorst

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target48%

+1.5 On Target17%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

PSV Eindhoven xG (home)2.18

Ajax xG (away)1.62

Average Possession

60.85% Possession 56.39%

Team Comparison PSV Eindhoven vs Ajax

86.21% Pass accuracy 85.03%

549.82 Passes per match 528.97

-0.46 Goals prevented 0.13

10.26 Fouls committed 10.25

2.74 Goalkeeper saves 3.19

1.65 Offsides 1.48

16.79 Tackles per match 16.89

League average xG this season is 1.54 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

PSV Eindhoven vs Ajax prediction analysis

Review PSV Eindhoven vs Ajax with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Eredivisie.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Eredivisie

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights