What markets are included in the Qarabag vs Malmo FF prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Qarabag vs Malmo FF prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Qarabag vs Malmo FF

Qarabag vs Malmo FF prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

Back to Predictions

UEFA Europa League 2024-10-03 16:45

Qarabag

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

74%

Confidence

High

Score

1-2

Malmo FF

Away

Prediction Summary

28%

20%

52%

Over 2.5

74%

BTTS Yes

72%

Confidence

High

Market Evidence

Qarabag (Home)

Goals scored / match1

Goals conceded / match3

Over 2.5 rate0%

BTTS rate75%

Malmo FF (Away)

Goals scored / match1.5

Goals conceded / match2.25

Over 2.5 rate0%

BTTS rate100%

Team Form last 5 matches

Qarabag

LLLLW

Malmo FF

DLDLL

Goals Comparison rate per team

75% +0.5 100%

25% +1.5 50%

0% +2.5 0%

0% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

75% BTTS 100%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 74%. Model confidence is High.

Qarabag averages 1 goals scored at home, while Malmo FF averages 1.5 goals scored away.

Model Strength

74%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

28%

Draw

20%

Away Win

52%

Over 2.5

74%

BTTS Yes

72%

Head-to-Head last 1

Oct 2024 Qarabag 1 - 2 Malmo FF Away

In the last 1 meetings, Qarabag won 0, drew 0 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Qarabag — unbeaten run (home)0

Qarabag — scoring streak (home)2

Malmo FF — winless run (away)3

Malmo FF — clean sheets (away, last 4)0 of 4

1X2 Probability model

Qarabag Win (1)28%

Draw (X)20%

Malmo FF Win (2)52%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

75% +0.5 100%

25% +1.5 50%

0% +2.5 0%

0% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

25% -0.5 0%

75% -1.5 50%

100% -2.5 100%

100% -3.5 100%

100% -4.5 100%

Qarabag vs Malmo FF — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Qarabag — scored (home)1

Qarabag — conceded (home)3

Malmo FF — scored (away)1.5

Malmo FF — conceded (away)2.25

Model expected combined goals3.88

Both Teams To Score

Yes72%

No28%

Rate per Team

Qarabag — BTTS matches (home)75%

Malmo FF — BTTS matches (away)100%

Combined (simple average)87.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.588%

Under 4.512%

Over 5.563%

Under 5.537%

Over 6.563%

Under 6.537%

Over 7.563%

Under 7.537%

Over 8.525%

Under 8.575%

Over 9.525%

Under 9.575%

Over 10.525%

Under 10.575%

Expected total corners (blended average)7.70

Per-Team Corners own matches

Qarabag (home)

Corners for5.5

Corners against2.5

Malmo FF (away)

Corners for2.8

Corners against4.5

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Qarabag

13 8 6 11 10

Malmo FF

5 4 10 16 12

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%

Under 0.50%

Over 1.5100%

Under 1.50%

Over 2.563%

Under 2.537%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.3

Yellow Cards per Team

Qarabag (home)

For2.0

Malmo FF (away)

For2.3

Shots per Game

Qarabag — total shots (home)10.0

Malmo FF — total shots (away)12.5

Shots on Target

Qarabag — on target (home)1.8

Malmo FF — on target (away)6.0

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Qarabag

Inside the box6.13

Outside the box4

Malmo FF

Inside the box8.75

Outside the box4.38

Player Shots Qarabag

Juninho

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target83%

+1.5 On Target33%

A. Zoubir

Shots on Target/Game1

+0.5 On Target38%

+1.5 On Target0%

T. Bayramov

Shots on Target/Game1

+0.5 On Target25%

+1.5 On Target0%

E. Cəfərquliyev

Shots on Target/Game1

+0.5 On Target14%

+1.5 On Target0%

Y. Benzia

Shots on Target/Game1

+0.5 On Target57%

+1.5 On Target0%

Player Shots Malmo FF

H. Bolin

Shots on Target/Game2

+0.5 On Target25%

+1.5 On Target25%

E. Botheim

Shots on Target/Game1.8

+0.5 On Target63%

+1.5 On Target25%

I. Kiese Thelin

Shots on Target/Game1.7

+0.5 On Target60%

+1.5 On Target20%

T. Ali

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target29%

+1.5 On Target14%

L. Johnsen

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target25%

+1.5 On Target13%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Qarabag xG (home)1.14

Malmo FF xG (away)1.5

Average Possession

55.25% Possession 53%

Team Comparison Qarabag vs Malmo FF

82.5% Pass accuracy 80.5%

475.25 Passes per match 458.25

0.07 Goals prevented -0.31

9.88 Fouls committed 11.5

4.13 Goalkeeper saves 2.5

1.88 Offsides 1.71

23.25 Tackles per match 15.63

League average xG this season is 1.47 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Qarabag vs Malmo FF prediction analysis

Review Qarabag vs Malmo FF with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from UEFA Europa League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance UEFA Europa League

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights