Prediction Analysis: PSV Eindhoven vs Union St. Gilloise
PSV Eindhoven vs Union St. Gilloise prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.
PSV Eindhoven
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
74%
Confidence
High
Score
1-1
Union St. Gilloise
Away
Prediction Summary
1
42%
X
21%
2
37%
Over 2.5
74%
BTTS Yes
73%
Confidence
High
Market Evidence
PSV Eindhoven (Home)
Goals scored / match2.5
Goals conceded / match2.5
Over 2.5 rate25%
BTTS rate100%
Union St. Gilloise (Away)
Goals scored / match1.25
Goals conceded / match1.5
Over 2.5 rate25%
BTTS rate50%
Team Form last 5 matches
PSV Eindhoven
LLLWD
Union St. Gilloise
WLLWL
Goals Comparison rate per team
100%
+0.5
75%
50%
+1.5
25%
25%
+2.5
25%
25%
+3.5
0%
25%
+4.5
0%
100%
BTTS
50%
Model Insight
The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 74%. Model confidence is High.
PSV Eindhoven averages 2.5 goals scored at home, while Union St. Gilloise averages 1.25 goals scored away.
Model Strength
74%
Other Top Markets for This Match
Home Win
42%
Draw
21%
Away Win
37%
Over 2.5
74%
BTTS Yes
73%
Head-to-Head last 1
Sep 2025
PSV Eindhoven
1 - 3
Union St. Gilloise
Away
In the last 1 meetings, PSV Eindhoven won 0, drew 0 and lost 1.
Current Streaks
PSV Eindhoven — unbeaten run (home)0
PSV Eindhoven — scoring streak (home)4
Union St. Gilloise — winless run (away)1
Union St. Gilloise — clean sheets (away, last 4)1 of 4
1X2 Probability model
PSV Eindhoven Win (1)42%
Draw (X)21%
Union St. Gilloise Win (2)37%
Goals Over rate per team, own matches
100%
+0.5
75%
50%
+1.5
25%
25%
+2.5
25%
25%
+3.5
0%
25%
+4.5
0%
Goals Under rate per team, own matches
0%
-0.5
25%
50%
-1.5
75%
75%
-2.5
75%
75%
-3.5
100%
75%
-4.5
100%
PSV Eindhoven vs Union St. Gilloise — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.
Goal Averages per Team
PSV Eindhoven — scored (home)2.5
PSV Eindhoven — conceded (home)2.5
Union St. Gilloise — scored (away)1.25
Union St. Gilloise — conceded (away)1.5
Model expected combined goals3.88
Both Teams To Score
Yes73%
No27%
Rate per Team
PSV Eindhoven — BTTS matches (home)100%
Union St. Gilloise — BTTS matches (away)50%
Combined (simple average)75%
Corners Line match total, blended estimate
Over 4.5100%
Under 4.50%
Over 5.588%
Under 5.512%
Over 6.588%
Under 6.512%
Over 7.588%
Under 7.512%
Over 8.588%
Under 8.512%
Over 9.575%
Under 9.525%
Over 10.563%
Under 10.537%
Expected total corners (blended average)11.20
Per-Team Corners own matches
PSV Eindhoven (home)
Corners for6.3
Corners against6.5
Union St. Gilloise (away)
Corners for3.5
Corners against6.0
Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners
PSV Eindhoven
9
15
14
4
11
Union St. Gilloise
10
9
5
5
6
Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate
Over 0.575%
Under 0.525%
Over 1.575%
Under 1.525%
Over 2.575%
Under 2.525%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.3
Yellow Cards per Team
PSV Eindhoven (home)
For4.3
Union St. Gilloise (away)
For2.0
Shots per Game
PSV Eindhoven — total shots (home)13.8
Union St. Gilloise — total shots (away)11.8
Shots on Target
PSV Eindhoven — on target (home)5.3
Union St. Gilloise — on target (away)4.3
Shot Location Split avg per match, season
PSV Eindhoven
Inside the box6.63
Outside the box4.13
Union St. Gilloise
Inside the box8.25
Outside the box3.63
Player Shots PSV Eindhoven
R. Pepi
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target80%
+1.5 On Target40%
I. Saibari
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target57%
+1.5 On Target14%
C. Driouech
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target14%
I. Perišić
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target13%
G. Til
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target0%
Player Shots Union St. Gilloise
P. David
Shots on Target/Game1.1
+0.5 On Target86%
+1.5 On Target29%
K. Rodríguez
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target33%
S. Boufal
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target25%
R. Florucz
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target60%
+1.5 On Target0%
A. Khalaili
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target25%
Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.
Expected Goals (xG)
PSV Eindhoven xG (home)1.52
Union St. Gilloise xG (away)1.31
Average Possession
51.88%
Possession
35%
Team Comparison PSV Eindhoven vs Union St. Gilloise
83.63%
Pass accuracy
77.75%
466.63
Passes per match
335
-0.24
Goals prevented
0.27
10.25
Fouls committed
12.13
3.88
Goalkeeper saves
2.25
1.75
Offsides
4
18.88
Tackles per match
24.88
League average xG this season is 1.65 per team per match, for context.
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS
PSV Eindhoven vs Union St. Gilloise prediction analysis
Review PSV Eindhoven vs Union St. Gilloise with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from UEFA Champions League.
1X2
Over 2.5
BTTS
Recent form
Team performance
UEFA Champions League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights