Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Rangers vs Falkirk

Rangers vs Falkirk prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Premiership 2025-11-30 14:00
Rangers
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
52%
Confidence
Low
Score
1-1
Falkirk
Away

Prediction Summary

1
47%
X
25%
2
28%
Over 2.5
52%
BTTS Yes
55%
Confidence
Low

Market Evidence

Rangers (Home)

Goals scored / match2.05
Goals conceded / match1.11
Over 2.5 rate32%
BTTS rate63%

Falkirk (Away)

Goals scored / match0.94
Goals conceded / match1.56
Over 2.5 rate11%
BTTS rate33%

Team Form last 5 matches

Rangers
WLLLL
Falkirk
LLLWL

Goals Comparison rate per team

84% +0.5 56%
63% +1.5 28%
32% +2.5 11%
21% +3.5 0%
5% +4.5 0%
63% BTTS 33%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 52%. Model confidence is Low.

Rangers averages 2.05 goals scored at home, while Falkirk averages 0.94 goals scored away.

Model Strength
55%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
47%
Draw
25%
Away Win
28%
Over 2.5
52%
BTTS Yes
55%

Head-to-Head last 5

May 2026 Rangers(A) 5 - 2 Falkirk Home
Apr 2026 Rangers(A) 6 - 3 Falkirk Home
Nov 2025 Rangers 0 - 0 Falkirk Draw
Oct 2025 Rangers(A) 1 - 1 Falkirk Draw
Nov 2020 Rangers(A) 4 - 0 Falkirk Home

In the last 5 meetings, Rangers won 3, drew 2 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

Rangers — unbeaten run (home)0
Rangers — scoring streak (home)12
Falkirk — winless run (away)2
Falkirk — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Rangers Win (1)47%
Draw (X)25%
Falkirk Win (2)28%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

84% +0.5 56%
63% +1.5 28%
32% +2.5 11%
21% +3.5 0%
5% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

16% -0.5 44%
37% -1.5 72%
68% -2.5 89%
79% -3.5 100%
95% -4.5 100%

Rangers vs Falkirk — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Rangers — scored (home)2.05
Rangers — conceded (home)1.11
Falkirk — scored (away)0.94
Falkirk — conceded (away)1.56
Model expected combined goals2.75

Both Teams To Score

Yes55%
No45%

Rate per Team

Rangers — BTTS matches (home)63%
Falkirk — BTTS matches (away)33%
Combined (simple average)48%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.595%
Under 4.55%
Over 5.595%
Under 5.55%
Over 6.589%
Under 6.511%
Over 7.589%
Under 7.511%
Over 8.584%
Under 8.516%
Over 9.565%
Under 9.535%
Over 10.546%
Under 10.554%
Expected total corners (blended average)10.20

Per-Team Corners own matches

Rangers (home)

Corners for6.6
Corners against2.9

Falkirk (away)

Corners for5.1
Corners against5.7

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Rangers
12 8 8 12 11
Falkirk
16 7 11 10 11

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.595%
Under 1.55%
Over 2.586%
Under 2.514%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.9

Yellow Cards per Team

Rangers (home)

For1.4

Falkirk (away)

For2.6

Shots per Game

Rangers — total shots (home)18.1
Falkirk — total shots (away)11.0

Shots on Target

Rangers — on target (home)6.3
Falkirk — on target (away)3.5

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Rangers

Inside the box11.13
Outside the box5.34

Falkirk

Inside the box7.42
Outside the box4.37

Player Shots Rangers

Youssef Chermiti
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target57%
+1.5 On Target33%
M. Moore
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target64%
+1.5 On Target12%
R. Naderi
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target11%
T. Aasgaard
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target39%
+1.5 On Target18%
B. Miovski
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target13%

Player Shots Falkirk

B. Stewart
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target53%
+1.5 On Target18%
R. MacIver
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target58%
+1.5 On Target17%
C. Miller
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target39%
+1.5 On Target16%
Brian Graham
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target53%
+1.5 On Target5%
B. Broggio
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target0%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Rangers xG (home)1.85
Falkirk xG (away)1.37

Average Possession

57.97% Possession 50.79%

Team Comparison Rangers vs Falkirk

82.95% Pass accuracy 76.66%
470.21 Passes per match 400.39
-0.6 Goals prevented -0.43
12.16 Fouls committed 12.05
2.68 Goalkeeper saves 3.03
1.58 Offsides 2.14
17.11 Tackles per match 18.11

League average xG this season is 1.35 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Rangers vs Falkirk prediction analysis

Review Rangers vs Falkirk with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Premiership.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Premiership
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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