Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Qarabag vs FC Copenhagen

Qarabag vs FC Copenhagen prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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UEFA Champions League 2025-10-01 16:45
Qarabag
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
46%
Confidence
Low
Score
1-0
FC Copenhagen
Away

Prediction Summary

1
49%
X
26%
2
25%
Under 2.5
54%
BTTS No
51%
Confidence
Low

Market Evidence

Qarabag (Home)

Goals scored / match2.25
Goals conceded / match2.25
Over 2.5 rate25%
BTTS rate75%

FC Copenhagen (Away)

Goals scored / match0.86
Goals conceded / match1.86
Over 2.5 rate14%
BTTS rate43%

Team Form last 5 matches

Qarabag
LLLWL
FC Copenhagen
LDWWL

Goals Comparison rate per team

100% +0.5 57%
75% +1.5 14%
25% +2.5 14%
13% +3.5 0%
13% +4.5 0%
75% BTTS 43%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 46%. Model confidence is Low.

Qarabag averages 2.25 goals scored at home, while FC Copenhagen averages 0.86 goals scored away.

Model Strength
54%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
49%
Draw
26%
Away Win
25%
Over 2.5
46%
BTTS Yes
49%

Head-to-Head last 1

Oct 2025 Qarabag 2 - 0 FC Copenhagen Home

In the last 1 meetings, Qarabag won 1, drew 0 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

Qarabag — unbeaten run (home)0
Qarabag — scoring streak (home)8
FC Copenhagen — winless run (away)1
FC Copenhagen — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Qarabag Win (1)49%
Draw (X)26%
FC Copenhagen Win (2)25%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

100% +0.5 57%
75% +1.5 14%
25% +2.5 14%
13% +3.5 0%
13% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

0% -0.5 43%
25% -1.5 86%
75% -2.5 86%
87% -3.5 100%
87% -4.5 100%

Qarabag vs FC Copenhagen — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Qarabag — scored (home)2.25
Qarabag — conceded (home)2.25
FC Copenhagen — scored (away)0.86
FC Copenhagen — conceded (away)1.86
Model expected combined goals2.5

Both Teams To Score

Yes49%
No51%

Rate per Team

Qarabag — BTTS matches (home)75%
FC Copenhagen — BTTS matches (away)43%
Combined (simple average)59%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.592%
Under 4.58%
Over 5.585%
Under 5.515%
Over 6.585%
Under 6.515%
Over 7.577%
Under 7.523%
Over 8.562%
Under 8.538%
Over 9.555%
Under 9.545%
Over 10.531%
Under 10.569%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.00

Per-Team Corners own matches

Qarabag (home)

Corners for4.3
Corners against5.0

FC Copenhagen (away)

Corners for4.7
Corners against4.0

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Qarabag
10 8 15 14 15
FC Copenhagen
9 5 10 12 11

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.584%
Under 1.516%
Over 2.584%
Under 2.516%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4

Yellow Cards per Team

Qarabag (home)

For1.5

FC Copenhagen (away)

For2.6

Shots per Game

Qarabag — total shots (home)10.8
FC Copenhagen — total shots (away)9.7

Shots on Target

Qarabag — on target (home)4.0
FC Copenhagen — on target (away)3.1

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Qarabag

Inside the box6.25
Outside the box4.08

FC Copenhagen

Inside the box6.64
Outside the box4.29

Player Shots Qarabag

C. Durán
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target70%
+1.5 On Target30%
Leandro Andrade
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target45%
+1.5 On Target0%
O. Kashchuk
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target0%
E. Addai
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target8%
Joni Montiel
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target0%

Player Shots FC Copenhagen

M. Mattsson
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target60%
+1.5 On Target40%
V. Dadason
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target17%
Robert
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target55%
+1.5 On Target18%
Y. Moukoko
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target55%
+1.5 On Target27%
J. Larsson
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target14%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Qarabag xG (home)1.09
FC Copenhagen xG (away)1.39

Average Possession

45.25% Possession 46.14%

Team Comparison Qarabag vs FC Copenhagen

80.33% Pass accuracy 80.36%
389.08 Passes per match 415.21
-0.34 Goals prevented 0.27
7.17 Fouls committed 14.93
4.08 Goalkeeper saves 3.07
1.25 Offsides 2
14.58 Tackles per match 16.93

League average xG this season is 1.65 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Qarabag vs FC Copenhagen prediction analysis

Review Qarabag vs FC Copenhagen with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from UEFA Champions League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance UEFA Champions League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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