Prediction Analysis: PSV Eindhoven vs Fortuna Sittard
PSV Eindhoven vs Fortuna Sittard prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.
Eredivisie
2026-08-08
18:00
PSV Eindhoven
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
77%
Confidence
High
Score
2-1
Fortuna Sittard
Away
Prediction Summary
1
65%
X
17%
2
18%
Over 2.5
77%
BTTS Yes
70%
Confidence
High
Market Evidence
PSV Eindhoven (Home)
Goals scored / match3.41
Goals conceded / match1.53
Over 2.5 rate65%
BTTS rate82%
Fortuna Sittard (Away)
Goals scored / match1.24
Goals conceded / match2
Over 2.5 rate12%
BTTS rate71%
Team Form last 5 matches
PSV Eindhoven
WWDWW
Fortuna Sittard
LWLLD
Goals Comparison rate per team
94%
+0.5
71%
94%
+1.5
41%
65%
+2.5
12%
47%
+3.5
0%
29%
+4.5
0%
82%
BTTS
71%
Model Insight
The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 77%. Model confidence is High.
PSV Eindhoven averages 3.41 goals scored at home, while Fortuna Sittard averages 1.24 goals scored away.
Model Strength
77%
Other Top Markets for This Match
Home Win
65%
Draw
17%
Away Win
18%
Over 2.5
77%
BTTS Yes
70%
Head-to-Head last 5
Jan 2026
PSV Eindhoven(A)
2 - 1
Fortuna Sittard
Home
Oct 2025
PSV Eindhoven
5 - 2
Fortuna Sittard
Home
May 2025
PSV Eindhoven
4 - 1
Fortuna Sittard
Home
Sep 2024
PSV Eindhoven(A)
3 - 1
Fortuna Sittard
Home
May 2024
PSV Eindhoven(A)
1 - 1
Fortuna Sittard
Draw
In the last 5 meetings, PSV Eindhoven won 4, drew 1 and lost 0.
Current Streaks
PSV Eindhoven — unbeaten run (home)3
PSV Eindhoven — scoring streak (home)14
Fortuna Sittard — winless run (away)3
Fortuna Sittard — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5
1X2 Probability model
PSV Eindhoven Win (1)65%
Draw (X)17%
Fortuna Sittard Win (2)18%
Goals Over rate per team, own matches
94%
+0.5
71%
94%
+1.5
41%
65%
+2.5
12%
47%
+3.5
0%
29%
+4.5
0%
Goals Under rate per team, own matches
6%
-0.5
29%
6%
-1.5
59%
35%
-2.5
88%
53%
-3.5
100%
71%
-4.5
100%
PSV Eindhoven vs Fortuna Sittard — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.
Goal Averages per Team
PSV Eindhoven — scored (home)3.41
PSV Eindhoven — conceded (home)1.53
Fortuna Sittard — scored (away)1.24
Fortuna Sittard — conceded (away)2
Model expected combined goals4.09
Both Teams To Score
Yes70%
No30%
Rate per Team
PSV Eindhoven — BTTS matches (home)82%
Fortuna Sittard — BTTS matches (away)71%
Combined (simple average)76.5%
Corners Line model prediction
Over 8.564%
Under 8.536%
Over 9.554%
Under 9.546%
Over 10.545%
Under 10.555%
Expected total corners (model prediction)10.30
Per-Team Corners own matches
PSV Eindhoven (home)
Corners for7.6
Corners against4.2
Fortuna Sittard (away)
Corners for3.7
Corners against6.9
Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners
PSV Eindhoven
7
8
10
12
20
Fortuna Sittard
13
7
9
11
7
Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate
Over 0.594%
Under 0.56%
Over 1.580%
Under 1.520%
Over 2.556%
Under 2.544%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3
Yellow Cards per Team
PSV Eindhoven (home)
For1.2
Fortuna Sittard (away)
For2.0
Shots Forecast model prediction
Match Total
Over 19.579%
Under 19.521%
Over 22.568%
Under 22.532%
Over 25.556%
Under 25.544%
Expected total shots28.09
PSV Eindhoven
Shots Over 9.589%
Shots Over 11.580%
Shots Over 13.569%
Expected shots17.53
On Target Over 3.582%
On Target Over 4.571%
On Target Over 5.559%
Expected on target6.60
Fortuna Sittard
Shots Over 9.555%
Shots Over 11.538%
Shots Over 13.524%
Expected shots10.56
On Target Over 3.552%
On Target Over 4.536%
On Target Over 5.523%
Expected on target3.92
Shots per Game
PSV Eindhoven — total shots (home)19.1
Fortuna Sittard — total shots (away)10.9
Shots on Target
PSV Eindhoven — on target (home)7.5
Fortuna Sittard — on target (away)4.6
Shot Location Split avg per match, season
PSV Eindhoven
Inside the box12.15
Outside the box5.41
Fortuna Sittard
Inside the box7.91
Outside the box4.76
Player Shots PSV Eindhoven
I. Saibari
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target70%
+1.5 On Target48%
R. Pepi
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target77%
+1.5 On Target35%
R. van Bommel
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target83%
+1.5 On Target17%
G. Til
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target62%
+1.5 On Target21%
P. Wanner
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target14%
Player Shots Fortuna Sittard
M. Ihattaren
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target71%
+1.5 On Target32%
K. Sierhuis
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target70%
+1.5 On Target33%
L. Duijvestijn
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target47%
+1.5 On Target13%
K. Peterson
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target32%
+1.5 On Target12%
P. Gladon
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target26%
+1.5 On Target10%
Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.
Expected Goals (xG)
PSV Eindhoven xG (home)2.18
Fortuna Sittard xG (away)1.24
Average Possession
60.85%
Possession
44.79%
Team Comparison PSV Eindhoven vs Fortuna Sittard
86.21%
Pass accuracy
75.56%
549.82
Passes per match
363.18
-0.46
Goals prevented
-0.09
10.26
Fouls committed
12.29
2.74
Goalkeeper saves
3.74
1.65
Offsides
1.53
16.79
Tackles per match
17.79
League average xG this season is 1.54 per team per match, for context.
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS
PSV Eindhoven vs Fortuna Sittard prediction analysis
Review PSV Eindhoven vs Fortuna Sittard with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Eredivisie.
1X2
Over 2.5
BTTS
Recent form
Team performance
Eredivisie
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights