Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: RAAL La Louvière vs Dender

RAAL La Louvière vs Dender prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Jupiler Pro League 2025-12-05 19:45
RAAL La Louvière
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
29%
Confidence
High
Score
1-0
Dender
Away

Prediction Summary

1
48%
X
31%
2
21%
Under 2.5
71%
BTTS No
65%
Confidence
High

Market Evidence

RAAL La Louvière (Home)

Goals scored / match0.89
Goals conceded / match1.11
Over 2.5 rate11%
BTTS rate33%

Dender (Away)

Goals scored / match0.89
Goals conceded / match1.58
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate63%

Team Form last 5 matches

RAAL La Louvière
WLLLL
Dender
DLLWL

Goals Comparison rate per team

44% +0.5 68%
17% +1.5 21%
11% +2.5 0%
11% +3.5 0%
6% +4.5 0%
33% BTTS 63%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 29%. Model confidence is High.

RAAL La Louvière averages 0.89 goals scored at home, while Dender averages 0.89 goals scored away.

Model Strength
71%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
48%
Draw
31%
Away Win
21%
Over 2.5
29%
BTTS Yes
35%

Head-to-Head last 4

May 2026 RAAL La Louvière(A) 1 - 2 Dender Away
Apr 2026 RAAL La Louvière 0 - 1 Dender Away
Dec 2025 RAAL La Louvière 1 - 2 Dender Away
Sep 2025 RAAL La Louvière(A) 0 - 0 Dender Draw

In the last 4 meetings, RAAL La Louvière won 0, drew 1 and lost 3.

Current Streaks

RAAL La Louvière — unbeaten run (home)1
RAAL La Louvière — scoring streak (home)1
Dender — winless run (away)3
Dender — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

RAAL La Louvière Win (1)48%
Draw (X)31%
Dender Win (2)21%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

44% +0.5 68%
17% +1.5 21%
11% +2.5 0%
11% +3.5 0%
6% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

56% -0.5 32%
83% -1.5 79%
89% -2.5 100%
89% -3.5 100%
94% -4.5 100%

RAAL La Louvière vs Dender — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

RAAL La Louvière — scored (home)0.89
RAAL La Louvière — conceded (home)1.11
Dender — scored (away)0.89
Dender — conceded (away)1.58
Model expected combined goals1.88

Both Teams To Score

Yes35%
No65%

Rate per Team

RAAL La Louvière — BTTS matches (home)33%
Dender — BTTS matches (away)63%
Combined (simple average)48%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.597%
Under 4.53%
Over 5.597%
Under 5.53%
Over 6.589%
Under 6.511%
Over 7.565%
Under 7.535%
Over 8.557%
Under 8.543%
Over 9.554%
Under 9.546%
Over 10.549%
Under 10.551%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.90

Per-Team Corners own matches

RAAL La Louvière (home)

Corners for6.0
Corners against3.5

Dender (away)

Corners for3.9
Corners against6.3

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

RAAL La Louvière
14 8 11 9 11
Dender
13 9 11 13 10

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.597%
Under 0.53%
Over 1.586%
Under 1.514%
Over 2.568%
Under 2.532%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.6

Yellow Cards per Team

RAAL La Louvière (home)

For1.6

Dender (away)

For2.5

Shots per Game

RAAL La Louvière — total shots (home)11.8
Dender — total shots (away)10.8

Shots on Target

RAAL La Louvière — on target (home)3.7
Dender — on target (away)4.1

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

RAAL La Louvière

Inside the box7.61
Outside the box3.11

Dender

Inside the box7.87
Outside the box3.26

Player Shots RAAL La Louvière

P. Fall
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target59%
+1.5 On Target22%
J. Afriyie
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target45%
+1.5 On Target16%
M. Belkheir
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target33%
N. Gillot
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target10%
B. Soumaré
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target0%

Player Shots Dender

A. Scheidler
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target75%
+1.5 On Target25%
B. Nsimba
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target23%
D. Toševski
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target8%
D. Hrnčár
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target28%
+1.5 On Target17%
F. Ferraro
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target3%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

RAAL La Louvière xG (home)1.08
Dender xG (away)1.21

Average Possession

38.83% Possession 48.03%

Team Comparison RAAL La Louvière vs Dender

71.44% Pass accuracy 75.5%
295.42 Passes per match 390.53
0.1 Goals prevented 0.04
11.39 Fouls committed 11.55
3.31 Goalkeeper saves 3.32
1.82 Offsides 2.16
16.72 Tackles per match 18.18

League average xG this season is 1.44 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

RAAL La Louvière vs Dender prediction analysis

Review RAAL La Louvière vs Dender with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Jupiler Pro League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Jupiler Pro League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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