Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: PSV Eindhoven vs FC Volendam

PSV Eindhoven vs FC Volendam prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Eredivisie 2025-11-30 11:15
PSV Eindhoven
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
75%
Confidence
High
Score
2-1
FC Volendam
Away

Prediction Summary

1
68%
X
17%
2
16%
Over 2.5
75%
BTTS Yes
66%
Confidence
High

Market Evidence

PSV Eindhoven (Home)

Goals scored / match3.41
Goals conceded / match1.53
Over 2.5 rate65%
BTTS rate82%

FC Volendam (Away)

Goals scored / match0.65
Goals conceded / match1.88
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate41%

Team Form last 5 matches

PSV Eindhoven
WWDWW
FC Volendam
LDLWL

Goals Comparison rate per team

94% +0.5 47%
94% +1.5 18%
65% +2.5 0%
47% +3.5 0%
29% +4.5 0%
82% BTTS 41%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 75%. Model confidence is High.

PSV Eindhoven averages 3.41 goals scored at home, while FC Volendam averages 0.65 goals scored away.

Model Strength
75%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
68%
Draw
17%
Away Win
16%
Over 2.5
75%
BTTS Yes
66%

Head-to-Head last 5

Feb 2026 PSV Eindhoven(A) 1 - 2 FC Volendam Away
Nov 2025 PSV Eindhoven 3 - 0 FC Volendam Home
Feb 2024 PSV Eindhoven(A) 5 - 1 FC Volendam Home
Sep 2023 PSV Eindhoven 3 - 1 FC Volendam Home
Apr 2023 PSV Eindhoven(A) 3 - 2 FC Volendam Home

In the last 5 meetings, PSV Eindhoven won 4, drew 0 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

PSV Eindhoven — unbeaten run (home)3
PSV Eindhoven — scoring streak (home)14
FC Volendam — winless run (away)1
FC Volendam — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

PSV Eindhoven Win (1)68%
Draw (X)17%
FC Volendam Win (2)16%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

94% +0.5 47%
94% +1.5 18%
65% +2.5 0%
47% +3.5 0%
29% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

6% -0.5 53%
6% -1.5 82%
35% -2.5 100%
53% -3.5 100%
71% -4.5 100%

PSV Eindhoven vs FC Volendam — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

PSV Eindhoven — scored (home)3.41
PSV Eindhoven — conceded (home)1.53
FC Volendam — scored (away)0.65
FC Volendam — conceded (away)1.88
Model expected combined goals3.92

Both Teams To Score

Yes66%
No34%

Rate per Team

PSV Eindhoven — BTTS matches (home)82%
FC Volendam — BTTS matches (away)41%
Combined (simple average)61.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%
Under 4.50%
Over 5.597%
Under 5.53%
Over 6.597%
Under 6.53%
Over 7.588%
Under 7.512%
Over 8.582%
Under 8.518%
Over 9.577%
Under 9.523%
Over 10.559%
Under 10.541%
Expected total corners (blended average)11.30

Per-Team Corners own matches

PSV Eindhoven (home)

Corners for7.6
Corners against4.2

FC Volendam (away)

Corners for3.0
Corners against7.7

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

PSV Eindhoven
7 8 10 12 20
FC Volendam
8 14 12 5 7

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.591%
Under 0.59%
Over 1.577%
Under 1.523%
Over 2.544%
Under 2.556%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)2.6

Yellow Cards per Team

PSV Eindhoven (home)

For1.2

FC Volendam (away)

For1.2

Shots per Game

PSV Eindhoven — total shots (home)19.1
FC Volendam — total shots (away)9.0

Shots on Target

PSV Eindhoven — on target (home)7.5
FC Volendam — on target (away)2.9

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

PSV Eindhoven

Inside the box12.15
Outside the box5.41

FC Volendam

Inside the box6.74
Outside the box4.26

Player Shots PSV Eindhoven

I. Saibari
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target70%
+1.5 On Target48%
R. Pepi
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target77%
+1.5 On Target35%
R. van Bommel
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target83%
+1.5 On Target17%
G. Til
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target62%
+1.5 On Target21%
P. Wanner
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target14%

Player Shots FC Volendam

A. Descotte
Shots on Target/Game1.1
+0.5 On Target57%
+1.5 On Target29%
B. Pauwels
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target63%
+1.5 On Target13%
H. Veerman
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target8%
B. Kuwas
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target6%
R. Mühren
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target35%
+1.5 On Target3%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

PSV Eindhoven xG (home)2.18
FC Volendam xG (away)1.06

Average Possession

60.85% Possession 44.91%

Team Comparison PSV Eindhoven vs FC Volendam

86.21% Pass accuracy 77.91%
549.82 Passes per match 361
-0.46 Goals prevented 0.17
10.26 Fouls committed 9.76
2.74 Goalkeeper saves 4.47
1.65 Offsides 1.32
16.79 Tackles per match 16.79

League average xG this season is 1.54 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

PSV Eindhoven vs FC Volendam prediction analysis

Review PSV Eindhoven vs FC Volendam with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Eredivisie.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Eredivisie
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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