Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Rangers vs Genk

Rangers vs Genk prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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UEFA Europa League 2025-09-25 19:00
Rangers
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
50%
Confidence
Low
Score
1-1
Genk
Away

Prediction Summary

1
24%
X
25%
2
52%
O/U 2.5 · No edge
50%
BTTS Yes
52%
Confidence
Low

Market Evidence

Rangers (Home)

Goals scored / match0.5
Goals conceded / match1
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate25%

Genk (Away)

Goals scored / match2.29
Goals conceded / match1.57
Over 2.5 rate43%
BTTS rate57%

Team Form last 5 matches

Rangers
LWLDL
Genk
LWDWW

Goals Comparison rate per team

50% +0.5 86%
0% +1.5 57%
0% +2.5 43%
0% +3.5 29%
0% +4.5 14%
25% BTTS 57%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 50%. Model confidence is Low.

Rangers averages 0.5 goals scored at home, while Genk averages 2.29 goals scored away.

Model Strength
52%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
24%
Draw
25%
Away Win
52%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS Yes
52%

Head-to-Head last 1

Sep 2025 Rangers 0 - 1 Genk Away

In the last 1 meetings, Rangers won 0, drew 0 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Rangers — unbeaten run (home)2
Rangers — scoring streak (home)2
Genk — winless run (away)1
Genk — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Rangers Win (1)24%
Draw (X)25%
Genk Win (2)52%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

50% +0.5 86%
0% +1.5 57%
0% +2.5 43%
0% +3.5 29%
0% +4.5 14%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

50% -0.5 14%
100% -1.5 43%
100% -2.5 57%
100% -3.5 71%
100% -4.5 86%

Rangers vs Genk — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Rangers — scored (home)0.5
Rangers — conceded (home)1
Genk — scored (away)2.29
Genk — conceded (away)1.57
Model expected combined goals2.68

Both Teams To Score

Yes52%
No48%

Rate per Team

Rangers — BTTS matches (home)25%
Genk — BTTS matches (away)57%
Combined (simple average)41%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%
Under 4.50%
Over 5.593%
Under 5.57%
Over 6.573%
Under 6.527%
Over 7.566%
Under 7.534%
Over 8.527%
Under 8.573%
Over 9.527%
Under 9.573%
Over 10.520%
Under 10.580%
Expected total corners (blended average)8.10

Per-Team Corners own matches

Rangers (home)

Corners for5.0
Corners against3.3

Genk (away)

Corners for3.6
Corners against4.3

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Rangers
8 11 10 8 7
Genk
14 7 15 12 8

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.588%
Under 0.512%
Over 1.581%
Under 1.519%
Over 2.573%
Under 2.527%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.1

Yellow Cards per Team

Rangers (home)

For3.3

Genk (away)

For1.9

Shots per Game

Rangers — total shots (home)12.0
Genk — total shots (away)13.4

Shots on Target

Rangers — on target (home)4.3
Genk — on target (away)5.9

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Rangers

Inside the box7.63
Outside the box3

Genk

Inside the box9.75
Outside the box4.42

Player Shots Rangers

D. Cornelius
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target33%
Youssef Chermiti
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target25%
D. Gassama
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target63%
+1.5 On Target0%
J. Souttar
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target20%
Danilo
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target60%
+1.5 On Target0%

Player Shots Genk

Oh Hyeon-Gyu
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target63%
+1.5 On Target50%
D. Heymans
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target80%
+1.5 On Target30%
K. Karetsas
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target55%
+1.5 On Target18%
Z. El Ouahdi
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target56%
+1.5 On Target11%
J. Ito
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target0%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Rangers xG (home)1.22
Genk xG (away)1.64

Average Possession

50.13% Possession 50.86%

Team Comparison Rangers vs Genk

83% Pass accuracy 84.25%
418.5 Passes per match 461.08
-0.21 Goals prevented 0.14
13.75 Fouls committed 11.29
2.88 Goalkeeper saves 3
1 Offsides 2
16.13 Tackles per match 17.67

League average xG this season is 1.39 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Rangers vs Genk prediction analysis

Review Rangers vs Genk with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from UEFA Europa League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance UEFA Europa League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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