Prediction Analysis: Qarabag vs Ferencvarosi TC
Qarabag vs Ferencvarosi TC prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.
Qarabag
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
69%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Ferencvarosi TC
Away
Prediction Summary
1
32%
X
22%
2
46%
Over 2.5
69%
BTTS Yes
69%
Confidence
Medium
Market Evidence
Qarabag (Home)
Goals scored / match2.25
Goals conceded / match2.25
Over 2.5 rate25%
BTTS rate75%
Ferencvarosi TC (Away)
Goals scored / match1.67
Goals conceded / match1
Over 2.5 rate33%
BTTS rate67%
Team Form last 5 matches
Qarabag
LLLWL
Ferencvarosi TC
WLWDW
Goals Comparison rate per team
100%
+0.5
67%
75%
+1.5
67%
25%
+2.5
33%
13%
+3.5
0%
13%
+4.5
0%
75%
BTTS
67%
Model Insight
The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 69%. Model confidence is Medium.
Qarabag averages 2.25 goals scored at home, while Ferencvarosi TC averages 1.67 goals scored away.
Model Strength
69%
Other Top Markets for This Match
Home Win
32%
Draw
22%
Away Win
46%
Over 2.5
69%
BTTS Yes
69%
Head-to-Head last 5
Jul 2026
Qarabag(A)
0 - 1
Ferencvarosi TC
Away
Aug 2025
Qarabag
2 - 3
Ferencvarosi TC
Away
Aug 2025
Qarabag(A)
3 - 1
Ferencvarosi TC
Home
Aug 2022
Qarabag(A)
3 - 1
Ferencvarosi TC
Home
Aug 2022
Qarabag
1 - 1
Ferencvarosi TC
Draw
In the last 5 meetings, Qarabag won 2, drew 1 and lost 2.
Current Streaks
Qarabag — unbeaten run (home)0
Qarabag — scoring streak (home)8
Ferencvarosi TC — winless run (away)0
Ferencvarosi TC — clean sheets (away, last 3)1 of 3
1X2 Probability model
Qarabag Win (1)32%
Draw (X)22%
Ferencvarosi TC Win (2)46%
Goals Over rate per team, own matches
100%
+0.5
67%
75%
+1.5
67%
25%
+2.5
33%
13%
+3.5
0%
13%
+4.5
0%
Goals Under rate per team, own matches
0%
-0.5
33%
25%
-1.5
33%
75%
-2.5
67%
87%
-3.5
100%
87%
-4.5
100%
Qarabag vs Ferencvarosi TC — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.
Goal Averages per Team
Qarabag — scored (home)2.25
Qarabag — conceded (home)2.25
Ferencvarosi TC — scored (away)1.67
Ferencvarosi TC — conceded (away)1
Model expected combined goals3.58
Both Teams To Score
Yes69%
No31%
Rate per Team
Qarabag — BTTS matches (home)75%
Ferencvarosi TC — BTTS matches (away)67%
Combined (simple average)71%
Corners Line match total, blended estimate
Over 4.575%
Under 4.525%
Over 5.575%
Under 5.525%
Over 6.575%
Under 6.525%
Over 7.558%
Under 7.542%
Over 8.550%
Under 8.550%
Over 9.550%
Under 9.550%
Over 10.533%
Under 10.567%
Expected total corners (blended average)8.20
Per-Team Corners own matches
Qarabag (home)
Corners for4.3
Corners against5.0
Ferencvarosi TC (away)
Corners for5.3
Corners against1.7
Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners
Qarabag
10
8
15
14
15
Ferencvarosi TC
4
11
9
7
3
Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate
Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.584%
Under 1.516%
Over 2.567%
Under 2.533%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.7
Yellow Cards per Team
Qarabag (home)
For1.5
Ferencvarosi TC (away)
For2.0
Shots per Game
Qarabag — total shots (home)10.8
Ferencvarosi TC — total shots (away)14.7
Shots on Target
Qarabag — on target (home)4.0
Ferencvarosi TC — on target (away)4.3
Shot Location Split avg per match, season
Qarabag
Inside the box6.25
Outside the box4.08
Ferencvarosi TC
Inside the box10.17
Outside the box4.17
Player Shots Qarabag
C. Durán
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target70%
+1.5 On Target30%
Leandro Andrade
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target45%
+1.5 On Target0%
O. Kashchuk
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target0%
E. Addai
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target8%
Joni Montiel
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target0%
Player Shots Ferencvarosi TC
B. Varga
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target83%
+1.5 On Target33%
L. Joseph
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target83%
+1.5 On Target33%
A. Pešić
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target75%
+1.5 On Target0%
B. Ötvös
Shots on Target/Game0.3
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target0%
K. Zachariassen
Shots on Target/Game0.3
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target0%
Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.
Expected Goals (xG)
Qarabag xG (home)1.09
Ferencvarosi TC xG (away)0
Average Possession
45.25%
Possession
49.17%
Team Comparison Qarabag vs Ferencvarosi TC
80.33%
Pass accuracy
79.33%
389.08
Passes per match
360.5
-0.34
Goals prevented
0
7.17
Fouls committed
15.67
4.08
Goalkeeper saves
2
1.25
Offsides
1.5
14.58
Tackles per match
16.83
League average xG this season is 1.65 per team per match, for context.
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS
Qarabag vs Ferencvarosi TC prediction analysis
Review Qarabag vs Ferencvarosi TC with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from UEFA Champions League.
1X2
Over 2.5
BTTS
Recent form
Team performance
UEFA Champions League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights