Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: QPR vs Norwich

QPR vs Norwich prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Championship 2026-01-01 15:00
QPR
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
57%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Norwich
Away

Prediction Summary

1
48%
X
24%
2
29%
Over 2.5
57%
BTTS Yes
59%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

QPR (Home)

Goals scored / match1.74
Goals conceded / match1.61
Over 2.5 rate26%
BTTS rate74%

Norwich (Away)

Goals scored / match1.57
Goals conceded / match1.22
Over 2.5 rate13%
BTTS rate65%

Team Form last 5 matches

QPR
LLLLD
Norwich
LDWWL

Goals Comparison rate per team

83% +0.5 87%
48% +1.5 43%
26% +2.5 13%
9% +3.5 9%
4% +4.5 4%
74% BTTS 65%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 57%. Model confidence is Medium.

QPR averages 1.74 goals scored at home, while Norwich averages 1.57 goals scored away.

Model Strength
59%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
48%
Draw
24%
Away Win
29%
Over 2.5
57%
BTTS Yes
59%

Head-to-Head last 5

Jan 2026 QPR 1 - 2 Norwich Away
Nov 2025 QPR(A) 1 - 3 Norwich Away
Dec 2024 QPR(A) 1 - 1 Norwich Draw
Dec 2024 QPR 3 - 0 Norwich Home
Feb 2024 QPR 2 - 2 Norwich Draw

In the last 5 meetings, QPR won 1, drew 2 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

QPR — unbeaten run (home)0
QPR — scoring streak (home)2
Norwich — winless run (away)1
Norwich — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

QPR Win (1)48%
Draw (X)24%
Norwich Win (2)29%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

83% +0.5 87%
48% +1.5 43%
26% +2.5 13%
9% +3.5 9%
4% +4.5 4%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

17% -0.5 13%
52% -1.5 57%
74% -2.5 87%
91% -3.5 91%
96% -4.5 96%

QPR vs Norwich — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

QPR — scored (home)1.74
QPR — conceded (home)1.61
Norwich — scored (away)1.57
Norwich — conceded (away)1.22
Model expected combined goals2.97

Both Teams To Score

Yes59%
No41%

Rate per Team

QPR — BTTS matches (home)74%
Norwich — BTTS matches (away)65%
Combined (simple average)69.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.598%
Under 4.52%
Over 5.590%
Under 5.510%
Over 6.587%
Under 6.513%
Over 7.579%
Under 7.521%
Over 8.570%
Under 8.530%
Over 9.555%
Under 9.545%
Over 10.542%
Under 10.558%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.90

Per-Team Corners own matches

QPR (home)

Corners for5.4
Corners against3.8

Norwich (away)

Corners for5.0
Corners against5.6

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

QPR
9 16 9 16 6
Norwich
14 12 7 7 8

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.596%
Under 0.54%
Over 1.592%
Under 1.58%
Over 2.583%
Under 2.517%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4

Yellow Cards per Team

QPR (home)

For2.2

Norwich (away)

For2.3

Shots per Game

QPR — total shots (home)14.3
Norwich — total shots (away)11.5

Shots on Target

QPR — on target (home)5.0
Norwich — on target (away)4.4

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

QPR

Inside the box8
Outside the box4.72

Norwich

Inside the box8
Outside the box4.57

Player Shots QPR

R. Kone
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target49%
+1.5 On Target21%
I. Chair
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target60%
+1.5 On Target13%
R. Burrell
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target20%
P. Smyth
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target36%
+1.5 On Target14%
D. Bennie
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target29%
+1.5 On Target12%

Player Shots Norwich

M. Touré
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target64%
+1.5 On Target36%
A. Ben Slimane
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target27%
J. Sargent
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target57%
+1.5 On Target22%
J. Makama
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target54%
+1.5 On Target14%
P. Maghoma
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target21%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

QPR xG (home)1.19
Norwich xG (away)1.32

Average Possession

45.98% Possession 53.63%

Team Comparison QPR vs Norwich

75.46% Pass accuracy 79.24%
368.37 Passes per match 435.28
-0.19 Goals prevented 0.13
11.22 Fouls committed 10.2
2.58 Goalkeeper saves 2.61
1.93 Offsides 1.93
14.52 Tackles per match 16.72

League average xG this season is 1.29 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

QPR vs Norwich prediction analysis

Review QPR vs Norwich with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Championship.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Championship
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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