Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Rapid Vienna vs Sturm Graz

Rapid Vienna vs Sturm Graz prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Bundesliga 2025-11-02 16:00
Rapid Vienna
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
55%
Confidence
Medium
Score
0-1
Sturm Graz
Away

Prediction Summary

1
18%
X
22%
2
61%
Over 2.5
55%
BTTS Yes
52%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Rapid Vienna (Home)

Goals scored / match1.29
Goals conceded / match1.18
Over 2.5 rate18%
BTTS rate41%

Sturm Graz (Away)

Goals scored / match2.13
Goals conceded / match1.13
Over 2.5 rate31%
BTTS rate56%

Team Form last 5 matches

Rapid Vienna
WLLLL
Sturm Graz
WWDDD

Goals Comparison rate per team

71% +0.5 94%
29% +1.5 63%
18% +2.5 31%
12% +3.5 19%
0% +4.5 6%
41% BTTS 56%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 55%. Model confidence is Medium.

Rapid Vienna averages 1.29 goals scored at home, while Sturm Graz averages 2.13 goals scored away.

Model Strength
61%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
18%
Draw
22%
Away Win
61%
Over 2.5
55%
BTTS Yes
52%

Head-to-Head last 5

May 2026 Rapid Vienna(A) 0 - 2 Sturm Graz Away
Apr 2026 Rapid Vienna 0 - 2 Sturm Graz Away
Nov 2025 Rapid Vienna 2 - 1 Sturm Graz Home
Aug 2025 Rapid Vienna(A) 2 - 1 Sturm Graz Home
May 2025 Rapid Vienna 3 - 1 Sturm Graz Home

In the last 5 meetings, Rapid Vienna won 3, drew 0 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Rapid Vienna — unbeaten run (home)1
Rapid Vienna — scoring streak (home)1
Sturm Graz — winless run (away)0
Sturm Graz — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Rapid Vienna Win (1)18%
Draw (X)22%
Sturm Graz Win (2)61%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

71% +0.5 94%
29% +1.5 63%
18% +2.5 31%
12% +3.5 19%
0% +4.5 6%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

29% -0.5 6%
71% -1.5 37%
82% -2.5 69%
88% -3.5 81%
100% -4.5 94%

Rapid Vienna vs Sturm Graz — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Rapid Vienna — scored (home)1.29
Rapid Vienna — conceded (home)1.18
Sturm Graz — scored (away)2.13
Sturm Graz — conceded (away)1.13
Model expected combined goals2.87

Both Teams To Score

Yes52%
No48%

Rate per Team

Rapid Vienna — BTTS matches (home)41%
Sturm Graz — BTTS matches (away)56%
Combined (simple average)48.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.597%
Under 4.53%
Over 5.594%
Under 5.56%
Over 6.594%
Under 6.56%
Over 7.585%
Under 7.515%
Over 8.582%
Under 8.518%
Over 9.555%
Under 9.545%
Over 10.539%
Under 10.561%
Expected total corners (blended average)10.00

Per-Team Corners own matches

Rapid Vienna (home)

Corners for5.9
Corners against3.9

Sturm Graz (away)

Corners for5.4
Corners against4.8

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Rapid Vienna
4 9 12 9 11
Sturm Graz
12 7 13 9 12

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.594%
Under 1.56%
Over 2.582%
Under 2.518%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.5

Yellow Cards per Team

Rapid Vienna (home)

For2.0

Sturm Graz (away)

For2.7

Shots per Game

Rapid Vienna — total shots (home)11.9
Sturm Graz — total shots (away)15.4

Shots on Target

Rapid Vienna — on target (home)3.5
Sturm Graz — on target (away)5.3

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Rapid Vienna

Inside the box8
Outside the box3.74

Sturm Graz

Inside the box9.91
Outside the box5.78

Player Shots Rapid Vienna

C. M'Buyi
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target62%
+1.5 On Target31%
E. Kara
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target37%
+1.5 On Target13%
A. Radulović
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target30%
+1.5 On Target10%
M. Seidl
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target37%
+1.5 On Target10%
L. Schaub
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target10%

Player Shots Sturm Graz

O. Kiteishvili
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target62%
+1.5 On Target28%
M. Malone
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target54%
+1.5 On Target21%
M. Johnston
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target0%
L. Grgić
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target13%
T. Horvat
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target41%
+1.5 On Target12%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Rapid Vienna xG (home)1.19
Sturm Graz xG (away)1.68

Average Possession

55.74% Possession 53.97%

Team Comparison Rapid Vienna vs Sturm Graz

80.53% Pass accuracy 75.13%
442.68 Passes per match 388.34
-0.23 Goals prevented 0.11
10.26 Fouls committed 11.59
2.53 Goalkeeper saves 2.59
2.15 Offsides 1.57
15.09 Tackles per match 17.69

League average xG this season is 1.34 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Rapid Vienna vs Sturm Graz prediction analysis

Review Rapid Vienna vs Sturm Graz with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Bundesliga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Bundesliga
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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