What markets are included in the PSV Eindhoven vs Atletico Madrid prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the PSV Eindhoven vs Atletico Madrid prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: PSV Eindhoven vs Atletico Madrid

PSV Eindhoven vs Atletico Madrid prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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UEFA Champions League 2025-12-09 20:00

PSV Eindhoven

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

81%

Confidence

High

Score

2-2

Atletico Madrid

Away

Prediction Summary

45%

20%

36%

Over 2.5

81%

BTTS Yes

79%

Confidence

High

Market Evidence

PSV Eindhoven (Home)

Goals scored / match2.5

Goals conceded / match2.5

Over 2.5 rate25%

BTTS rate100%

Atletico Madrid (Away)

Goals scored / match1.63

Goals conceded / match2.13

Over 2.5 rate25%

BTTS rate63%

Team Form last 5 matches

PSV Eindhoven

LLLWD

Atletico Madrid

LDLWL

Goals Comparison rate per team

100% +0.5 75%

50% +1.5 63%

25% +2.5 25%

25% +3.5 0%

25% +4.5 0%

100% BTTS 63%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 81%. Model confidence is High.

PSV Eindhoven averages 2.5 goals scored at home, while Atletico Madrid averages 1.63 goals scored away.

Model Strength

81%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

45%

Draw

20%

Away Win

36%

Over 2.5

81%

BTTS Yes

79%

Head-to-Head last 1

Dec 2025 PSV Eindhoven 2 - 3 Atletico Madrid Away

In the last 1 meetings, PSV Eindhoven won 0, drew 0 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

PSV Eindhoven — unbeaten run (home)0

PSV Eindhoven — scoring streak (home)4

Atletico Madrid — winless run (away)1

Atletico Madrid — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

PSV Eindhoven Win (1)45%

Draw (X)20%

Atletico Madrid Win (2)36%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

100% +0.5 75%

50% +1.5 63%

25% +2.5 25%

25% +3.5 0%

25% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

0% -0.5 25%

50% -1.5 37%

75% -2.5 75%

75% -3.5 100%

75% -4.5 100%

PSV Eindhoven vs Atletico Madrid — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

PSV Eindhoven — scored (home)2.5

PSV Eindhoven — conceded (home)2.5

Atletico Madrid — scored (away)1.63

Atletico Madrid — conceded (away)2.13

Model expected combined goals4.38

Both Teams To Score

Yes79%

No21%

Rate per Team

PSV Eindhoven — BTTS matches (home)100%

Atletico Madrid — BTTS matches (away)63%

Combined (simple average)81.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%

Under 4.50%

Over 5.5100%

Under 5.50%

Over 6.5100%

Under 6.50%

Over 7.588%

Under 7.512%

Over 8.582%

Under 8.518%

Over 9.582%

Under 9.518%

Over 10.575%

Under 10.525%

Expected total corners (blended average)11.70

Per-Team Corners own matches

PSV Eindhoven (home)

Corners for6.3

Corners against6.5

Atletico Madrid (away)

Corners for4.8

Corners against5.8

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

PSV Eindhoven

9 15 14 4 11

Atletico Madrid

14 8 6 7 7

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.588%

Under 0.512%

Over 1.588%

Under 1.512%

Over 2.588%

Under 2.512%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.8

Yellow Cards per Team

PSV Eindhoven (home)

For4.3

Atletico Madrid (away)

For2.6

Shots per Game

PSV Eindhoven — total shots (home)13.8

Atletico Madrid — total shots (away)12.0

Shots on Target

PSV Eindhoven — on target (home)5.3

Atletico Madrid — on target (away)4.3

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

PSV Eindhoven

Inside the box6.63

Outside the box4.13

Atletico Madrid

Inside the box9.63

Outside the box4.63

Player Shots PSV Eindhoven

R. Pepi

Shots on Target/Game1.2

+0.5 On Target80%

+1.5 On Target40%

I. Saibari

Shots on Target/Game0.9

+0.5 On Target57%

+1.5 On Target14%

C. Driouech

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target43%

+1.5 On Target14%

I. Perišić

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target25%

+1.5 On Target13%

G. Til

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target38%

+1.5 On Target0%

Player Shots Atletico Madrid

J. Álvarez

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target67%

+1.5 On Target60%

A. Sørloth

Shots on Target/Game1.1

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target21%

A. Lookman

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target63%

+1.5 On Target13%

A. Griezmann

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target33%

+1.5 On Target20%

Marcos Llorente

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target36%

+1.5 On Target7%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

PSV Eindhoven xG (home)1.52

Atletico Madrid xG (away)1.8

Average Possession

51.88% Possession 49.31%

Team Comparison PSV Eindhoven vs Atletico Madrid

83.63% Pass accuracy 84.31%

466.63 Passes per match 475.81

-0.24 Goals prevented 0

10.25 Fouls committed 10.94

3.88 Goalkeeper saves 3.75

1.75 Offsides 1.38

18.88 Tackles per match 18.63

League average xG this season is 1.65 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

PSV Eindhoven vs Atletico Madrid prediction analysis

Review PSV Eindhoven vs Atletico Madrid with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from UEFA Champions League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance UEFA Champions League

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights