What markets are included in the PSV Eindhoven vs Liverpool prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the PSV Eindhoven vs Liverpool prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: PSV Eindhoven vs Liverpool

PSV Eindhoven vs Liverpool prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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UEFA Champions League 2025-01-29 20:00

PSV Eindhoven

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

54%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-1

Liverpool

Away

Prediction Summary

41%

25%

34%

Over 2.5

54%

BTTS Yes

57%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

PSV Eindhoven (Home)

Goals scored / match2.5

Goals conceded / match2.17

Over 2.5 rate67%

BTTS rate83%

Liverpool (Away)

Goals scored / match1.6

Goals conceded / match0.8

Over 2.5 rate20%

BTTS rate40%

Team Form last 5 matches

PSV Eindhoven

DLWLW

Liverpool

LWLWW

Goals Comparison rate per team

100% +0.5 100%

67% +1.5 40%

67% +2.5 20%

17% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

83% BTTS 40%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 54%. Model confidence is Medium.

PSV Eindhoven averages 2.5 goals scored at home, while Liverpool averages 1.6 goals scored away.

Model Strength

57%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

41%

Draw

25%

Away Win

34%

Over 2.5

54%

BTTS Yes

57%

Head-to-Head last 2

Nov 2025 PSV Eindhoven(A) 4 - 1 Liverpool Home

Jan 2025 PSV Eindhoven 3 - 2 Liverpool Home

In the last 2 meetings, PSV Eindhoven won 2, drew 0 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

PSV Eindhoven — unbeaten run (home)0

PSV Eindhoven — scoring streak (home)6

Liverpool — winless run (away)0

Liverpool — clean sheets (away, last 5)3 of 5

1X2 Probability model

PSV Eindhoven Win (1)41%

Draw (X)25%

Liverpool Win (2)34%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

100% +0.5 100%

67% +1.5 40%

67% +2.5 20%

17% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

0% -0.5 0%

33% -1.5 60%

33% -2.5 80%

83% -3.5 100%

100% -4.5 100%

PSV Eindhoven vs Liverpool — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

PSV Eindhoven — scored (home)2.5

PSV Eindhoven — conceded (home)2.17

Liverpool — scored (away)1.6

Liverpool — conceded (away)0.8

Model expected combined goals2.83

Both Teams To Score

Yes57%

No43%

Rate per Team

PSV Eindhoven — BTTS matches (home)83%

Liverpool — BTTS matches (away)40%

Combined (simple average)61.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.592%

Under 4.58%

Over 5.592%

Under 5.58%

Over 6.592%

Under 6.58%

Over 7.582%

Under 7.518%

Over 8.574%

Under 8.526%

Over 9.574%

Under 9.526%

Over 10.547%

Under 10.553%

Expected total corners (blended average)10.80

Per-Team Corners own matches

PSV Eindhoven (home)

Corners for6.3

Corners against3.7

Liverpool (away)

Corners for4.8

Corners against6.8

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

PSV Eindhoven

10 9 11 8 9

Liverpool

13 6 10 16 18

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%

Under 0.50%

Over 1.5100%

Under 1.50%

Over 2.590%

Under 2.510%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.5

Yellow Cards per Team

PSV Eindhoven (home)

For2.3

Liverpool (away)

For1.8

Shots per Game

PSV Eindhoven — total shots (home)21.2

Liverpool — total shots (away)13.2

Shots on Target

PSV Eindhoven — on target (home)8.8

Liverpool — on target (away)6.4

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

PSV Eindhoven

Inside the box10.5

Outside the box6.75

Liverpool

Inside the box10.4

Outside the box4.2

Player Shots PSV Eindhoven

J. Bakayoko

Shots on Target/Game2

+0.5 On Target42%

+1.5 On Target17%

R. Pepi

Shots on Target/Game2

+0.5 On Target57%

+1.5 On Target29%

I. Saibari

Shots on Target/Game1.8

+0.5 On Target60%

+1.5 On Target20%

I. Perišić

Shots on Target/Game1.7

+0.5 On Target75%

+1.5 On Target25%

M. Tillman

Shots on Target/Game1.7

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target33%

Player Shots Liverpool

D. Szoboszlai

Shots on Target/Game3

+0.5 On Target11%

+1.5 On Target11%

F. Chiesa

Shots on Target/Game2

+0.5 On Target67%

+1.5 On Target67%

T. Alexander-Arnold

Shots on Target/Game2

+0.5 On Target13%

+1.5 On Target13%

L. Díaz

Shots on Target/Game1.8

+0.5 On Target44%

+1.5 On Target22%

D. Núñez

Shots on Target/Game1.7

+0.5 On Target67%

+1.5 On Target33%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

PSV Eindhoven xG (home)1.64

Liverpool xG (away)2.1

Average Possession

55% Possession 50.9%

Team Comparison PSV Eindhoven vs Liverpool

85.08% Pass accuracy 85.4%

515.92 Passes per match 508

0.21 Goals prevented 0.32

10.58 Fouls committed 10.6

3.42 Goalkeeper saves 3.8

1.33 Offsides 1.4

20.25 Tackles per match 14.8

League average xG this season is 1.54 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

PSV Eindhoven vs Liverpool prediction analysis

Review PSV Eindhoven vs Liverpool with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from UEFA Champions League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance UEFA Champions League

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights