Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: PSV Eindhoven vs Girona

PSV Eindhoven vs Girona prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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UEFA Champions League 2024-11-05 17:45
PSV Eindhoven
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
62%
Confidence
Medium
Score
2-1
Girona
Away

Prediction Summary

1
61%
X
20%
2
19%
Over 2.5
62%
BTTS Yes
58%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

PSV Eindhoven (Home)

Goals scored / match2.5
Goals conceded / match2.17
Over 2.5 rate67%
BTTS rate83%

Girona (Away)

Goals scored / match0
Goals conceded / match1.75
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate0%

Team Form last 5 matches

PSV Eindhoven
DLWLW
Girona
LLLLL

Goals Comparison rate per team

100% +0.5 0%
67% +1.5 0%
67% +2.5 0%
17% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
83% BTTS 0%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 62%. Model confidence is Medium.

PSV Eindhoven averages 2.5 goals scored at home, while Girona averages 0 goals scored away.

Model Strength
62%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
61%
Draw
20%
Away Win
19%
Over 2.5
62%
BTTS Yes
58%

Head-to-Head last 1

Nov 2024 PSV Eindhoven 4 - 0 Girona Home

In the last 1 meetings, PSV Eindhoven won 1, drew 0 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

PSV Eindhoven — unbeaten run (home)0
PSV Eindhoven — scoring streak (home)6
Girona — winless run (away)4
Girona — clean sheets (away, last 4)0 of 4

1X2 Probability model

PSV Eindhoven Win (1)61%
Draw (X)20%
Girona Win (2)19%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

100% +0.5 0%
67% +1.5 0%
67% +2.5 0%
17% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

0% -0.5 100%
33% -1.5 100%
33% -2.5 100%
83% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

PSV Eindhoven vs Girona — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

PSV Eindhoven — scored (home)2.5
PSV Eindhoven — conceded (home)2.17
Girona — scored (away)0
Girona — conceded (away)1.75
Model expected combined goals3.21

Both Teams To Score

Yes58%
No42%

Rate per Team

PSV Eindhoven — BTTS matches (home)83%
Girona — BTTS matches (away)0%
Combined (simple average)41.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.592%
Under 4.58%
Over 5.592%
Under 5.58%
Over 6.579%
Under 6.521%
Over 7.579%
Under 7.521%
Over 8.571%
Under 8.529%
Over 9.559%
Under 9.541%
Over 10.529%
Under 10.571%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.50

Per-Team Corners own matches

PSV Eindhoven (home)

Corners for6.3
Corners against3.7

Girona (away)

Corners for4.3
Corners against4.8

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

PSV Eindhoven
10 9 11 8 9
Girona
10 11 13 9 16

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.5100%
Under 1.50%
Over 2.588%
Under 2.512%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5

Yellow Cards per Team

PSV Eindhoven (home)

For2.3

Girona (away)

For2.8

Shots per Game

PSV Eindhoven — total shots (home)21.2
Girona — total shots (away)7.5

Shots on Target

PSV Eindhoven — on target (home)8.8
Girona — on target (away)2.3

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

PSV Eindhoven

Inside the box10.5
Outside the box6.75

Girona

Inside the box6.63
Outside the box3.25

Player Shots PSV Eindhoven

J. Bakayoko
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target42%
+1.5 On Target17%
R. Pepi
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target57%
+1.5 On Target29%
I. Saibari
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target60%
+1.5 On Target20%
M. Tillman
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target33%
I. Perišić
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target75%
+1.5 On Target25%

Player Shots Girona

B. Miovski
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target75%
+1.5 On Target25%
Miguel Gutiérrez
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target17%
Y. Herrera
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target0%
A. Danjuma
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target0%
C. Stuani
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target0%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

PSV Eindhoven xG (home)1.64
Girona xG (away)1.22

Average Possession

55% Possession 51%

Team Comparison PSV Eindhoven vs Girona

85.08% Pass accuracy 85.63%
515.92 Passes per match 466.38
0.21 Goals prevented 0.52
10.58 Fouls committed 14.5
3.42 Goalkeeper saves 4.5
1.33 Offsides 1.5
20.25 Tackles per match 16.63

League average xG this season is 1.54 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

PSV Eindhoven vs Girona prediction analysis

Review PSV Eindhoven vs Girona with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from UEFA Champions League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance UEFA Champions League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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