Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Racing Santander vs Villarreal

Racing Santander vs Villarreal prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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La Liga 2026-08-16 15:00
Racing Santander
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
BTTS Yes
Pick
Yes
Probability
54%
Confidence
Low
Score
1-1
Villarreal
Away

Prediction Summary

1
44%
X
26%
2
30%
O/U 2.5 · No edge
50%
BTTS Yes
54%
Confidence
Low

Market Evidence

Racing Santander (Home)

Goals scored / match0
Goals conceded / match0
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate0%

Villarreal (Away)

Goals scored / match1.26
Goals conceded / match1.42
Over 2.5 rate11%
BTTS rate63%

Team Form last 5 matches

Villarreal
WLLDW

Goals Comparison rate per team

0% +0.5 79%
0% +1.5 37%
0% +2.5 11%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
0% BTTS 63%

Model Insight

The selected market is BTTS Yes with a probability of 54%. Model confidence is Low.

Racing Santander averages 0 goals scored at home, while Villarreal averages 1.26 goals scored away.

Model Strength
54%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
44%
Draw
26%
Away Win
30%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS Yes
54%

Head-to-Head last 1

Dec 2025 Racing Santander 2 - 1 Villarreal Home

In the last 1 meetings, Racing Santander won 1, drew 0 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

Villarreal — winless run (away)3
Villarreal — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Racing Santander Win (1)44%
Draw (X)26%
Villarreal Win (2)30%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

0% +0.5 79%
0% +1.5 37%
0% +2.5 11%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

100% -0.5 21%
100% -1.5 63%
100% -2.5 89%
100% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Racing Santander vs Villarreal — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Racing Santander — scored (home)0
Racing Santander — conceded (home)0
Villarreal — scored (away)1.26
Villarreal — conceded (away)1.42
Model expected combined goals2.69

Both Teams To Score

Yes54%
No46%

Rate per Team

Racing Santander — BTTS matches (home)0%
Villarreal — BTTS matches (away)63%
Combined (simple average)31.5%

Corners Line model prediction

Over 8.557%
Under 8.543%
Over 9.547%
Under 9.553%
Over 10.537%
Under 10.563%
Expected total corners (model prediction)9.60

Per-Team Corners own matches

Racing Santander (home)

Corners for—
Corners against—

Villarreal (away)

Corners for3.0
Corners against5.2

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Villarreal
10 9 10 10 14

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.550%
Under 0.550%
Over 1.550%
Under 1.550%
Over 2.540%
Under 2.560%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.7

Yellow Cards per Team

Racing Santander (home)

For—

Villarreal (away)

For2.6

Shots Forecast model prediction

Match Total

Over 19.569%
Under 19.531%
Over 22.555%
Under 22.545%
Over 25.542%
Under 25.558%
Expected total shots24.53

Racing Santander

Shots Over 9.578%
Shots Over 11.564%
Shots Over 13.549%
Expected shots13.93
On Target Over 3.565%
On Target Over 4.549%
On Target Over 5.534%
Expected on target4.71

Villarreal

Shots Over 9.556%
Shots Over 11.538%
Shots Over 13.524%
Expected shots10.60
On Target Over 3.547%
On Target Over 4.530%
On Target Over 5.517%
Expected on target3.59

Shots per Game

Racing Santander — total shots (home)—
Villarreal — total shots (away)9.4

Shots on Target

Racing Santander — on target (home)—
Villarreal — on target (away)3.2

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Racing Santander

Inside the box-
Outside the box-

Villarreal

Inside the box8.45
Outside the box3.53

Player Shots Racing Santander

Not enough dataNot enough player match statistics for this squad.

Player Shots Villarreal

Etta Eyong
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target33%
G. Mikautadze
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target63%
+1.5 On Target28%
Gerard Moreno
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target14%
N. Pépé
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target14%
Alberto Moleiro
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target41%
+1.5 On Target11%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Racing Santander xG (home)-
Villarreal xG (away)1.53

Average Possession

-% Possession 44.53%

Team Comparison Racing Santander vs Villarreal

0% Pass accuracy 82.11%
- Passes per match 409.03
- Goals prevented -0.29
- Fouls committed 11.95
- Goalkeeper saves 2.71
- Offsides 2
- Tackles per match 17.32

League average xG this season is 1.35 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Racing Santander vs Villarreal prediction analysis

Review Racing Santander vs Villarreal with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from La Liga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance La Liga
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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