What markets are included in the Qarabag vs Chelsea prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Qarabag vs Chelsea prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Qarabag vs Chelsea

Qarabag vs Chelsea prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

Back to Predictions

UEFA Champions League 2025-11-05 17:45

Qarabag

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

77%

Confidence

High

Score

2-1

Chelsea

Away

Prediction Summary

64%

17%

19%

Over 2.5

77%

BTTS Yes

70%

Confidence

High

Market Evidence

Qarabag (Home)

Goals scored / match2.25

Goals conceded / match2.25

Over 2.5 rate25%

BTTS rate75%

Chelsea (Away)

Goals scored / match1.8

Goals conceded / match2.8

Over 2.5 rate20%

BTTS rate100%

Team Form last 5 matches

Qarabag

LLLWL

Chelsea

LLWWL

Goals Comparison rate per team

100% +0.5 100%

75% +1.5 60%

25% +2.5 20%

13% +3.5 0%

13% +4.5 0%

75% BTTS 100%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 77%. Model confidence is High.

Qarabag averages 2.25 goals scored at home, while Chelsea averages 1.8 goals scored away.

Model Strength

77%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

64%

Draw

17%

Away Win

19%

Over 2.5

77%

BTTS Yes

70%

Head-to-Head last 1

Nov 2025 Qarabag 2 - 2 Chelsea Draw

In the last 1 meetings, Qarabag won 0, drew 1 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

Qarabag — unbeaten run (home)0

Qarabag — scoring streak (home)8

Chelsea — winless run (away)1

Chelsea — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Qarabag Win (1)64%

Draw (X)17%

Chelsea Win (2)19%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

100% +0.5 100%

75% +1.5 60%

25% +2.5 20%

13% +3.5 0%

13% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

0% -0.5 0%

25% -1.5 40%

75% -2.5 80%

87% -3.5 100%

87% -4.5 100%

Qarabag vs Chelsea — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Qarabag — scored (home)2.25

Qarabag — conceded (home)2.25

Chelsea — scored (away)1.8

Chelsea — conceded (away)2.8

Model expected combined goals4.05

Both Teams To Score

Yes70%

No30%

Rate per Team

Qarabag — BTTS matches (home)75%

Chelsea — BTTS matches (away)100%

Combined (simple average)87.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.592%

Under 4.58%

Over 5.572%

Under 5.528%

Over 6.572%

Under 6.528%

Over 7.562%

Under 7.538%

Over 8.544%

Under 8.556%

Over 9.544%

Under 9.556%

Over 10.517%

Under 10.583%

Expected total corners (blended average)8.20

Per-Team Corners own matches

Qarabag (home)

Corners for4.3

Corners against5.0

Chelsea (away)

Corners for3.8

Corners against3.2

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Qarabag

10 8 15 14 15

Chelsea

7 17 5 5 12

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%

Under 0.50%

Over 1.564%

Under 1.536%

Over 2.564%

Under 2.536%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.1

Yellow Cards per Team

Qarabag (home)

For1.5

Chelsea (away)

For1.2

Shots per Game

Qarabag — total shots (home)10.8

Chelsea — total shots (away)11.0

Shots on Target

Qarabag — on target (home)4.0

Chelsea — on target (away)4.2

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Qarabag

Inside the box6.25

Outside the box4.08

Chelsea

Inside the box8.7

Outside the box5.2

Player Shots Qarabag

C. Durán

Shots on Target/Game1

+0.5 On Target70%

+1.5 On Target30%

Leandro Andrade

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target45%

+1.5 On Target0%

O. Kashchuk

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target44%

+1.5 On Target0%

E. Addai

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target25%

+1.5 On Target8%

Joni Montiel

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target40%

+1.5 On Target0%

Player Shots Chelsea

Estêvão

Shots on Target/Game1

+0.5 On Target71%

+1.5 On Target14%

A. Garnacho

Shots on Target/Game0.9

+0.5 On Target44%

+1.5 On Target33%

L. Delap

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target40%

+1.5 On Target20%

João Pedro

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target25%

C. Palmer

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target75%

+1.5 On Target0%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Qarabag xG (home)1.09

Chelsea xG (away)1.65

Average Possession

45.25% Possession 54.6%

Team Comparison Qarabag vs Chelsea

80.33% Pass accuracy 88.5%

389.08 Passes per match 532.8

-0.34 Goals prevented -0.43

7.17 Fouls committed 12.2

4.08 Goalkeeper saves 2.1

1.25 Offsides 2.22

14.58 Tackles per match 15.3

League average xG this season is 1.65 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Qarabag vs Chelsea prediction analysis

Review Qarabag vs Chelsea with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from UEFA Champions League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance UEFA Champions League

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights