Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Rangers vs Heart Of Midlothian

Rangers vs Heart Of Midlothian prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Premiership 2025-09-13 14:00
Rangers
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
57%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Heart Of Midlothian
Away

Prediction Summary

1
44%
X
24%
2
32%
Over 2.5
57%
BTTS Yes
59%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Rangers (Home)

Goals scored / match2.05
Goals conceded / match1.11
Over 2.5 rate32%
BTTS rate63%

Heart Of Midlothian (Away)

Goals scored / match1.58
Goals conceded / match1.21
Over 2.5 rate16%
BTTS rate53%

Team Form last 5 matches

Rangers
WLLLL
Heart Of Midlothian
LWDWW

Goals Comparison rate per team

84% +0.5 79%
63% +1.5 63%
32% +2.5 16%
21% +3.5 0%
5% +4.5 0%
63% BTTS 53%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 57%. Model confidence is Medium.

Rangers averages 2.05 goals scored at home, while Heart Of Midlothian averages 1.58 goals scored away.

Model Strength
59%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
44%
Draw
24%
Away Win
32%
Over 2.5
57%
BTTS Yes
59%

Head-to-Head last 5

May 2026 Rangers(A) 1 - 2 Heart Of Midlothian Away
Feb 2026 Rangers 4 - 2 Heart Of Midlothian Home
Dec 2025 Rangers(A) 1 - 2 Heart Of Midlothian Away
Sep 2025 Rangers 0 - 2 Heart Of Midlothian Away
Feb 2025 Rangers(A) 3 - 1 Heart Of Midlothian Home

In the last 5 meetings, Rangers won 2, drew 0 and lost 3.

Current Streaks

Rangers — unbeaten run (home)0
Rangers — scoring streak (home)12
Heart Of Midlothian — winless run (away)2
Heart Of Midlothian — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Rangers Win (1)44%
Draw (X)24%
Heart Of Midlothian Win (2)32%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

84% +0.5 79%
63% +1.5 63%
32% +2.5 16%
21% +3.5 0%
5% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

16% -0.5 21%
37% -1.5 37%
68% -2.5 84%
79% -3.5 100%
95% -4.5 100%

Rangers vs Heart Of Midlothian — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Rangers — scored (home)2.05
Rangers — conceded (home)1.11
Heart Of Midlothian — scored (away)1.58
Heart Of Midlothian — conceded (away)1.21
Model expected combined goals2.97

Both Teams To Score

Yes59%
No41%

Rate per Team

Rangers — BTTS matches (home)63%
Heart Of Midlothian — BTTS matches (away)53%
Combined (simple average)58%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.598%
Under 4.52%
Over 5.598%
Under 5.52%
Over 6.590%
Under 6.510%
Over 7.587%
Under 7.513%
Over 8.579%
Under 8.521%
Over 9.561%
Under 9.539%
Over 10.545%
Under 10.555%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.90

Per-Team Corners own matches

Rangers (home)

Corners for6.6
Corners against2.9

Heart Of Midlothian (away)

Corners for5.7
Corners against4.4

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Rangers
12 8 8 12 11
Heart Of Midlothian
11 8 8 10 15

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.598%
Under 1.52%
Over 2.587%
Under 2.513%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.2

Yellow Cards per Team

Rangers (home)

For1.4

Heart Of Midlothian (away)

For2.2

Shots per Game

Rangers — total shots (home)18.1
Heart Of Midlothian — total shots (away)13.9

Shots on Target

Rangers — on target (home)6.3
Heart Of Midlothian — on target (away)4.7

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Rangers

Inside the box11.13
Outside the box5.34

Heart Of Midlothian

Inside the box9.74
Outside the box4.58

Player Shots Rangers

Youssef Chermiti
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target57%
+1.5 On Target33%
M. Moore
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target64%
+1.5 On Target12%
R. Naderi
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target11%
T. Aasgaard
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target39%
+1.5 On Target18%
B. Miovski
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target13%

Player Shots Heart Of Midlothian

L. Shankland
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target69%
+1.5 On Target48%
Cláudio Braga
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target71%
+1.5 On Target29%
A. Kyziridis
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target13%
P. Kabore
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target28%
+1.5 On Target12%
Ageu
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target0%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Rangers xG (home)1.85
Heart Of Midlothian xG (away)1.46

Average Possession

57.97% Possession 53.39%

Team Comparison Rangers vs Heart Of Midlothian

82.95% Pass accuracy 75.55%
470.21 Passes per match 414.24
-0.6 Goals prevented -0.46
12.16 Fouls committed 10.92
2.68 Goalkeeper saves 2
1.58 Offsides 1.31
17.11 Tackles per match 16.87

League average xG this season is 1.35 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Rangers vs Heart Of Midlothian prediction analysis

Review Rangers vs Heart Of Midlothian with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Premiership.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Premiership
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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