Prediction Analysis: Rangers vs ST Mirren
Rangers vs ST Mirren prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.
Premiership
2026-08-22
14:00
Rangers
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Home Win
Pick
Rangers
Probability
57%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
ST Mirren
Away
Prediction Summary
1
57%
X
22%
2
21%
Over 2.5
56%
BTTS Yes
55%
Confidence
Medium
Market Evidence
Rangers (Home)
Goals scored / match2.05
Goals conceded / match1.11
Over 2.5 rate32%
BTTS rate63%
ST Mirren (Away)
Goals scored / match1
Goals conceded / match1.7
Over 2.5 rate10%
BTTS rate60%
Team Form last 5 matches
Rangers
WLLLL
ST Mirren
WDDWL
Goals Comparison rate per team
84%
+0.5
65%
63%
+1.5
25%
32%
+2.5
10%
21%
+3.5
0%
5%
+4.5
0%
63%
BTTS
60%
Model Insight
The selected market is Home Win with a probability of 57%. Model confidence is Medium.
Rangers averages 2.05 goals scored at home, while ST Mirren averages 1 goals scored away.
Model Strength
57%
Other Top Markets for This Match
Home Win
57%
Draw
22%
Away Win
21%
Over 2.5
56%
BTTS Yes
55%
Head-to-Head last 5
Mar 2026
Rangers(A)
1 - 0
ST Mirren
Home
Dec 2025
Rangers
2 - 1
ST Mirren
Home
Aug 2025
Rangers(A)
1 - 1
ST Mirren
Draw
Apr 2025
Rangers(A)
2 - 2
ST Mirren
Draw
Feb 2025
Rangers
0 - 2
ST Mirren
Away
In the last 5 meetings, Rangers won 2, drew 2 and lost 1.
Current Streaks
Rangers — unbeaten run (home)0
Rangers — scoring streak (home)12
ST Mirren — winless run (away)1
ST Mirren — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5
1X2 Probability model
Rangers Win (1)57%
Draw (X)22%
ST Mirren Win (2)21%
Goals Over rate per team, own matches
84%
+0.5
65%
63%
+1.5
25%
32%
+2.5
10%
21%
+3.5
0%
5%
+4.5
0%
Goals Under rate per team, own matches
16%
-0.5
35%
37%
-1.5
75%
68%
-2.5
90%
79%
-3.5
100%
95%
-4.5
100%
Rangers vs ST Mirren — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.
Goal Averages per Team
Rangers — scored (home)2.05
Rangers — conceded (home)1.11
ST Mirren — scored (away)1
ST Mirren — conceded (away)1.7
Model expected combined goals2.93
Both Teams To Score
Yes55%
No45%
Rate per Team
Rangers — BTTS matches (home)63%
ST Mirren — BTTS matches (away)60%
Combined (simple average)61.5%
Corners Line model prediction
Over 8.563%
Under 8.537%
Over 9.552%
Under 9.548%
Over 10.541%
Under 10.559%
Expected total corners (model prediction)10.00
Per-Team Corners own matches
Rangers (home)
Corners for6.6
Corners against2.9
ST Mirren (away)
Corners for5.5
Corners against6.0
Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners
Rangers
12
8
8
12
11
ST Mirren
5
7
12
0
0
Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate
Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.595%
Under 1.55%
Over 2.577%
Under 2.523%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.2
Yellow Cards per Team
Rangers (home)
For1.4
ST Mirren (away)
For1.9
Shots Forecast model prediction
Match Total
Over 19.572%
Under 19.528%
Over 22.559%
Under 22.541%
Over 25.545%
Under 25.555%
Expected total shots25.40
Rangers
Shots Over 9.581%
Shots Over 11.569%
Shots Over 13.555%
Expected shots14.82
On Target Over 3.572%
On Target Over 4.557%
On Target Over 5.543%
Expected on target5.30
ST Mirren
Shots Over 9.555%
Shots Over 11.538%
Shots Over 13.524%
Expected shots10.57
On Target Over 3.545%
On Target Over 4.529%
On Target Over 5.517%
Expected on target3.51
Shots per Game
Rangers — total shots (home)18.1
ST Mirren — total shots (away)11.3
Shots on Target
Rangers — on target (home)6.3
ST Mirren — on target (away)3.3
Shot Location Split avg per match, season
Rangers
Inside the box11.13
Outside the box5.34
ST Mirren
Inside the box7.97
Outside the box3.89
Player Shots Rangers
Youssef Chermiti
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target57%
+1.5 On Target33%
M. Moore
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target64%
+1.5 On Target12%
R. Naderi
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target11%
T. Aasgaard
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target39%
+1.5 On Target18%
B. Miovski
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target13%
Player Shots ST Mirren
L. Douglas
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target33%
M. Mandron
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target51%
+1.5 On Target9%
J. Ayunga
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target48%
+1.5 On Target9%
D. Nlundulu
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target37%
+1.5 On Target7%
K. Phillips
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target32%
+1.5 On Target11%
Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.
Expected Goals (xG)
Rangers xG (home)1.85
ST Mirren xG (away)0.98
Average Possession
57.97%
Possession
46.29%
Team Comparison Rangers vs ST Mirren
82.95%
Pass accuracy
74.18%
470.21
Passes per match
373.26
-0.6
Goals prevented
0.1
12.16
Fouls committed
12.74
2.68
Goalkeeper saves
2.84
1.58
Offsides
2.24
17.11
Tackles per match
14.55
League average xG this season is 1.35 per team per match, for context.
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS
Rangers vs ST Mirren prediction analysis
Review Rangers vs ST Mirren with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Premiership.
1X2
Over 2.5
BTTS
Recent form
Team performance
Premiership
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights