Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Rangers vs Motherwell

Rangers vs Motherwell prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Premiership 2025-12-27 15:00
Rangers
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
38%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Motherwell
Away

Prediction Summary

1
36%
X
29%
2
35%
Under 2.5
62%
BTTS No
55%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Rangers (Home)

Goals scored / match2.05
Goals conceded / match1.11
Over 2.5 rate32%
BTTS rate63%

Motherwell (Away)

Goals scored / match1.42
Goals conceded / match1.21
Over 2.5 rate21%
BTTS rate58%

Team Form last 5 matches

Rangers
WLLLL
Motherwell
WLDLW

Goals Comparison rate per team

84% +0.5 74%
63% +1.5 37%
32% +2.5 21%
21% +3.5 5%
5% +4.5 5%
63% BTTS 58%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 38%. Model confidence is Medium.

Rangers averages 2.05 goals scored at home, while Motherwell averages 1.42 goals scored away.

Model Strength
62%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
36%
Draw
29%
Away Win
35%
Over 2.5
38%
BTTS Yes
45%

Head-to-Head last 5

Apr 2026 Rangers 2 - 3 Motherwell Away
Feb 2026 Rangers(A) 1 - 1 Motherwell Draw
Dec 2025 Rangers 1 - 0 Motherwell Home
Aug 2025 Rangers(A) 1 - 1 Motherwell Draw
Mar 2025 Rangers 1 - 2 Motherwell Away

In the last 5 meetings, Rangers won 1, drew 2 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Rangers — unbeaten run (home)0
Rangers — scoring streak (home)12
Motherwell — winless run (away)0
Motherwell — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Rangers Win (1)36%
Draw (X)29%
Motherwell Win (2)35%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

84% +0.5 74%
63% +1.5 37%
32% +2.5 21%
21% +3.5 5%
5% +4.5 5%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

16% -0.5 26%
37% -1.5 63%
68% -2.5 79%
79% -3.5 95%
95% -4.5 95%

Rangers vs Motherwell — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Rangers — scored (home)2.05
Rangers — conceded (home)1.11
Motherwell — scored (away)1.42
Motherwell — conceded (away)1.21
Model expected combined goals2.22

Both Teams To Score

Yes45%
No55%

Rate per Team

Rangers — BTTS matches (home)63%
Motherwell — BTTS matches (away)58%
Combined (simple average)60.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.592%
Under 4.58%
Over 5.587%
Under 5.513%
Over 6.576%
Under 6.524%
Over 7.574%
Under 7.526%
Over 8.566%
Under 8.534%
Over 9.553%
Under 9.547%
Over 10.540%
Under 10.560%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.10

Per-Team Corners own matches

Rangers (home)

Corners for6.6
Corners against2.9

Motherwell (away)

Corners for3.8
Corners against4.7

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Rangers
12 8 8 12 11
Motherwell
12 7 8 7 11

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.598%
Under 1.52%
Over 2.584%
Under 2.516%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.2

Yellow Cards per Team

Rangers (home)

For1.4

Motherwell (away)

For2.1

Shots per Game

Rangers — total shots (home)18.1
Motherwell — total shots (away)12.3

Shots on Target

Rangers — on target (home)6.3
Motherwell — on target (away)4.1

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Rangers

Inside the box11.13
Outside the box5.34

Motherwell

Inside the box8.5
Outside the box4.68

Player Shots Rangers

Youssef Chermiti
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target57%
+1.5 On Target33%
M. Moore
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target64%
+1.5 On Target12%
R. Naderi
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target11%
T. Aasgaard
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target39%
+1.5 On Target18%
B. Miovski
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target13%

Player Shots Motherwell

Tawanda Jethro Maswanhise
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target69%
+1.5 On Target37%
C. Slattery
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target58%
+1.5 On Target13%
E. Just
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target46%
+1.5 On Target20%
A. Stamatelopoulos
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target42%
+1.5 On Target21%
C. Hendry
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target29%
+1.5 On Target19%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Rangers xG (home)1.85
Motherwell xG (away)1.41

Average Possession

57.97% Possession 57.89%

Team Comparison Rangers vs Motherwell

82.95% Pass accuracy 84.5%
470.21 Passes per match 533
-0.6 Goals prevented -0.06
12.16 Fouls committed 11.66
2.68 Goalkeeper saves 2.63
1.58 Offsides 2.24
17.11 Tackles per match 14.55

League average xG this season is 1.35 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Rangers vs Motherwell prediction analysis

Review Rangers vs Motherwell with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Premiership.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Premiership
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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